Here's Your Sign (Stat)

[ABM]

http://blog.oregonlive.com/blazers/2009/04/tuesday_blazers_report.html

Teams with home court advantage that have lost Game 1 have gone on to win the series 44.3% of the time (significantly better than the 21% that most people assume).

Teams with home court advantage that have lost Game 1 but won Game 2 have gone on to win the series 53.2% of the time..

 

[Crimson the Cat]

"significantly better than the 21% that most people assume"

What a random number. Why would "most" people assume 21%?

 

[Wheels]

"significantly better than the 21% that most people assume"

What a random number. Why would "most" people assume 21%?

I think I heard the stat on the radio after saturday that the team who wins game 1 in a 7 game format has won like 290 out the 370 series.. or something like that. which puts it pretty close to the 21%... 21.7 to be exact I think.

 

[alex42083]

We just need to win Game 2, and go from there. If we lose again... ugh.

 

[Wheels]

We just need to win Game 2, and go from there. If we lose again... ugh.

dont talk like that!

 

[Crimson the Cat]

We will win Game 2, and go from there.

Fixed.

 

[Wheels]

Fixed.

lol all better.

 

[Wheels]

The thing about that stat though that doesnt get taken into consideration... the team that wins game 1 usually is the better team that wins and thats why they have a higher seed and HCA... and win.. I'd be more interested to see these stats broken down by the 4/5 seed since traditionally the matchup and talent would be much closer than 1-8 and 2-7 and 3-6... just my two cents though.

 

[Crimson the Cat]

Oh and evidently most men under 4-feet, with substantial hair on their feet, and are over 50-years old believe 19% of the time teams with HCA that have lost Game 1 will go on to win Game 2.

 

[Wheels]

Oh and evidently most men under 4-feet, with substantial hair on their feet, and are over 50-years old believe 19% of the time teams with HCA that have lost Game 1 will go on to win Game 2.

Hank is back?

 

[crandc]

I think I heard the stat on the radio after saturday that the team who wins game 1 in a 7 game format has won like 290 out the 370 series.. or something like that. which puts it pretty close to the 21%... 21.7 to be exact I think.

Right, but that includes all teams that lose game 1, including road teams.

 

[Paxil]

Desparately waiting for Ed O to jump in an explain the numbers.

 

[Wheels]

Right, but that includes all teams that lose game 1, including road teams.

Exactly.. I kind of alluded to that in a later post.

 

[Crimson the Cat]

Hank is back?

nice!

 

[crandc]

Exactly.. I kind of alluded to that in a later post.

yep, I posted before reading entire thread. We're both right.

 

[Wheels]

yep, I posted before reading entire thread. We're both right.

yes ma'am