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KingSpeed

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I've been driving like crazy and I've been wanting to start this thread but I haven't been able to until now. What I'd like to ask people is, in light of our performance against the team that swept us in the playoffs, does this point to us being a better team this year? How are we better? Do people feel we have made progress and will be better in the playoffs? Has Stotts improved as a coach? Thank you for your thoughts in advance.
 
I've been driving like crazy and I've been wanting to start this thread but I haven't been able to until now. What I'd like to ask people is, in light of our performance against the team that swept us in the playoffs, does this point to us being a better team this year? How are we better? Do people feel we have made progress and will be better in the playoffs? Has Stotts improved as a coach? Thank you for your thoughts in advance.

Though i do beleive we are improving, i think its more of an NO regression. Without rhondo they seem lost. No leadership.
 
Regular season doesn't matter.
I get a good laugh/head shake when people say. 'Blow it up'. After x loss or after x point spread at half time.
Or when people say.
'This proves we're not ready for the playoffs'.. In December/January.

For this team regular season doesn't matter history has shown they're going to make the playoffs(pending injury, knock on wood).
So no one knows yet.
Portland beat the Pelicans twice in the regular season last year as well iirc.
 
I've been driving like crazy and I've been wanting to start this thread but I haven't been able to until now. What I'd like to ask people is, in light of our performance against the team that swept us in the playoffs, does this point to us being a better team this year? How are we better? Do people feel we have made progress and will be better in the playoffs? Has Stotts improved as a coach? Thank you for your thoughts in advance.
Of course. We've now got their number. Couple that with the fact that I've never been a fan of Gentry and NOLA is toast in Portland or against Portland on their home court.
 
Portland beat New Orleans twice in the regular season last year...and they've beat them twice this season. Of course, both wins were at the Moda. Blazers won't play the Pelicans on their floor till March 15, and that's the only remaining game. So. considering how integral Rondo was to the Pelicans last season, I don't think they are a good gauge

is Portland better? Well, Nurkic looks better this season and is having a bigger impact. Aminu is having perhaps his best season as a Blazer. CJ is the same although may be more of a black hole this year. Dame is Dame. Harkless has been injured but Layman is much better this season. Turner is Turner. Meyers is playing like a big man some of the time but he's not as good as Davis was. Curry/Stauskas isn't really any better than Bazz/Pat. Zach has shown some upside, but his inconsistency and constant foul trouble is limiting his impact

in other words, the parts seem a little better but I'm not sure the sum of the parts is. And, maybe most important, the flaw New Orleans exposed, that being that Portland is rudderless when Dame is shut down, has not been fixed. Maybe, in the playoffs, Portland will go up against a team that can't exploit that flaw as well as New Orleans did, but that weakness is still there.

finally, the record is deceiving because Portland has such a large imbalance in home/road games. So...better? maybe, maybe not. Too early to tell
 
Playoffs will tell us very little if we open up against the Warriors though. Losing to N.O last year was bad, but if we lose to the same team everyone else loses to in the west, like the previous two years, it won't tell us much at all. Just that the Warriors are a lot better. No news flash there.
 
Nope. Not convinced until we do something in the playoffs. Until then they're just any other streaks in the regular season.
 
Portland beat New Orleans twice in the regular season last year...and they've beat them twice this season. Of course, both wins were at the Moda. Blazers won't play the Pelicans on their floor till March 15, and that's the only remaining game. So. considering how integral Rondo was to the Pelicans last season, I don't think they are a good gauge

is Portland better? Well, Nurkic looks better this season and is having a bigger impact. Aminu is having perhaps his best season as a Blazer. CJ is the same although may be more of a black hole this year. Dame is Dame. Harkless has been injured but Layman is much better this season. Turner is Turner. Meyers is playing like a big man some of the time but he's not as good as Davis was. Curry/Stauskas isn't really any better than Bazz/Pat. Zach has shown some upside, but his inconsistency and constant foul trouble is limiting his impact

in other words, the parts seem a little better but I'm not sure the sum of the parts is. And, maybe most important, the flaw New Orleans exposed, that being that Portland is rudderless when Dame is shut down, has not been fixed. Maybe, in the playoffs, Portland will go up against a team that can't exploit that flaw as well as New Orleans did, but that weakness is still there.

finally, the record is deceiving because Portland has such a large imbalance in home/road games. So...better? maybe, maybe not. Too early to tell

Yes we have had more home games so far this season, but we also have had one of the toughest schedules to date as well. Last year I heard several posters constantly harp on our easy schedule last year but nobody seems to give us credit this year for having the record we do with one of the toughest schedules.
 
