Hollinger's Playoff Odds: POR = 99.5% HOU = 49.6% LAL = 0.2% You don't see the difference? One team is a virtual lock to make the playoffs, one has a 50/50 chance and one has virtually no chance. Maybe you don't buy into Hollinger's methods (if you don't please tell us why), but discussing the possibility that the team he gives a 50/50 chance of missing the playoffs might actually do just that hardly seems asinine. If you're going to call other posters threads asinine, you need to be prepared to defend that position. BNM
Did you NOT read my Stats Tricks post? 11 games into the season is right about when KingSpeed makes crazy predictions. Why are you taking this even a little seriously?
Even beyond the record, the strength of schedule, and all that, here's why Portland's practically a lock in Hollinger-Bot's predictions: The Northwest Fucking Sucks as a Division. We're practically guaranteed to win the division, (though injuries happen... *shudder*) which guarantees us a playoff spot.
If the thread title was: "OT: Hollinger Predicts the Rockets Might Miss the Playoffs", would you still have called the OP asinine for starting the thread and suggested he be penalized for doing so? Wouldn't that be a topic worthy of discussion? We talk about power rankings and playoff predictions all the time. Why is it you chose to single out this on thread as asinine? BNM
Obviously that's where SRS (MOV weighted by SOS) comes in. I was just saying, even if it weren't that great, we'd still make the playoffs because of our division being goat turds. What I'm saying is the Northwest is so bad, HOUSTON could make the playoffs playing in the Northwest
Yeah I hear you. But it's really not that bad, but OKC's injury team made it that way. If they were healthy, we could possibly have the 1st and 2nd best team in the west
C'mon--you know why; no need to press the issue. Would you really derive some benefit by getting him to admit to the basis for his grudge?
Here is the OP, well before Hollingers rankings came out. 11 games into the season, or 13% of the season played. To put that inperspective, that is 2 NFL games. Ask Green Bay and New England how they looked early. Saying how horrible they are stating as some kind of fact to back up his post that they would lose to Dallas and the Knicks....which they didn't. Yes their schedule has been easy, the original post was asinine.
You guys are my heroes. They were 9-3 when I started the thread. Look at the post YOU quoted. 9 + 3= 12 Checkmate. Go Blazers! 11-3 with injuries bitches! Hahahahahahaha!
Blazers have had injuries too by the way. We were without our All Star big man for a game and we won. We were without Batum for 4 games and won all 4. We're a deep talented contender. Houston has no depth and can barely beat Lakers and Sixers at home. And the Rockets have won their last two games. Before that, their playoff odds were even lower! Probably 11th or 12th in West.
the hollinger stuff is cool, but it assumes that teams will continue to play exactly as they have up to this point. OKC has an 0.6 chance of making the playoffs in his model. houston could have been playing down to competition, or allowing a bunch of garbage time buckets to make games closer...i havent watched them much. unforseen injuries/regression/improvement/clutchness/etc arent factored in (afaik) that said, i would say that okc has a better chance of making the playoffs than houston, guess we will see though
Who is US??? The TRUTH comes out guys! MediocreMan is a Houston fan, not a Portland fan. He referred to the Rockets as "us." I believe he lives in Houston. This makes sense. Thanks for the Freudian slip, Mr MediocreFan. Now we know your true colors.
You seem to have a curious definition of "fan". Fan = short for fanatic: marked by excessive enthusiasm and often intense uncritical devotion. So, are you a Blazers fan? You seem to be the exact opposite of that definition. You are constantly ripping on the players, the coaches, the GM and your fellow fans. When I think Mediocre Man, the LAST things I think of are excessive enthusiasm and intense uncritical devotion. On the other hand, that's EXACTLY what I think of when I think of KingSpeed and Mags. So, rather than tell Eric his thread is asinine and he's full of bullshit, why not address the topic of this thread? Toss aside your personal opinion of Eric and address that fact the Hollinger's Power Rankings and Playoff Odds both have the Rockets missing the playoffs. It's been pointed out several times that the Rockets low standings in the Hollinger rankings are based on a weak ass SOS and a low ass MOV. If you disagree with Hollinger's projections, please tell us why. BNM
Nah, MM is a Blazers fan. Let's not really go there. What he isn't is a Blazers Fan fan. I wouldn't put up with you guys if I was a fan of another team, either.
