14.5 - 16 ppg 10 - 12 Rebounds 1.8 - 2.3 blks is the floor for Oden next year. Anything less then something right in that range would be a huge disappointment to me and I'm a HUGE Oden backer. I knew Oden's rookie season would be almost a wash and was pleasantly surprised with his domination of the Offensive glass. I do think Oden is a once in a generation center who happens to be on a loaded team. I expect him to lead the league in Rebounds in the not too distant future and quite possibly blocks.
He will never average 29ppg because he doesn't have to. Shaq is a once in two generation talent comparable to Wilt only. Russell, Kareem, Thurmond, Robinson, Ewing, Hakeem, Howard these are going to be Oden's peers. Shaq was a giant in an era with no other giants. Had Shaq come out in 1983 his career might have been very different indeed.
Oden belongs to the class of centers like Russell, Thurmond and Howard defensive beasts capable of big offensive games when needed. If I had the 2007 draft to do over again I take Oden and I don't look back. KD will never win a ring and would have been horrible with Roy. We would have had something akin to GS run TMC days. All sorts of scoring a threat to take out anyone in the first round, but always a bridesmaid, never and NBA champ. Oden has to grab the mantle of greatness. If he doesn't we will likely only be also rans.