Breakdown: Points in the Paint/Fast Break Points

Discussion in 'Los Angeles Lakers' started by Shapecity, Feb 8, 2006.

  1. Shapecity

    Shapecity S2/JBB Teamster Staff Member Administrator

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    Looking at their current losing streak and previous win streak, the Lakers have some alarming discrepancies in two categories. The Lakers are really struggling at points in the paint and fast break points.

    Losing streak average PIP allowed - 41.3
    Winning streak average PIP allowed - 46.0

    Losing streak average PIP scored - 33.3
    Winning streak average PIP scored - 41.3


    Losing streak average FBP allowed - 11.2
    Winning streak average FBP allowed - 8.7

    Losing streak average FBP scored - 7.5
    Winning streak average FBP scored - 14.0

    **CURRENT LOSING STREAK**

    <u>Points in the Paint</u>

    Lakers (24) v. Mavs (46) ==> Loss
    Lakers (18) v. Hornets (50) ==> Loss
    Lakers (36) v. Bobcats (34) ==> Loss
    Lakers (32) v. Pacers (38) ==> Loss
    Lakers (54) v. Knicks (40) ==> Win
    Lakers (36) v. Pistons (40) ==> Loss

    <u>Fast Break Points</u>

    Lakers (11) v. Mavs (9) ==> Loss
    Lakers (10) v. Hornets (16) ==> Loss
    Lakers (4) v. Bobcats (23) ==> Loss
    Lakers (6) v. Pacers (9) ==> Loss
    Lakers (6) v. Knicks (4) ==> Win
    Lakers (8) v. Pistons (6) ==> Loss

    **PREVIOUS WIN STREAK**

    <u>Points in the Paint</u>

    Lakers (38) v. 76ers (50) ==> Win
    Lakers (28) v. Clippers (48) ==> Win
    Lakers (40) v. Pacers (38) ==> Win
    Lakers (54) v. Blazers (46) ==> Loss
    Lakers (38) v. Cavs (50) ==> Win
    Lakers (50) v. Warriors (44) ==> Win

    <u>Fast Break Points</u>

    Lakers (17) v. 76ers (8) ==> Win
    Lakers (6) v. Clippers (8) ==> Win
    Lakers (5) v. Pacers (11) ==> Win
    Lakers (18) v. Blazers (1) ==> Loss
    Lakers (17) v. Cavs (6) ==> Win
    Lakers (21) v. Warriors (18) ==> Win

    Conclusion:

    Based off these two samples, we can draw some conclusions about the Lakers.

    1) The interior defense is allowing far too, many points in the paint. However, the Lakers have shown they can win despite giving up over 40+ PIP.

    2) The key to the Laker success comes from fast break points. There is a huge differential from the losing and winning streaks based of FBP.

    The constant appears to be a lousy interior defense by the Lakers. No surprise really, but defensively it doesn't seem to impact the win/loss column. What really impacts the win/loss colum is the FBP scored by the Lakers. FBP are usually attributed to guard play.

    This leads me to believe it's actually the inconsistency of the guard play, which is hurting the Lakers this season, and not the frontline. The frontline is consistently lousy on interior defense, but the fluctuation in guard play is the difference between a Laker win or a Laker loss.

    Another conclusion you could draw, have the Lakers been overachieving the entire time?

    Looking more specifically at guard play you can see how much the Lakers count on Smush Parker to win games. The key stats are Points/Assists/Steals/TOs

    **Losing Streak**

    v. Mavs (<font color=""Red"">3PTs</font> / 3ASTs / 2STLs / 0TOs) ==> Loss
    v. Hornets (<font color=""red"">5PTs</font> / 6ASTs / 1STL / 1TO) ==> Loss
    v. Bobcats (19PTs / <font color=""red"">2ASTs</font> / 3STLs / <font color=""red"">8TOs</font>) ==> Loss
    v. Pacers (<font color=""red"">6PTs</font> / <font color=""red"">1ASTs</font> / 0STLs / 3TOs) ==> Loss
    v. Knicks (<font color=""blue"">15PTs</font> / <font color=""Blue"">5ASTs</font> / 1STL / 1TO) ==> Win
    v. Pistons (<font color=""red"">9PTs</font> / <font color=""red"">1ASTs</font> / 2STL / 1TO) ==> Loss

    **Winning Streak**

    v. 76ers (<font color=""blue"">24PTs</font> / 3ASTs / 3STLs / 2TOs) ==> Win
    v. Clippers (8PTs / 3ASTs / 1STL / 0TO) ==> Win
    v. Pacers (6PTs / 1AST / 0STL / 1TO) ==> Win
    v. Blazers (12PTs / 4ASTs / 1STL / 2TOs) ==> Loss
    v. Cavs (12PTs / 1AST / 2STLs / 0TO) ==> Win
    v. Warriors (<font color=""blue"">24PTs</font> / <font color=""blue"">6ASTs</font> / 3STLs / 4TOs) ==> Win

    Smush Parker's three best games were played when he scored 15+ points. The conclusion we can draw from this, is Smush Parker's defensive production is a direct result of his offensive production. When the shots are falling for Smush or he's getting involved more, his defense picks up tremendously.

    When PJax was coaching the Chicago Bulls in the Jordan era. He used to have Jordan get the 3-Headed monster involved early on, so they would play better on defense. For the Bulls team, the big men were the key.

    For this Laker team, the big men are not the key. Their poor player doesn't make a difference in the win/loss column. The person making the difference is Smush Parker.

    The Lakers should make the adjustment of getting Smush Parker more involved in the offense early on. Kobe Bryant has to decoy and find Smush open for layups or wide open jumpers.

    One variation of the Triangle which would be very successful is flashing Smush down the lane catching the bounce pass from Mihm or Odom in the post. Right now this play is run mainly with Kobe, but the Lakers might want to put Smush in the attacker role to get the games started so he concentrates more on defense.
     

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