I echo all the playoffs comments.

Quick was on a podcast recently and said the same. Jobs are on the line this year for Terry and Neil and the threshold to cross is the first round of the playoffs. If they fail to do that again, he thinks there's a sorta mandate that both are gone.
 
I think we are about the same. Pelicans are much worse than they were last season, they were 47-35 last year from what I remember and will be lucky to win 40 games this year.
 
Playoffs will tell us very little if we open up against the Warriors though. Losing to N.O last year was bad, but if we lose to the same team everyone else loses to in the west, like the previous two years, it won't tell us much at all. Just that the Warriors are a lot better. No news flash there.

I doubt we will play Warriors. I don’t think we will drop below 5th seed. Warriors will finish ahead of us, some of Nuggets, Thunder, Rockets and Jazz will be ahead of us but won’t be surprised at all if we are 3rd or 4th. It will be tough to catch Nuggets but we should be able to finish ahead everyone else.
 
I've been driving like crazy and I've been wanting to start this thread but I haven't been able to until now. What I'd like to ask people is, in light of our performance against the team that swept us in the playoffs, does this point to us being a better team this year? How are we better? Do people feel we have made progress and will be better in the playoffs? Has Stotts improved as a coach?

Next time, just text while you drive!

You should have learned from last time--The regular season is not an accurate predictor for the playoffs. We're better in how Stotts uses Nurkic. We're worse in 3 ways--McCollum diminishing, Zach Collins replacing Ed Davis, and Harkless' injury.
 
I doubt we will play Warriors. I don’t think we will drop below 5th seed. Warriors will finish ahead of us, some of Nuggets, Thunder, Rockets and Jazz will be ahead of us but won’t be surprised at all if we are 3rd or 4th. It will be tough to catch Nuggets but we should be able to finish ahead everyone else.

Too close to call. 4 games separate 3rd and 10th. Like last year there will not be much difference between a lot of teams.
 
Yes we have had more home games so far this season, but we also have had one of the toughest schedules to date as well. Last year I heard several posters constantly harp on our easy schedule last year but nobody seems to give us credit this year for having the record we do with one of the toughest schedules.

a lot of people around here are certainly giving Portland credit for that SOS. You just did yourself. And Portland has a fairly easy remaining SOS. But the flaw with SOS is that it doesn't account for Home/Road

Portland's home/road imbalance can't be ignored, especially knowing how difficult it is to win on the road, even against weaker teams. By my count, 1 team (Spurs) has played 25 home games; 6 different teams have played 24 home games; 22 other teams have played 20-23 home games. Portland has played 27 home games, by far the most in the league. They have a 27-20 home/road imbalance which is huge. They've played a lot of good teams but they've played a lot of those games at the Moda

look at this:

* Golden State: 24 home games; 32 wins +8

* Denver: 23 home games; 30 wins +7

* OKC: 21 home games; 26 wins +5

* Utah: 21 home games; 26 wins +5

* Spurs: 25 home games; 27 wins +2

* Houston: 23 home games; 25 wins +2

* Lakers: 24 home games; 25 wins +1

* Clippers: 24 home games; 25 wins +1

* Portland: 27 home games; 28 wins +1

last year, Portland finished at +8 in their home/Win balance. Winning on the road has always been the key to a good season and currently, Portland ranks 8th among the 9 conference contenders in road winning %. That's not a good sign, especially considering how many road games they have left. They have 14 home games left; to match last season's record of 49 wins, they would have to go +8 the rest of the way. That's a real tall order, even with an easy SOS

it's possible. Last season after 47 games, Portland was at +1 with a harder SOS left than this season. But they went ballistic when Dame went into superstar mode and had a 13 game win streak while going 19-4 over a 23 game stretch. That was the hottest stretch of Blazer basketball since they went 31-9 to start the 2013-14 season. But in that 23 game stretch, 15 games were at home. They won't have anything close to that advantage this season

