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I want to preface this by saying I know it's very early and nothing has been won.
I wanted to wait until the game was over, but if New York can outscore Portland by 25 points with 4 minutes to go. A similar post is in the "everything" thread.
Anyways, as things stand now the Blazers are 10 losses ahead of the Thunder.
25-7 vs 15-17.
That means that the Thunder will have to outpace the Blazers by 11 games over the remaining 50 games, to pass them in the division.
Right now, Portland is 25-7. Let's assume they go .500 the rest of the way. That is 25-25.
That would mean 50-32. OKC would have to go 36-14 to pass the Blazers up, ending the year 51-31. Thats 72% and 59 wins over 82. Not unreasonable.
If Portland plays .55 ball the rest of the way (28-22) that would be 53-29. OKC would have to go 39-11 (.78% and 64 games over 82). This is where it starts getting harder for the Thunder to pass.
If Portland plays .600 ball the rest of the way (30-20), they would be 55-27. OKC would have to go 41-9 to be 1 game better (56-22). 41-9 is winning at 82%, or approx 67 wins per 82.
If Portland plays .65 ball the rest of the season (33-17) they would be 58-24. OKC would have to go 44-6 over their last 50 games to pass Portland. That is 88% and 72 wins per 82.
If Portland plays .70 ball the rest of the season (~35-15) they would be 60-22. OKC would have to go 46-4 over their last 50 games to pass Portland. That is 92% and almost 75 wins per 82.
If Portland continues at it's current pace of 77%, which is unlikely, that would be 39-11. Or 64 total wins. For OKC to pass the Blazers up, they would have to win 65 games. And to go from 15-17 to 65-17, they would have to go an impossible 50-0. That extrapolates to an 82-0 record over 82 games.
It IS still possible for OKC to pass Portland up, but with each Blazers win (and/or OKC loss) it gets that much harder, and means Portland would have to play really REALLY bad.
I wanted to wait until the game was over, but if New York can outscore Portland by 25 points with 4 minutes to go. A similar post is in the "everything" thread.
Anyways, as things stand now the Blazers are 10 losses ahead of the Thunder.
25-7 vs 15-17.
That means that the Thunder will have to outpace the Blazers by 11 games over the remaining 50 games, to pass them in the division.
Right now, Portland is 25-7. Let's assume they go .500 the rest of the way. That is 25-25.
That would mean 50-32. OKC would have to go 36-14 to pass the Blazers up, ending the year 51-31. Thats 72% and 59 wins over 82. Not unreasonable.
If Portland plays .55 ball the rest of the way (28-22) that would be 53-29. OKC would have to go 39-11 (.78% and 64 games over 82). This is where it starts getting harder for the Thunder to pass.
If Portland plays .600 ball the rest of the way (30-20), they would be 55-27. OKC would have to go 41-9 to be 1 game better (56-22). 41-9 is winning at 82%, or approx 67 wins per 82.
If Portland plays .65 ball the rest of the season (33-17) they would be 58-24. OKC would have to go 44-6 over their last 50 games to pass Portland. That is 88% and 72 wins per 82.
If Portland plays .70 ball the rest of the season (~35-15) they would be 60-22. OKC would have to go 46-4 over their last 50 games to pass Portland. That is 92% and almost 75 wins per 82.
If Portland continues at it's current pace of 77%, which is unlikely, that would be 39-11. Or 64 total wins. For OKC to pass the Blazers up, they would have to win 65 games. And to go from 15-17 to 65-17, they would have to go an impossible 50-0. That extrapolates to an 82-0 record over 82 games.
It IS still possible for OKC to pass Portland up, but with each Blazers win (and/or OKC loss) it gets that much harder, and means Portland would have to play really REALLY bad.
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