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PDXFonz

PDXFonz

I’m listening
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That is what vegas has set for the Blazers win total O/U.

Team Wins
Golden St. 66.5 Minnesota 41.5
Cleveland 56.5 Charlotte 39.5
San Antonio 56.5 Dallas 39.5
LA Clippers 53.5 Milwaukee 39.5
Boston 51.5 Chicago 38.5
Toronto 49.5 New York 38.5
Utah 47.5 Miami 36.5
Portland 46.5 New Orleans 36.5
Detroit 45.5 Orlando 36.5
Okla. City 45.5 Denver 34.5
Atlanta 43.5 Sacramento 32.5
Indiana 43.5 Philadelphia 27.5
Memphis 43.5 Phoenix 26.5
Washington 42.5 LA Lakers 24.5
Houston 41.5 Brooklyn 20.5

If you wen't to Vegas and could only place one bet who would you take the O/U on?

I like the chances we win 47 or more games, but I'm not sure that is what I would bet on. I might take Utah or LAC on the under.
 
Last edited:
I'd take the under on Utah.
Defense is Solid. But how many bottom 25 offenses in the league have got HCA in the first round
 
what is with the utah dickriding jesus its a national epidemic!

But yeah rockets over and jazz under would be my bets they are a 44 win team just like last year

also might take the knicks over 38.5 even with jerian grant playing pg they are still at the very least a .500 club
 
Gotta take the over on GSW.

Portland looks pretty well-rated. I'd take the over as a homer, but it's damn close this year.
 
Boob-No-More said:
Hah! Id definitely take the over on the Blazers. I just finished typing up my reasons here.

I'd also take the under on UTA. The only player on that roster to ever average over 20 ppg in a season is Joe Johnson, and that was like a hundred years and several teams ago.

BNM
Click to expand...

I'm with you that 56 wins versus last year's teams is a solid prediction. I'm tempering the number down only because I don't know how much better everyone else got in the West.
 
BlazerCaravan said:
Gotta take the over on GSW.
Click to expand...

Disagree. They will be better on paper, but they got the record last year and will take their foot off the gas during the regular season. They won't start 24-o and Kerr will take a page out of Pop's playbook and rest key players after they clinch the No. 1 seed with 2 - 3 weeks left in the regular season. They may win more than 66 games, but it's not a gimme. I'm predicting 65 - 68 wins for them.

BNM
 
If healthy, Houston and Phoenix look like the safest overs imo. Charlotte is in that mix too. Nobody stands out as an easy under, but if I had to pick one, OKC would be it. That team is going to be ugly offensively (bottom 10 in the league ugly) and I don't trust enough of their guys defensively to make up for that.
 
And here are the odds for each team to win their division

Atlantic Odds Southwest Odds
Boston 10/11 San Antonio 1/7
Toronto 5/4 Memphis 8/1
New York 8/1 Houston 15/1
Philadelphia 35/1 Dallas 25/1
Brooklyn 200/1 New Orleans 40/1

Central Odds Northwest Odds
Cleveland 1/10 Utah 2/1
Detroit 12/1 Portland 9/4
Indiana 15/1 Okla. City 5/2
Milwaukee 25/1 Minnesota 5/1
Chicago 40/1 Denver 50/1

Southeast Odds Pacific Odds
Atlanta 9/5 Golden St. 1/40
Washington 2/1 LA Clippers 7/1
Charlotte 4/1 Sacramento 150/1
Miami 8/1 Phoenix 300/1
Orlando 8/1 LA Lakers 500/1
 
Fonzthecpt1 said:
And here are the odds for each team to win their division

Atlantic Odds Southwest Odds
Boston 10/11 San Antonio 1/7
Toronto 5/4 Memphis 8/1
New York 8/1 Houston 15/1
Philadelphia 35/1 Dallas 25/1
Brooklyn 200/1 New Orleans 40/1

Central Odds Northwest Odds
Cleveland 1/10 Utah 2/1
Detroit 12/1 Portland 9/4
Indiana 15/1 Okla. City 5/2
Milwaukee 25/1 Minnesota 5/1
Chicago 40/1 Denver 50/1

Southeast Odds Pacific Odds
Atlanta 9/5 Golden St. 1/40
Washington 2/1 LA Clippers 7/1
Charlotte 4/1 Sacramento 150/1
Miami 8/1 Phoenix 300/1
Orlando 8/1 LA Lakers 500/1
Click to expand...

Damn, those are disgusting odds for portland lol.
 
I'll take the over on Portland, just like last year.
 
oldfisherman said:
Some of you guys do not understand HCP’s new math.
His 23 win prediction last season = 44 actual wins.
So HCP’s 28 win prediction this season = 53 actual wins, which sounds about right.
Click to expand...

This is actually brilliant.

Which is how I know YOU made it up! :ghoti:
 
Last summer i took the over, for this season i'm taking the under.

I'd say under on Utah and over on OKC are pretty good as well.

I don't like these kind of bets because it's so dependent on injuries,trades and other unforeseen variables.
 
Yeah I would definitely take the under on GS. Their lack of depth may not make them worse once the playoffs start (and rotations are shortened) but it will take a toll on the long season. And I just don't think they will be as good defensively.

I was thinking 48-50 for Portland. So i might take the under, but it is not a lock like the GS number IMO.

I would also take the over on Indiana.
 
The most egregious one to me is SA. I think they fall to the lower 50s. Rest are pretty fair. Slight over on us. I feel like we hit 50
 
Hmmm......slightly north of 2 x 23.

They're off by at least 10, I say 57 wins.

Homer's Crazy Prediction.
 
chzbrgr said:
what is with the utah dickriding jesus its a national epidemic!
Click to expand...

UTA is fool's gold. I have to wonder if Quin Snyder is the next Nate McMillan. Sure, UTA was ranked second in the league in OPP scoring, largely because they were dead last in pace. Sound familiar? For all the talk about their great defense, they were actually only slightly above league average in things like OPP FG% (13th) and OPP 2 FG% (10th) and below league average in OPP 3FG% (18th). So much of their "elite" defense.

Last year they were 28th in scoring and 2nd in OPP scoring. Anyone who looks at that and doesn't immediately understand it's due to being dead last in pace just doesn't get it. How much did they improve their offense? Will they play at a faster pace this year, and if so how will that impact their defense? I just don't see a team that is that challenged offensively being better than Portland, in spite of their so called "elite defense".

BNM
 
SlyPokerDog said:
San Antonio on the under. LMA is going to struggle trying to fill the leadership void left by Duncan.

It will be so bad that Pops will retire at season's end.
Click to expand...

If he even makes it through the season. If they aren't .500 by the AS game, his ass is grass.
 
SlyPokerDog said:
San Antonio on the under. LMA is going to struggle trying to fill the leadership void left by Duncan.

It will be so bad that Pops will retire at season's end.
Click to expand...
I've actually been giving serious thought to the potential that Pop retires from the league and turns his focus to coaching team USA.

I don't think it will be this year, but when Parker and Ginobili retire I could definitely see that happening. Next summer olympics is in 4 years, so maybe in 3 seasons Pop retires.
 
Utah is not as good as everyone says they are. In fact, I think the 8 playoff teams will be the same as last year, 2014, and would've been 2015 if OKC had been healthy. That 8 is tough to crack and Utah won't break through. I take the under on Utah and over on Portland. If Blazers are reasonably healthy, they will win 50-55 games. Utah will be lucky to win 42 games.
 
I think I'd take the under on GS too. These super teams usually disappoint in their first regular season.
 
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