I'm not discounting Portland's SOS situation. I'm just saying that the home/road imbalance is a lot bigger factor than the SOS believers seem willing to admit

edit: I just looked and Portland's remaining SOS is not easy and it's not hard. Right in the middle:

http://www.tankathon.com/remaining_schedule_strength
 
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a lot of people around here are certainly giving Portland credit for that SOS. You just did yourself. And Portland has a fairly easy remaining SOS. But the flaw with SOS is that it doesn't account for Home/Road

Portland's home/road imbalance can't be ignored, especially knowing how difficult it is to win on the road, even against weaker teams. By my count, 1 team (Spurs) has played 25 home games; 6 different teams have played 24 home games; 22 other teams have played 20-23 home games. Portland has played 27 home games, by far the most in the league. They have a 27-20 home/road imbalance which is huge. They've played a lot of good teams but they've played a lot of those games at the Moda

look at this:

* Golden State: 24 home games; 32 wins +8

* Denver: 23 home games; 30 wins +7

* OKC: 21 home games; 26 wins +5

* Utah: 21 home games; 26 wins +5

* Spurs: 25 home games; 27 wins +2

* Houston: 23 home games; 25 wins +2

* Lakers: 24 home games; 25 wins +1

* Clippers: 24 home games; 25 wins +1

* Portland: 27 home games; 28 wins +1

last year, Portland finished at +8 in their home/Win balance. Winning on the road has always been the key to a good season and currently, Portland ranks 8th among the 9 conference contenders in road winning %. That's not a good sign, especially considering how many road games they have left. They have 14 home games left; to match last season's record of 49 wins, they would have to go +8 the rest of the way. That's a real tall order, even with an easy SOS

it's possible. Last season after 47 games, Portland was at +1 with a harder SOS left than this season. But they went ballistic when Dame went into superstar mode and had a 13 game win streak while going 19-4 over a 23 game stretch. That was the hottest stretch of Blazer basketball since they went 31-9 to start the 2013-14 season. But in that 23 game stretch, 15 games were at home. They won't have anything close to that advantage this season

I'm not discounting Portland's SOS situation. I'm just saying that the home/road imbalance is a lot bigger factor than the SOS believers seem willing to admit


Sorry, but I think much of our differences is that you look for negatives and reasons to discount the Blazers accomplishments as I tend to look for the positives. Life is much more fun when focusing on positives rather than dwelling on the negatives, but that's just my opinion.
 
The continued development of Nurkic and the use the of the PnR between him and Lillard means we are better.

We're still not a 2nd round team... yet.
 
The way we are playing now we are better. Last year it was Dame and CJ show by putting up about 50 percent. This year it really didn't change and for awhile we didn't look like we was going make the playoffs. But things started to change right around we beat Golden State we started sharing the ball more and getting more assist in the game. Better player movement and ball movement. Yes we lost close games to couple good teams. But the way we are playing right now makes us better then last year.
 
Sorry, but I think much of our differences is that you look for negatives and reasons to discount the Blazers accomplishments as I tend to look for the positives. Life is much more fun when focusing on positives rather than dwelling on the negatives, but that's just my opinion.

This may be just me, but I'm an extremely positive person (as people who have met me can attest to)... Yes, I battle pretty major depression, but I always tend to look at the positive side of negative things in life. One of the things I've learned in the last decade or so is to change how I look at something. "How can I use this to help me?" "How can this teach me a lesson" Instead of "The world is out to get me." "Why me?". I still have my moments, but I'm in them far less.

However, when it comes to sports, me looking at the negatives in it doesn't affect or reflect my views in life. It's just a game. I'll cheer when an individual person does great (I.E. Nurk, Dame, Jake, etc), but when it comes to overall team success... regular season just doesn't hit me the same as playoffs. If we do well in the playoffs then it's something. I still watch most games, but until the team shows consistency in the playoffs.. well, you know. But in the regular season, I don't lose sleep over a loss and don't get too high on a win. I get frustrated when constantly we lose because of the same thing, but I don't lose sleep over it because in the end it doesn't really matter until the playoffs (or, if you know you're not making it, the next few years).

