Game Thread 2022-23 Game #5 BLAZERS VS HEAT - OCTOBER 26, 2022 - WEDNESDAY - 7:00 PM (PDT) ROOT

[THE HCP]

Can we all vote on who we are going to absolutely destroy early in this thread, and wish we could trade at halftime because they are so washed up and then kills in the 4th quarter and leads us to victory NOW so I am ready?

 

[Pinwheel1]

I was amazed by the calls in LA. I thought they would get cooked.

They seemed to be bad in the first half, but then they evened out.

 

[HailBlazers]

Can we all vote on who we are going to absolutely destroy early in this thread, and wish we could trade at halftime because they are so washed up and then kills in the 4th quarter and leads us to victory NOW so I am ready?

Of the first 22 games (just picked a random number) I feel these games highlighted we have a shot at winning, honestly. Am I THAT far off?

View attachment 49987

 

[illmatic99]

Spo worries me. This a copycat league and if Spo scouts our new system well and it works, other teams will implement it as well. Doubt we have had any practices to build counters yet.

 

[theprunetang]

Can we all vote on who we are going to absolutely destroy early in this thread, and wish we could trade at halftime because they are so washed up and then kills in the 4th quarter and leads us to victory NOW so I am ready?

HCP looks washed. It looks like he has no burst left at all (aside from at the seams, which are actively bursting). I hope I'm wrong, but I'm not liking what I see so far.

 

[wizenheimer]

HCP looks washed. It looks like he has no burst left at all (aside from at the seams, which are actively bursting). I hope I'm wrong, but I'm not liking what I see so far.

he over-dribbles too, but that can be mitigated with adult diapers.

 

[PDXFonz]

Can we all vote on who we are going to absolutely destroy early in this thread, and wish we could trade at halftime because they are so washed up and then kills in the 4th quarter and leads us to victory NOW so I am ready?

Nurk out worked by Bam tonight?

Could be one of those “someone else’s turn” nights. Hart?

“Why are we starting Hart instead of Nas?” Which could spill over to good ol’ “blame the coach”.

Then there’s always the refs. For when you’re happy with your team but still upset.

Or we could handle business from start to finish and it’s just good vibes all around.

 

[BigGameDamian]

One game at a time. Keep the train rollin!!!

We got this!!!!

 

[BigGameDamian]

When is GP back?

 

[Wade Garrett]

Can we all vote on who we are going to absolutely destroy early in this thread, and wish we could trade at halftime because they are so washed up and then kills in the 4th quarter and leads us to victory NOW so I am ready?

Pretty sure @DDolla will proclaim the blowout is on once the Heat get a 8 point 1st qtr lead.

 

[illmatic99]

When is GP back?

supposedly, he is to be re-evaluted sometime this week.



wording in the press release was not THAT encouraging.

PORTLAND, Ore. (October 13, 2022) – Trail Blazers guard Gary Payton II continues to recover from an off-season procedure to address a core muscle injury. Although his rehab continues to progress well, he will miss the start of the regular season. Payton’s return to play timeline will be re-evaluated in two weeks.

So we'll see how much longer he needs after getting the clear... if he does soon. We saw from Nas that this injury might require quite a bit of ramp-up time.

 

[Idog1976]

the naysayers are correct: it's way too early to jump to any substantial conclusions about the team; or even about the roster

that said, one conclusion you can reach is that this current team plays differently than any other version in the Dame era. Speaking of which, with Grant and Hart, Dame may have the best set of complementary forwards he's had since he's been in the NBA. I think Portland is playing the most entertaining brand of basketball since the Rasheed/Pippen years; or maybe what Portland flashed a little of in the Roy/Aldridge years when Oden actually played

obviously, that entertainment factor has been ratcheted way up because of the 4 wins. Portland has been cooking; They are 10th in FG%, 6th in 3ptFG%, and 1st in FTA. That has made them 5th in TS%. I'm optimistic about the team but I just don't believe they are that good a shooting team; I anticipate a regression. It's also a case that Portland has played 3 games that have been even or within a point in the final minute, and won them all. History tells us that even good teams are only going to win about half of those games. It sure helps having Dame but it's almost certain that close game record will even out

anyway, it's going to be a real challenge for the Blazers tonight. A team like Miami usually comes out determined and aggressive in the first game of a road trip

Hmm, FTA’s may come down but I actually think we are a BETTER 3pt% team than has shown thus far. Consider Ant is below his career average and considerably so. Dame is a bit above average but is healthy for the first time in years so I think he only drops off a bit and Simons makes up for that. Hart has Ant and Dame to play off of and he will keep getting wide open looks. So while Hart’s 3pt% is high, it isn’t that inflated when you look at the context. Little and Sharpe are going to get endless wide open looks. I think our shooting is sustainable and maybe even will have improvement if Ant becomes more consistent thereby opening it up for Dame, Sharpe and Hart.

 

[Idog1976]

Im almost more curious when Sarr will be back. I want to see what he can do and we desperately bned more center depth. No question GPII will help us a ton, just I am almost like, jeez thats less PT for Sharpe. It’s a good problem to have but I really want Sharpe to get PT and development.

