Boob-No-More
Why you no hire big man coach?
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This is an update of my previous thread: 38 - 24 with 20 Games to Go - Acceptable?
In the five games since that thread, the Blazers have gone 3 - 2, in spite of Brandon Roy missing the first four of those five games - and also playing four of the top teams in the league (Celtics, Hornets, Lakers and Pistons - who came into Portland on a 7-game winning streak).
Simply multiplying their current record (22 - 14) times two, would put the team at 44 - 28 with 10 games to play and on pace to win 50 games.
Would you be happy with a 50-win season and a 6th or 7th seed in the Western Conference?
Again, I'm a little more optimistic than that. The stretch between now and the All-Star game is one of the easiest on the Blazers' schedule. Over that 16 game stretch, 12 of the 16 games against teams that are below 0.500. I expect the team to win at least 12 of the next 16, possibly even one or two more. But, I'll be conservative at call it 12 - 4 between now and the All-Star break. That would put the team at 34 - 18 at the break and on pace for 54 wins.
Again, my original pre-season prediction was for 56 - 58 wins. That is still within reach - especially if the team wins 13 or 14 of the next 16 games and goes into the All-Star break at 35 - 17 or 36 - 16.
The post All-Star break has 16 home games and 14 road games remaining on the schedule. The last 30 games are also an odd mix of opponents. The Blazers will have a LOT of games left against some of the bottom teams in the league (3 against OKC, 4 against MEM, 2 against LAC, 2 against MIN) and quite a few against some of the top teams in the league (3 against SAS, 2 against LAL), but relatively few games against middle of the road teams. They will also have two more against DEN - including the regular season finale.
So, what do you think? Would you be happy with 50 wins? 54? I'm still hoping for 56 - 58 wins and HCA in the 1st round, but even if we "only" win 50 and make the play-offs, I will consider that significant forward progress from last season.
BNM
In the five games since that thread, the Blazers have gone 3 - 2, in spite of Brandon Roy missing the first four of those five games - and also playing four of the top teams in the league (Celtics, Hornets, Lakers and Pistons - who came into Portland on a 7-game winning streak).
Simply multiplying their current record (22 - 14) times two, would put the team at 44 - 28 with 10 games to play and on pace to win 50 games.
Would you be happy with a 50-win season and a 6th or 7th seed in the Western Conference?
Again, I'm a little more optimistic than that. The stretch between now and the All-Star game is one of the easiest on the Blazers' schedule. Over that 16 game stretch, 12 of the 16 games against teams that are below 0.500. I expect the team to win at least 12 of the next 16, possibly even one or two more. But, I'll be conservative at call it 12 - 4 between now and the All-Star break. That would put the team at 34 - 18 at the break and on pace for 54 wins.
Again, my original pre-season prediction was for 56 - 58 wins. That is still within reach - especially if the team wins 13 or 14 of the next 16 games and goes into the All-Star break at 35 - 17 or 36 - 16.
The post All-Star break has 16 home games and 14 road games remaining on the schedule. The last 30 games are also an odd mix of opponents. The Blazers will have a LOT of games left against some of the bottom teams in the league (3 against OKC, 4 against MEM, 2 against LAC, 2 against MIN) and quite a few against some of the top teams in the league (3 against SAS, 2 against LAL), but relatively few games against middle of the road teams. They will also have two more against DEN - including the regular season finale.
So, what do you think? Would you be happy with 50 wins? 54? I'm still hoping for 56 - 58 wins and HCA in the 1st round, but even if we "only" win 50 and make the play-offs, I will consider that significant forward progress from last season.
BNM