That's just my longwinded way of saying life and sports emotional wise doesn't hit everyone the same. And this is no reflection on you, I'm only speaking for me.
 
Portland beat New Orleans twice in the regular season last year...and they've beat them twice this season. Of course, both wins were at the Moda. Blazers won't play the Pelicans on their floor till March 15, and that's the only remaining game. So. considering how integral Rondo was to the Pelicans last season, I don't think they are a good gauge

is Portland better? Well, Nurkic looks better this season and is having a bigger impact. Aminu is having perhaps his best season as a Blazer. CJ is the same although may be more of a black hole this year. Dame is Dame. Harkless has been injured but Layman is much better this season. Turner is Turner. Meyers is playing like a big man some of the time but he's not as good as Davis was. Curry/Stauskas isn't really any better than Bazz/Pat. Zach has shown some upside, but his inconsistency and constant foul trouble is limiting his impact

in other words, the parts seem a little better but I'm not sure the sum of the parts is. And, maybe most important, the flaw New Orleans exposed, that being that Portland is rudderless when Dame is shut down, has not been fixed. Maybe, in the playoffs, Portland will go up against a team that can't exploit that flaw as well as New Orleans did, but that weakness is still there.

finally, the record is deceiving because Portland has such a large imbalance in home/road games. So...better? maybe, maybe not. Too early to tell

Pretty much my thoughts, except I think Curry is a bigger improvement over bazz. 3pt% alone puts him over.

The only other thing I would counter is the end of the schedule. Though we do have more road games, we play better in the second half as well. I think we are a little better, and have an upward trend. These things combined will get us 49-50 wins but much better entering the playoffs than last year because of another year of growth, development and syncing up.

We need to make it to the second round and then ah==have a good start to next year and go all in at the trade deadline with our expirings.
 
Yes we have had more home games so far this season, but we also have had one of the toughest schedules to date as well. Last year I heard several posters constantly harp on our easy schedule last year but nobody seems to give us credit this year for having the record we do with one of the toughest schedules.

Not to beat another dead horse, but until the figure out how to tweak SOS to reflect the difference between road games and home games, I have to question the accuracy.

Edit: Oops, others beat me to it. Nevermind! :deadhorse:
 
https://www.blazersland.com/are-the-blazers-better-this-season/

Yes and no.

The Blazers are a little bit better. They seem to be unstoppable when they play extensively through Nurkic, who has had his best season thus far. It opens up the Blazers offense and disallows the opponents defense from isolating Portland's guards. Lillard and CJ are Lillard and CJ. Portland would be a lot better if they played through one another rather than parallel to one another. But, using Nurkic as a conduit is proving rather effective in its stead.

The Blazers have also have moved the ball much better this year. They are up to 22.5 APG from 19.5 last season. Not a huge jump, but it shows. Last year most of the Blazers assists were at the arc. This season we are seeing more assists at the basket, with cutters hitting the paint for open shots off confused and disoriented defenses who are still adjusting to Portland's movement. They are use to last seasons team which was largely stagnant and seemed to have less movement then residents at an old folks home.

The Blazers bench is also somewhat better. They are at about 34 points a game up 6 points from last season. Curry is better than Napier, but needs to produce more. He is finding his legs after a season off and with them his consistency. Pat Connaughton and Nik Stauskas are interchangeable. Their stats are practically identical. Connaughton had slightly better shooting percentages, and Stauskas averages slightly more points a game. They both have suffered at the hands of inconsistency.

Zach Collins is still young and developing, and he is struggling a bit with more minutes and responsibility. But, his numbers are up. The Loss of Ed Davis has hurt the Blazers, but not as badly as expected. Evan Turner is finally fitting in to an applicable degree, after giving the Blazers and the fans headaches, earlier this year and the last few seasons.

Meyers Leonard 6.0 aka "the hammer" is a vast improvement over his ill-achieved previous iterations. He can score effectively and set screens like no ones business. He has helped Portland's bench take a step forward this year. He should get more plays called for him.