 

[illmatic99]

Im almost more curious when Sarr will be back. I want to see what he can do and we desperately bned more center depth. No question GPII will help us a ton, just I am almost like, jeez thats less PT for Sharpe. It’s a good problem to have but I really want Sharpe to get PT and development.

i don't think GP2's return will affect Shaedon with the kinda minutes our other guards/wings are getting:

Hart (leading the team currently): 37.5 mpg
Simons: 37.3 mpg
Dame: 37 mpg
Grant: 36.5 mpg
Winslow: 25 mpg

Shaedon: 15.3 mpg
Nas: 13.8 mpg

Can easily eek out 15-20 mpg from the top 5 guys listed in the rotation to get GP2 on the floor without touching Sharpe's spot in the rotation.

 

[twobullz]

Did I see watford was listed as questionable. I think he will add something to the rotation.

 

[PDXFonz]

When is GP back?

i don't think GP2's return will affect Shaedon with the kinda minutes our other guards/wings are getting:

Hart (leading the team currently): 37.5 mpg
Simons: 37.3 mpg
Dame: 37 mpg
Grant: 36.5 mpg
Winslow: 25 mpg

Shaedon: 15.3 mpg
Nas: 13.8 mpg

Can easily eek out 15-20 mpg from the top 5 guys listed in the rotation to get GP2 on the floor without touching Sharpe's spot in the rotation.

Im almost more curious when Sarr will be back. I want to see what he can do and we desperately bned more center depth. No question GPII will help us a ton, just I am almost like, jeez thats less PT for Sharpe. It’s a good problem to have but I really want Sharpe to get PT and development.

Glove 2.0 might be the best defender in the NBA.

The way he times his blocks on Jokic is insane.

 

[wizenheimer]

Hmm, FTA’s may come down but I actually think we are a BETTER 3pt% team than has shown thus far. Consider Ant is below his career average and considerably so. Dame is a bit above average but is healthy for the first time in years so I think he only drops off a bit and Simons makes up for that. Hart has Ant and Dame to play off of and he will keep getting wide open looks. So while Hart’s 3pt% is high, it isn’t that inflated when you look at the context. Little and Sharpe are going to get endless wide open looks. I think our shooting is sustainable and maybe even will have improvement if Ant becomes more consistent thereby opening it up for Dame, Sharpe and Hart.

look....3 pt percentages almost always drop as a season progresses. Happens every year

Portland is shooting 39.5% from 3 right now. Last season, Miami led the league shooting 37.9%. The Warriors shot 36.4%. Teams have hit that .395 mark before, but only about a half dozen times in the last 10 years, and those times were mostly by the Warriors or the Spurs

now, it's possible that Portland could regress in percentage at a lesser rate than the league average regression. But I'd be pretty confident the Blazers won't finish at 39%, let alone improve on their current 39.5%

Portland's 3 pt percentages the last few years, going backwards from last season:

.346
.385 (might be the Blazer record)
.377
.359
.366
.375
.370
.362
.372
.353 (Dame's rookie season)

 

[Irish Trader]

Interesting the bookies lines look like we are almost a 2 to 1 underdog in this game. Interesting to see how this all works out. I finally live in an area where i get root and all the blazer games. Years spent just a couple of miles from the limit radius to show games. Good year so far with the team playing well to be able to see all the games via cable and not have to rely on streaming.

 

[SharpeScooterShooter]

No national media respect yet that im aware of.
And i believe thats a great thing!!!

 

[PDXFonz]

Interesting the bookies lines look like we are almost a 2 to 1 underdog in this game. Interesting to see how this all works out. I finally live in an area where i get root and all the blazer games. Years spent just a couple of miles from the limit radius to show games. Good year so far with the team playing well to be able to see all the games via cable and not have to rely on streaming.

Bookies are valuing Miami and thinking that they’ve had a tough few games and are likely to come out ready to play and hungry for a win. Probably has a lot to do with the national view. That Portland has been somewhat fortunate in close wins, and is over performing expectations. Then there are all the statistical algorithms which are processed and a part of it.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Interesting the bookies lines look like we are almost a 2 to 1 underdog in this game.

That's how ESPN has it too.

 

[SharpeScooterShooter]

That's how ESPN has it too.

View attachment 50400

Estimating
Spreads
Poorly
Now

 

[PDXFonz]

Estimating
Spreads
Poorly
Now

Expert
Sports
Predictions
Never

 

[KSF-ERIC]

You don’t know why? The heat are one of the best teams in the east. That’s reason enough FAMS.

1-3. 1-4 after tonight. Last year was last year.

 

[riverman]

I wouldn't be shocked to see Meyers Leonard in the crowd at this game

 

[THE HCP]

1-3. 1-4 after tonight. Last year was last year.

I can’t believe I’m actually responding to you. So according to your thinking…..Utah and the Spurs are better than Golden State, Denver and the CLippers. They finish ahead of them in the standings? So the Jazz would have the HCA against the Warriors THIS season? That’s what you are saying?

 

[THE HCP]

Please have him answer this, PLEASE!

 

[PDXFonz]

*deleted*

Okay let’s shake hands.

I appreciate both of you and your takes, views, and opinions. Like polar opposites sometimes.

You with your relentlessly brutal optimism and desire for everyone to know you are correct.

Him and his I’d rather be happy to be wrong horrible win predictions.

We’re all too big of hoops nerds to not know the game.

 

[THE HCP]

Okay let’s shake hands.

I appreciate both of you and your takes, views, and opinions. Like polar opposites sometimes.

You with your relentlessly brutal optimism and desire for everyone to know you are correct.

Him and his I’d rather be happy to be wrong horrible win predictions.

You are honestly typing that our takes and views are similar? WHat the fuck!?

 

[THE HCP]

I’m actually offended by this.