Hammerojustice
Chief Caveman, Keeper of Thor's Hammer
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OK, lots of things are going to change from this year to next year.
Significant money coming off the books (CC, Teixeira, & Ichiro are the same): (about $135.8M coming off) (according to http://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/al-east/new-york-yankees/)
-$25M from A-Rod’s 2014 salary which is $3M or $4M less than 2013 depending on which site you read. So, effectively, it’s $29M coming off the books (not to mention a potential HR bonus of $6M.
-$9.1M coming off for the difference in what the Yankees are paying Vernon Wells next year compared to this year
-+$3.2M as the Yankees are paying $5M of Soriano’s $18M compared to paying $1.8M of it this year.
-$9M as Jeter was getting paid $17M in 2013 and is set for $8M in 2014.
-$15M on Cano. He want’s $30.5M/year going forward which isn’t going to happen, so adios!
-$15M for Granderson
-$15M for Kuroda
-$12M for Pettitte
-$12M for Youkilis
-$10M for Mariano
-$7.15M for Hughes
-Not sure how much the Yankees signed Mark Reynolds for, but the Indians signed him for $6M
-Not sure how much the Yankees paid Brendan Ryan from the trade, but the Mariners signed him for $3.25M
-$3.15M for Boone Logan
-$3.1M for David Robertson (who will hopefully be resigned)
-$3M for Gardner (who will hopefully be resigned)
-$3.125M for Travis Hafner ($2M is base plus $1.125M in bonuses)
-$1.875M for Joba Chamberlain
-$1.25M for Overbay
-Not sure how much the Yankees paid Shawn Kelley from the trade, but the Mariners signed him for $0.935M
-$0.9M for Nix
- Not sure how much the Yankees paid Mike Zagurski, but the Pirates signed him for $???M
-$0.5756M for Ivan Nova (who likely will need to be resigned)
-$0.5333M for Nunez
-$0.528475M for Pineda (Yankees likely need to resign him or will look potentially worse than they do already for trading for him)
-$0.51535M for Cervelli
-$0.5151M for Stewart
-$0.512425M for Phelps (who will likely need to be resigned)
-Not sure how much the Yankees paid David Huff, but the Indians had signed him to $0.4936M
-$0.490525M for Warren
-$0.49M for Cabral
-and unknown amounts for David Adams, Zoilo Almonte, Manny Banuelos, Dellin Betances, Preston Claiborne, Matt Daley, Ramon Flores, Corban Joseph, Brett Marshall, J.R. Murphy, Vidal Nuno, Jose A. Ramirez, Austin Romine, and Nick Turley.
What I’d like to see happen:
-Get McCann for Catcher if he can be had for a 2 or 3 year deal…
-Let Cano walk if he is serious about the $30.5M/year… not many options though out there
-I’d like to see the Yankees sign a SS other than Nunez, maybe Stephen Drew or Jhonny Peralta
-Yankees will need a 3B as A-Rod is likely to be suspended, so resign Mark Reynolds
-Need at least 2 OF, probably 3 to go with the only currently signed OF of Soriano and Ichiro. I would resign Gardner, Shin-Soo Choo, and Ellsbury
-Sign Kendrys Morales as a back-up 1B/DH
-Sign Mark Reynolds as back-up 1B
-Sign at least 4 SP to go with CC… Not much out there… BUT… I would resign Nova and maybe some combination of Kuroda (if he can be talked back with the team), Ervin Santana, Matt Garza?, Scott Kazmir?, James Shields if his option isn’t picked up, Chad Gaudin?, or Tim Lincecum?... again, not much out there…
-I would steer clear of resigning Hughes how had a Yankees worst ever home ERA of 6.32. his overall ERA of 5.19 wasn’t much better…
-Even though Champerlain had better numbers than Hughes as far as ERA, I wouldn’t resign him either… in fact avoid him like the plague…
-If Robertson doesn’t close, then who? Not much else out there
-Bull pen help… not much out there either…
This also doesn’t include the fact that if Cashman isn’t fired (which he probably will be), he should be. Seems like a likely candidate to replace would be Oppenheimer, but someone else…
Considering all the injuries (145 games lost for Jeter, 147 games lost for Teixeira, ~118 games lost for A-Rod, 134 games lost for Youkilis, ~75 games lost for Jayson Nix, 101 games for Granderson, entire season for Michael Pineda, , 2 things need to happen… We need new medical trainers, and Girardi didn’t do a half bad job considering all the injuries and scrubs who filled in as replacements… not to mention the fact there really aren’t options out there for a new manager, Girardi (I know I’ll get heat for this) should be retained.
