Exclusive How to make to the finals (updated 2020)

[Wizard Mentor]

2000 -2020 Teams that make it to the finals (42 teams)

Top 10 Offense + Top 10 Offense: 25/42 (59.5%)
Top 5 Offense + Top 15 Defense: 4/42 (9.5%)
Top 5 Defense + Top 15 Offense: 4/42 (9.5%)
Other: 9/42 (21.5%)

 

[Orion Bailey]

This is our year because of depth.

when most teams dont have enough players to play and win, we will surge up from the cellar and take this season!!!

how we win? Stay covid free and be the last team standing.

or replace the coach...

 

[Wizard Mentor]

Alright, party peeps. Can you name the team in the upper left corner?

 

[Orion Bailey]

Alright, party peeps. Can you name the team in the upper left corner?

Dallas

 

[kjironman1]

Alright, party peeps. Can you name the team in the upper left corner?

I'm gonna go with Celtics. One of the old teams that had Bill Russell

 

[tykendo]

What is this, Geometry? That graph gives me a headache. Just tell us the teams.

 

[Wizard Mentor]

Dallas

No!

 

[Wizard Mentor]

I'm gonna go with Celtics. One of the old teams that had Bill Russell

No, it's pretty recent.

 

[Wizard Mentor]

What is this, Geometry? That graph gives me a headache. Just tell us the teams.

It's hip to be a square.

The teams don't matter. What matters is that you better finish top 10 in both offense and defense if you want to make it to the finals. Of course, this does not guarantee anything.

 

[kjironman1]

No, it's pretty recent.

Pretty recent i would say GS but obviously i'm reaching at straws here.

 

[bobf]

It's hip to be a square.

The teams don't matter. What matters is that you better finish top 10 in both offense and defense if you want to make it to the finals. Of course, this does not guarantee anything.

Not to be a stickler or anything but by my count, the 10x10 box has 20 dots and the 5x15 boxes have 15 and 16 dots.

 

[kjironman1]

Not to be a stickler or anything but by my count, the 10x10 box has 20 dots and the 5x15 boxes have 15 and 16 dots.

I got that also but i figured it might be duplicate boxes?

 

[bobf]

Also this is showing the probability of being in some box (some O&D rating) given you make the finals. What you want is probability of making the finals given you are in some box on the graph.

For example only 2/42 teams are in box 2x2 while 20/42 are in 10x10. Does that mean it’s harder to make it to the finals if you are top 2 in offense and defense than top 10?

 

[kjironman1]

Also this is showing the probability of being in some box (some O&D rating) given you make the finals. What you want is probability of making the finals given you are in some box on the graph.

For example only 2/42 teams are in box 2x2 while 20/42 are in 10x10. Does that mean it’s harder to make it to the finals if you are top 2 in offense and defense than top 10?

Thinking outside the "Box" now.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Alright, party peeps. Can you name the team in the upper left corner?

Looks like the 2018 Cavs

 

[Wizard Mentor]

Looks like the 2018 Cavs

Yep.

 

[Tince]

Thanks for the graph @Wizard Mentor , love this stuff!

I would've expected a fairly straight line from top left to bottom right, but there is such a weak correlation. Super interesting!

Who are the two teams on the bottom left?

 

[Orion Bailey]

No!

i was reading the chRt wrong. I thought it meant all d and no offense. Its the opposite i see.
So ill go with the wallace pistons?

 

[Orion Bailey]

Yep.

nm. Lol

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Should be noted that 2018 Cavs squad turned up their defense in the playoffs to a level that equated to the 4th best regular season rating that year.

 

[Orion Bailey]

Should be noted that 2018 Cavs squad turned up their defense in the playoffs to a level that equated to the 4th best regular season rating that year.

elite teams have the ability to turn it on and off when it matters. Dame can do it but not the team.

 

[Boise Blazer]

I think what seems so odd about this is that the Blazers have always claimed or seemed to be big on analytics going back to which line ups they said were the best according to the analytics. So it's frustrating that they either don't know these stats (unlikely) or have been unwilling to act on them. You cant base your chances of winning on being the outlier outside of generalation players.