Jake Layman has been the biggest and most pleasant surprise. Everytime he plays, it is like opening presents on Christmas morning. He can hit the three with savage ease or get to the basket with ungodly speed. He is a hell of a cutter. Opponents are still trying to figure him out.


The Blazers are 28-19, three wins better than this time last season when they were 25-21. Last season they had a 5 game losing streak, this year they have 2 three game losing streaks. Over all it is pretty even. The Blazers have an easier second half of the season schedule this year as opposed to last. Will they get another 13 game winning streak? No. But, they will get their wins a different way. The Blazers will probably end their season a couple games ahead of last season say 51 or 52 wins.

Is Terry Stotts better this year? No. Not really. He is starting to learn to adjust to opponents a bit, and he is using timeouts more efficiently, but he is commiting a lot of the same mistakes. Overplaying the bench, making costly gameplan mistakes at the end of games, and is still married to that damned index card. He is roughly the same coach as he has been.

Does two effective beat downs of the Pelicans who swept Portland in the 1st round of the playoffs mean the Blazers are better? No. The first meeting saw Anthony Davis sitting on the bench in his suit. There is no equitable measurement to be had there. The second meeting was a dog fight till Jake Layman came in the game. Gentry was using the same tactic he used in the playoffs to suffocate Lillard and McCollum with double teams. But, Aminu who was left open was having an on night from the arc. It was shot for shot basically. The Blazers had a small lead going into the 2nd. The Pelicans fought back and then Stotts brought in Layman, who had 20 points in the quarter. Gentry and Pelicans weren't ready for that, they hadn't thought of it. How could they have? You can bet when the Blazers see the Pelicans in New Orleans in a couple months, they will give Layman a bit more respect.

Also, trading Rajon Rondo hurt the Pelicans badly. Payton is a heavy downturn at PG. They will look to upgrade at the deadline. So, part of Portland's success in those games is that the Pelicans got worse. They don't get all the credit though.

And, before you say, "But, the Blazers beat the champs in overtime in Oakland, they must be far better," remember the champion Warriors trounced them in the two meetings before that. The Warriors have gotten worse too, but I expect them to be #1 at the end of the season. They have had injuries, but also they miss the prescence of Javale McGee dearly. Their center Damion Jones suffered a season ending injury. And, they have been without DeMarcus Cousins who has recently returned. He is going to help them wipe the floor with opponents, and shore up any weakness they have had.

Will the Blazers fare better in the playoffs? Maybe. Portland has had more help this year, and they may bring in another player or two at the deadline. Will the Blazers get to the 2nd rnd? Depends on the matchup. Depends on if they run the ball through Nurkic or settle on Iso ball. Depends on the Blazers movement and trust in one another. So, yeah the Blazers are a little bit better. They are headed in the right direction. They will need more help before they can make a deep run. But, I believe they can make a hell of a dent.
 
https://www.blazersland.com/are-the-blazers-better-this-season/

Yes and no.

The Blazers are a little bit better. They seem to be unstoppable when they play extensively through Nurkic, who has had his best season thus far. It opens up the Blazers offense and disallows the opponents defense from isolating Portland's guards. Lillard and CJ are Lillard and CJ. Portland would be a lot better if they played through one another rather than parallel to one another. But, using Nurkic as a conduit is proving rather effective in its stead.

The Blazers have also have moved the ball much better this year. They are up to 22.5 APG from 19.5 last season. Not a huge jump, but it shows. Last year most of the Blazers assists were at the arc. This season we are seeing more assists at the basket, with cutters hitting the paint for open shots off confused and disoriented defenses who are still adjusting to Portland's movement. They are use to last seasons team which was largely stagnant and seemed to have less movement then residents at an old folks home.

The Blazers bench is also somewhat better. They are at about 34 points a game up 6 points from last season. Curry is better than Napier, but needs to produce more. He is finding his legs after a season off and with them his consistency. Pat Connaughton and Nik Stauskas are interchangeable. Their stats are practically identical. Connaughton had slightly better shooting percentages, and Stauskas averages slightly more points a game. They both have suffered at the hands of inconsistency.

