OK, It's Time...How Many Wins?

Welcome to our community

Be a part of something great, join today!

oldguy

Well-Known Member
Joined
Sep 29, 2008
Messages
2,817
Likes
78
Points
48
I'm going with 59 wins, 1st in division.

Goal: WCF

Go Blazers
 
...61 Wins!!!

...1st in division!!!

...WCF minimum!!!

...at least two all-stars!!!

...greatest fans in the NBA!!!
 
54 wins due to a slow start, but with a blazing finish and first round win.
 
58 wins

NW Division champion
 
57 wins, win the division, lose in the WCF.
 
58 wins

NW Division champion
This^^^^ and we lose to the Lakers in 6 or 7 in the WCF. Sorry, but barring injury we won't get past LA + refs + Stern. We need another year to be a big enough juggernaut to crush that triumvirate of terror.

Edit: OMG I totally forgot to mention Oden = M.I.P
 
Last edited:
IMHO, 63 is the ceiling and 50 is the floor for this team. That's a 13-game (~16%) swing. 57 is the median of that, so I'll go with it. That's .695 winning percentage. Our win percentage after the All-Star Break was .733 (22-8), so I feel pretty comfortable saying we can make .695 over a season.

So, my predictions (as of 10/25/09):

57-25 regular season
1st in the NW Division
3rd seed overall in the West (LA/SA/POR/DEN/DAL/PHX/UTA/LAC)

10-9 playoffs:
Win 4-2 against PHX
Win 4-3 against SA
Lose 4-2 in WCF to LA
 
75 wins

Win championship

3 all stars.
 
53 wins ... due to injuries / something totally unforeseen.

Lose in 2nd round

G.O. = moderate success
 
I'm going with 60 wins (best in the Western Conference), first in the NW Division and "upsetting" the Lakers in the WCF. Once we get to the finals, anything can happen. It all comes down to match-ups and injuries.

I actually think both the Lakers and Spurs are better "on paper", but both are much older and more likely to suffer injuries to key players.

Although we have some players with injury history, and we are trying to integrate Andre Miller, the Lakers are much older, also have players with injury histories, and are trying to integrate Ron Artest. I think they will have both more injuries and more chemistry issues than the Blazers and that will limit them to 58 regular season victories. That gives us HCA in the WCF, and we all know how the Lakers struggle at the Rose Garden.

The Spurs are ancient. Duncan played much of last season on one leg and Ginobili is also injury prone. They really filled out their bench nicely through trades, free agent signings and the draft, but how far they go in the play-offs will still come down to the health of Duncan, Ginobil and Parker.

BNM
 
BTW, I think we will only have 1 all-star - Brandon Roy. I think that's good as it will motivate Aldridge and Oden to prove the doubters wrong over the second half of the season and in the play-offs. Given the lack of dominant centers in the West, I think Oden actually has a better chance to make the all-star team than Aldridge. With Yao out, if Oden can put up 14/10 over the first half of the season, he will be deserving. However, I think there are too many voters who prematurely labeled Oden a bust and he'll have to absolutely dominate for them to admit to themselves they were wrong.

BNM
 
...I am curious, why/how would anyone predict a digression in the win column this season [illogical if you ask me :crazy:]?!?!?!
 
62. WCF. I think, due to position, LMA is a long way away from being an all-star. I hope he does, but I don't see it happening. If Greg plays like he can, I think he's a coaches' pick
 
I'm feeling 59 wins, but lose in the Western Conference Finals.
 
...I am curious, why/how would anyone predict a digression in the win column this season [illogical if you ask me :crazy:]?!?!?!

Integrating new players into the rotation will lead to a transition period. Rudy and Batum show no signs of improvement. Joel, Blake, and Outlaw have all peaked and may regress. There are plenty of reasons for the team to spend the first half of the season treading water.

If they get it together and peak in time for the play-offs, who cares? Championships aren't won in November and December.
 
54 wins. Second in the division, but we make it to the second round this year.

Ed O.
 
I'm comfortable predicting 58 wins. That's why I'm predicting 62.

I'm not ready to handicap the second season yet. But I'm optimistic.

:cheers:
 
...I am curious, why/how would anyone predict a digression in the win column this season [illogical if you ask me :crazy:]?!?!?!

Because I think it will take a while to get chemistry together, but once it does, we will go far in the playoffs.
 
55 wins/Lose in 2nd round/ 1 All-Star=BRoy
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top