So much for run differential...

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Rick2583

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I forget who brought this statistic up a while back BUT.......The A's are living proof that a high run differential doesn't always = success. Currently they're 4th in the league at +50 and yet there record is only 39-47

As the announcers just pointed out you also need good defense & good pitching. 2 things the A's lack.
 
I forget who brought this statistic up a while back BUT.......The A's are living proof that a high run differential doesn't always = success. Currently they're 4th in the league at +50 and yet there record is only 39-47

As the announcers just pointed out you also need good defense & good pitching. 2 things the A's lack.

Eventually Beane's smoke and mirrors act was going to blow up.
 
Yeah I just didn't get trading Donaldson.
 
...I wonder who would have fared better; Beane, with Cashman's budget?...Or Cashman, with Beane's budget?

...say what you will, but Beane was way ahead of the curve on analytics.
 
The people I feel for are the A's fans. You know that as soon as anyone on your team becomes good you're not going to see him around much longer.
 
...^^^ yeah, the A's have been in that mode for awhile now.
 
The people I feel for are the A's fans. You know that as soon as anyone on your team becomes good you're not going to see him around much longer.


I guess it cuts down on retiring numbers. With only 5 retired to date, Hunter (91), Fingers (93), Jackson (04), Eckersley (05) & Henderson (09) there's not much chance of another one going up anytime in the near future.
 
I forget who brought this statistic up a while back BUT.......The A's are living proof that a high run differential doesn't always = success. Currently they're 4th in the league at +50 and yet there record is only 39-47

As the announcers just pointed out you also need good defense & good pitching. 2 things the A's lack.


Allow me Rick, my pleasure- I happen to be one of those who recognize and see the connection of having a plus run differential and being a GOOD team.
How "good"? Let's pick some cherries...take a look around, how many teams are there in first place with a minus run diff? The year before? The year before?

Let's use a nice round number for starters, the past 10 seasons.
Not a single team in that period played in the WS with a minus reg season run diff.
Only TWICE (past 10 seasons) has a ML team with a minus reg season run differential finished in first place. That's 2 out of 60 teams if you're keeping count.

Only ONCE in the past 10 years has a team (2006 Rockies) finished in last place with a plus run differential, by one run.
That's ONE out of 60 teams if you're keeping count.


Yes, I recall past discussions on this subject and historical teams were also brought up such as the 1969 "Amazing Mets" who happened to have a plus 91 run differential.
And the 1960 Pirates who upset the Yanks - actually having a better run differential than those Yankees.

I know you couldn't actually believe you were debunking this compelling evidence regarding final regular season plus/minus run differentials by mentioning this current A's team.

Nobody ever said there were guarantees....plenty of games played by plenty of teams through many years but as far as being a first place team...and a WS team...the percentages are tremendously favorable for teams with PLUS RUN DIFFERENTIAL,

Same goes for the OTHER way down through the years.... if a team finishes in last place, chances are great they also finished with a negative run differential.

These A's happen to be a huge flukey abberation..... You'll be hard pressed finding teams who finish in last place and/or 8-9 games under .500 with +50 run differential.

Talk about CHERRY PICKING ?
Bringing up these A's in the face of obvious past and present overwhelming numbers is one heck of a cherry pick.
 
...I wonder who would have fared better; Beane, with Cashman's budget?...Or Cashman, with Beane's budget?

...say what you will, but Beane was way ahead of the curve on analytics.

Beane kicks Cashman's butt with the same budget. That's not even debatable....the science is settled.
 

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