Now, Considering we have a declining CC and will be losing Pettitte and likely Kuroda as well as Mariano in the end, we are looking at a pitching staff that will likely be far worse than this year. This team finished with a 1.31 WHIP (18th in MLB, 7th in AL), an ERA of 3.94 (18th in MLB, 8th in AL), 84 Quality Starts (17th in MLB, 7th in AL), had an 0.318 OBP (16th in MLB, 7th in AL), 0.413 SLG (23rd in MLB, 10th in AL), 2.82 K/BB was 26th in MLB/14th in AL, we were 5th in MLB/3rd in AL in saves with 49, but with the loss of Mariano, that will likely fall, Conversely, we only had 13 blown saves all year (tied with 2 other teams and only 1 better than us) and this will also likely be worse without Mariano… I think these will all be worse…
Compare that to the hitting who without Cano and A-Rod will suffer… 650 runs scored (203 less than the leader/16th in MLB/10th in AL), 0.242 team batting average (tied for 24th in MLB/tied for 12th in AL), 0.307 OBP (23rd in MLB/12th in AL), 0.376 SLG (27th in MLB/14th in AL), 144 HR (22nd in MLB/14th in AL), 1214 K’s (only 13 teams worse in MLB/6 teams worse in AL), 466 BBs (19th in MLB/10th in AL), 415 Extra Base Hits (27th in MLB/13th in AL), only hit a HR once every 37.8 at bats (tied for 21st in MLB/13th in AL)
Now they were good at fielding… only 2 teams (Baltimore and Tampa Bay) had fewer errors. Take out the 14 that Nunez had (12 in only 75 games played at SS which would project to 26 in a full season) or the 2 Jeter had (in 13 games at SS projecting to 25 as well) that would be even better… and the Yankees combined for 21 (of the 69 total) at SS. Not saying I want to replace Jeter, but Nunez only had 3 HR (projected to just over 5 HRs for a full season) and a 0.260 AVG in 90 games. Jeter had 1 HR in 17 games (projected to about 10 for a full season).
Long term plan, I’d like to see Hank/Hal sell the team as quickly as possible to someone who gives a damn… that combined with a better GM, this team should return to greatness
Thoughts???
Significant money coming off the books (CC, Teixeira, & Ichiro are the same): (about $135.8M coming off) (according to http://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/al-east/new-york-yankees/)
-$25M from A-Rod’s 2014 salary which is $3M or $4M less than 2013 depending on which site you read. So, effectively, it’s $29M coming off the books (not to mention a potential HR bonus of $6M.
-$9.1M coming off for the difference in what the Yankees are paying Vernon Wells next year compared to this year
-+$3.2M as the Yankees are paying $5M of Soriano’s $18M compared to paying $1.8M of it this year.
-$9M as Jeter was getting paid $17M in 2013 and is set for $8M in 2014.
-$15M on Cano. He want’s $30.5M/year going forward which isn’t going to happen, so adios!
-$15M for Granderson
-$15M for Kuroda
-$12M for Pettitte
-$12M for Youkilis
-$10M for Mariano
-$7.15M for Hughes
-Not sure how much the Yankees signed Mark Reynolds for, but the Indians signed him for $6M
-Not sure how much the Yankees paid Brendan Ryan from the trade, but the Mariners signed him for $3.25M
-$3.15M for Boone Logan
-$3.1M for David Robertson (who will hopefully be resigned)
-$3M for Gardner (who will hopefully be resigned)
-$3.125M for Travis Hafner ($2M is base plus $1.125M in bonuses)
-$1.875M for Joba Chamberlain
-$1.25M for Overbay
-Not sure how much the Yankees paid Shawn Kelley from the trade, but the Mariners signed him for $0.935M
-$0.9M for Nix
- Not sure how much the Yankees paid Mike Zagurski, but the Pirates signed him for $???M
-$0.5756M for Ivan Nova (who likely will need to be resigned)
-$0.5333M for Nunez
-$0.528475M for Pineda (Yankees likely need to resign him or will look potentially worse than they do already for trading for him)
-$0.51535M for Cervelli
-$0.5151M for Stewart
-$0.512425M for Phelps (who will likely need to be resigned)
-Not sure how much the Yankees paid David Huff, but the Indians had signed him to $0.4936M
-$0.490525M for Warren
-$0.49M for Cabral
-and unknown amounts for David Adams, Zoilo Almonte, Manny Banuelos, Dellin Betances, Preston Claiborne, Matt Daley, Ramon Flores, Corban Joseph, Brett Marshall, J.R. Murphy, Vidal Nuno, Jose A. Ramirez, Austin Romine, and Nick Turley.