Zach Collins is still young and developing, and he is struggling a bit with more minutes and responsibility. But, his numbers are up. The Loss of Ed Davis has hurt the Blazers, but not as badly as expected. Evan Turner is finally fitting in to an applicable degree, after giving the Blazers and the fans headaches, earlier this year and the last few seasons.

Meyers Leonard 6.0 aka "the hammer" is a vast improvement over his ill-achieved previous iterations. He can score effectively and set screens like no ones business. He has helped Portland's bench take a step forward this year. He should get more plays called for him.

Jake Layman has been the biggest and most pleasant surprise. Everytime he plays, it is like opening presents on Christmas morning. He can hit the three with savage ease or get to the basket with ungodly speed. He is a hell of a cutter. Opponents are still trying to figure him out.

The Blazers are 28-19, three wins better than this time last season when they were 25-21. Last season they had a 5 game losing streak, this year they have 2 three game losing streaks. Over all it is pretty even. The Blazers have an easier second half of the season schedule this year as opposed to last. Will they get another 13 game winning streak? No. But, they will get their wins a different way. The Blazers will probably end their season a couple games ahead of last season say 51 or 52 wins.

Is Terry Stotts better this year? No. Not really. He is starting to learn to adjust to opponents a bit, and he is using timeouts more efficiently, but he is commiting a lot of the same mistakes. Overplaying the bench, making costly gameplan mistakes at the end of games, and is still married to that damned index card. He is roughly the same coach as he has been.

Does two effective beat downs of the Pelicans who swept Portland in the 1st round of the playoffs mean the Blazers are better? No. The first meeting saw Anthony Davis sitting on the bench in his suit. There is no equitable measurement to be had there. The second meeting was a dog fight till Jake Layman came in the game. Gentry was using the same tactic he used in the playoffs to suffocate Lillard and McCollum with double teams. But, Aminu who was left open was having an on night from the arc. It was shot for shot basically. The Blazers had a small lead going into the 2nd. The Pelicans fought back and then Stotts brought in Layman, who had 20 points in the quarter. Gentry and Pelicans weren't ready for that, they hadn't thought of it. How could they have? You can bet when the Blazers see the Pelicans in New Orleans in a couple months, they will give Layman a bit more respect.

Also, trading Rajon Rondo hurt the Pelicans badly. Payton is a heavy downturn at PG. They will look to upgrade at the deadline. So, part of Portland's success in those games is that the Pelicans got worse. They don't get all the credit though.

And, before you say, "But, the Blazers beat the champs in overtime in Oakland, they must be far better," remember the champion Warriors trounced them in the two meetings before that. The Warriors have gotten worse too, but I expect them to be #1 at the end of the season. They have had injuries, but also they miss the presence of Javale McGee dearly. Their center Damion Jones suffered a season ending injury. And, they have been without DeMarcus Cousins who has recently returned. He is going to help them wipe the floor with opponents, and shore up any weakness they have had.

Will the Blazers fare better in the playoffs? Maybe. Portland has had more help this year, and they may bring in another player or two at the deadline. Will the Blazers get to the 2nd rnd? Depends on the matchup. Depends on if they run the ball through Nurkic or settle on Iso ball. Depends on the Blazers movement and trust in one another. So, yeah the Blazers are a little bit better. They are headed in the right direction. They will need more help before they can make a deep run. But, I believe they can make a hell of a dent.

Great post/article! That True Blazer Fan guy could probably use your help with content.

Not to beat another dead horse, but until they figure out how to tweak SOS to reflect the difference between road games and home games, I have to question the accuracy.

Not to be contrarian, but I think the challenge (not travel) of road games can be overblown sometimes. A.) there are many arenas with weak crowds B.) there can be less distractions on the road and it's sometimes easier to get up for an away game when you're facing an opposing crowd.
 
a lot of people around here are certainly giving Portland credit for that SOS. You just did yourself. And Portland has a fairly easy remaining SOS. But the flaw with SOS is that it doesn't account for Home/Road

Portland's home/road imbalance can't be ignored, especially knowing how difficult it is to win on the road, even against weaker teams. By my count, 1 team (Spurs) has played 25 home games; 6 different teams have played 24 home games; 22 other teams have played 20-23 home games. Portland has played 27 home games, by far the most in the league. They have a 27-20 home/road imbalance which is huge. They've played a lot of good teams but they've played a lot of those games at the Moda

look at this:

* Golden State: 24 home games; 32 wins +8

* Denver: 23 home games; 30 wins +7

* OKC: 21 home games; 26 wins +5

* Utah: 21 home games; 26 wins +5

* Spurs: 25 home games; 27 wins +2

* Houston: 23 home games; 25 wins +2

* Lakers: 24 home games; 25 wins +1

* Clippers: 24 home games; 25 wins +1

* Portland: 27 home games; 28 wins +1

last year, Portland finished at +8 in their home/Win balance. Winning on the road has always been the key to a good season and currently, Portland ranks 8th among the 9 conference contenders in road winning %. That's not a good sign, especially considering how many road games they have left. They have 14 home games left; to match last season's record of 49 wins, they would have to go +8 the rest of the way. That's a real tall order, even with an easy SOS

it's possible. Last season after 47 games, Portland was at +1 with a harder SOS left than this season. But they went ballistic when Dame went into superstar mode and had a 13 game win streak while going 19-4 over a 23 game stretch. That was the hottest stretch of Blazer basketball since they went 31-9 to start the 2013-14 season. But in that 23 game stretch, 15 games were at home. They won't have anything close to that advantage this season

I'm not discounting Portland's SOS situation. I'm just saying that the home/road imbalance is a lot bigger factor than the SOS believers seem willing to admit

edit: I just looked and Portland's SOS is not easy and it's not hard. Right in the middle:

http://www.tankathon.com/remaining_schedule_strength
Oh this again...

Road games against the Pistons are easier than home games against the Warriors. Just sayin.
 
Great post/article! That True Blazer Fan guy could probably use your help with content.



Not to be contrarian, but I think the challenge (not travel) of road games can be overblown sometimes. A.) there are many arenas with weak crowds B.) there can be less distractions on the road and it's sometimes easier to get up for an away game when you're facing an opposing crowd.
:biglaugh:
 
As a self-described Blazers Homer, I would say that they are better, but negligibly so.

I don't have the stats to back me up (anyone, please chime in with stats), but our bench seems to regularly have a negative +/- during games.

Random Sample:
Our Bench against NOLA: positive, +/-.
Our bench against Cavs: negative +/- (and we won by 17)
Our bench against Kings: -7.something, we lost by 8.
Our bench against Nuggs: -1.something, we lost by 3.
Our bench vs. Hornets: +8, we won by 31 (bench not needed)
Our bench vs. Bulls: Big +/- (starters were evenish, bench really won us the game)
...
Basically, our bench isn't as good as it should be to compete. Doesn't seem appreciably better than last year.
 
Oh this again...

Road games against the Pistons are easier than home games against the Warriors. Just sayin.

* 9 of Portland's 20 road games have been against teams with losing records (10 if you count the 1-4 Rockets). Portland lost 5 of those games, so counting on a bunch of future road wins against losing teams seems a little questionable, especially considering...

* 10 of Portland's remaining 21 remaining road games are against teams with losing records

* if Portland matches their current home and road winning percentages over the rest of the season, they'd end up with 46-36 record. Looking at home/road balance seems on topic in a thread asking if Portland is better than last season...no?

Sorry, but I think much of our differences is that you look for negatives and reasons to discount the Blazers accomplishments as I tend to look for the positives. Life is much more fun when focusing on positives rather than dwelling on the negatives, but that's just my opinion.

ok...I'm going to call bullshit on that until you can point out what was actually negative about my post. I simply pushed back against the SOS narrative by illustrating home/road imbalance and home/win differentials for the 9 WC playoff contenders. Since when is +1 negative?

Pretty much my thoughts, except I think Curry is a bigger improvement over bazz. 3pt% alone puts him over..

yeah, maybe. I think Connaughton was better than Stauskas though

as far as Curry and his 3pt%, that might give him an edge in the Stotts offense, but overall, I question if Curry is better, mainly because Napier crushes Curry in just about every metric other than 3ptFg%. Napier was a better defender as well

one bad thing Napier did was join the Dame-CJ-Turner one-on-one jamboree
 

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