What I’d like to see happen:
-Get McCann for Catcher if he can be had for a 2 or 3 year deal…
-Let Cano walk if he is serious about the $30.5M/year… not many options though out there
-I’d like to see the Yankees sign a SS other than Nunez, maybe Stephen Drew or Jhonny Peralta
-Yankees will need a 3B as A-Rod is likely to be suspended, so resign Mark Reynolds
-Need at least 2 OF, probably 3 to go with the only currently signed OF of Soriano and Ichiro. I would resign Gardner, Shin-Soo Choo, and Ellsbury
-Sign Kendrys Morales as a back-up 1B/DH
-Sign Mark Reynolds as back-up 1B
-Sign at least 4 SP to go with CC… Not much out there… BUT… I would resign Nova and maybe some combination of Kuroda (if he can be talked back with the team), Ervin Santana, Matt Garza?, Scott Kazmir?, James Shields if his option isn’t picked up, Chad Gaudin?, or Tim Lincecum?... again, not much out there…
-I would steer clear of resigning Hughes how had a Yankees worst ever home ERA of 6.32. his overall ERA of 5.19 wasn’t much better…
-Even though Champerlain had better numbers than Hughes as far as ERA, I wouldn’t resign him either… in fact avoid him like the plague…
-If Robertson doesn’t close, then who? Not much else out there
-Bull pen help… not much out there either…
This also doesn’t include the fact that if Cashman isn’t fired (which he probably will be), he should be. Seems like a likely candidate to replace would be Oppenheimer, but someone else…
Considering all the injuries (145 games lost for Jeter, 147 games lost for Teixeira, ~118 games lost for A-Rod, 134 games lost for Youkilis, ~75 games lost for Jayson Nix, 101 games for Granderson, entire season for Michael Pineda, , 2 things need to happen… We need new medical trainers, and Girardi didn’t do a half bad job considering all the injuries and scrubs who filled in as replacements… not to mention the fact there really aren’t options out there for a new manager, Girardi (I know I’ll get heat for this) should be retained.
Now, Considering we have a declining CC and will be losing Pettitte and likely Kuroda as well as Mariano in the end, we are looking at a pitching staff that will likely be far worse than this year. This team finished with a 1.31 WHIP (18th in MLB, 7th in AL), an ERA of 3.94 (18th in MLB, 8th in AL), 84 Quality Starts (17th in MLB, 7th in AL), had an 0.318 OBP (16th in MLB, 7th in AL), 0.413 SLG (23rd in MLB, 10th in AL), 2.82 K/BB was 26th in MLB/14th in AL, we were 5th in MLB/3rd in AL in saves with 49, but with the loss of Mariano, that will likely fall, Conversely, we only had 13 blown saves all year (tied with 2 other teams and only 1 better than us) and this will also likely be worse without Mariano… I think these will all be worse…
Compare that to the hitting who without Cano and A-Rod will suffer… 650 runs scored (203 less than the leader/16th in MLB/10th in AL), 0.242 team batting average (tied for 24th in MLB/tied for 12th in AL), 0.307 OBP (23rd in MLB/12th in AL), 0.376 SLG (27th in MLB/14th in AL), 144 HR (22nd in MLB/14th in AL), 1214 K’s (only 13 teams worse in MLB/6 teams worse in AL), 466 BBs (19th in MLB/10th in AL), 415 Extra Base Hits (27th in MLB/13th in AL), only hit a HR once every 37.8 at bats (tied for 21st in MLB/13th in AL)
Now they were good at fielding… only 2 teams (Baltimore and Tampa Bay) had fewer errors. Take out the 14 that Nunez had (12 in only 75 games played at SS which would project to 26 in a full season) or the 2 Jeter had (in 13 games at SS projecting to 25 as well) that would be even better… and the Yankees combined for 21 (of the 69 total) at SS. Not saying I want to replace Jeter, but Nunez only had 3 HR (projected to just over 5 HRs for a full season) and a 0.260 AVG in 90 games. Jeter had 1 HR in 17 games (projected to about 10 for a full season).
Long term plan, I’d like to see Hank/Hal sell the team as quickly as possible to someone who gives a damn… that combined with a better GM, this team should return to greatness
Thoughts???