7 game road trip predictions

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PtldPlatypus said:
Dallas has Luka and Carlisle. None of the 4 teams I mentioned have a player or coach on their level.
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@ Miami Heat 111 120
@ Minnesota Timberwolves 96 112
@ Dallas Mavericks 102 111
@ Memphis Grizzlies 83 92
@ Sacramento Kings 107 115
@ Dallas Mavericks 101 102

the Blazers have booted a few road game this year when they were seemingly superior. Certainly Cleveland should be an easy win, but

But Brooklyn had an all-star in Russell who has had some monster games this season, and Charlotte has Kemba Walker. Memphis still has Conley and have added Avery Bradley so they have a pretty solid defensive guard tandem. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying Portland shouldn't be favored. But some of these teams are not pushovers, and 5 of the 7 games are against teams fighting for playoff position...and Portland has a 10-15 road record and a 6-12 road record against teams that were playoff teams at the time

Blazers could overcome all of that and go on a tear...they've done it every one of the last 3 seasons, but all those hot-streaks coincided with a home-heavy schedule
 
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wizenheimer said:
@ Miami Heat 111 120
@ Minnesota Timberwolves 96 112
@ Dallas Mavericks 102 111
@ Memphis Grizzlies 83 92
@ Sacramento Kings 107 115
@ Dallas Mavericks 101 102

the Blazers have booted a few road game this year when they were seemingly superior. Certainly Cleveland should be an easy win, but

But Brooklyn had an all-star in Russell who has had some monster games this season, and Charlotte has Kemba Walker. Memphis still has Conley and have added Avery Bradley so they have a pretty solid defensive guard tandem. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying Portland shouldn't be favored. But some of these teams are not pushovers, and 5 of the 7 games are against teams fighting for playoff position...and Portland has a 10-15 road record and a 6-12 road record against teams that were playoff teams at the time

Blazers could overcome all of that and go on a tear...they've done it every one of the last 3 seasons, but all those hot-streaks coincided with a home-heavy schedule
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Nurk can't handle Whiteside; Miami's a bad matchup for us. Plus much like Carlisle, Spoelstra's a better coach than Stotts. No surprise that we lost both games to them this year.
Sacto is a good team. Losing on the road to them is not an upset.

I'm not saying that there's no way the Blazers lose those games. I am saying that the Blazers are far enough superior to those teams that the grind of travel is not/should not be an excuse if they do lose them.
 
PtldPlatypus said:
I'm not saying that there's no way the Blazers lose those games. I am saying that the Blazers are far enough superior to those teams that the grind of travel is not/should not be an excuse if they do lose them.
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ok then, that's a little different and I agree with you there. They will be starting that trip after 8 days off so they should be rested. It's not like 7 games in 10 days either. It's 7 games in two weeks and not a single back-to-back. If Portland drops any of those games, I'd be confident it will be for reasons like stupid turnovers, or horrible shot selection, or some opposing player going into superstar mode
 
6 and 1
This is it-the start of the winning streak on the way to winning the WCF and the NBA Championship! The Blazers learned how to have the team chemistry to win over the NBA Champs GSW and have new scoring weapons, defensive determination, and improving discipline that make a difference from last season. Let's imagine what can be!
 
calvin natt said:
A combination of playing good teams on the road, not overreacting to the win last night, guys getting used to each other, and their current road record.
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All valid points. I tend to think that the team is starting to come together and they'll have one of their typical springtime surges.

But then, I am an eternal optimist. How else could I survive following this team for so long?
 
Impossible to say. Let’s wait and see how Kanter fits in. This win over the Warriors may be the beginning of something very, very good.
 
blue9 said:
Prediction: Lose the games we should win, win the games we should lose. And also lose some of the games we should lose.
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This is certainly how it always feels like on a road trip, especially when we're playing well.

I'm going to predict 2-5, cementing the likelihood we go 5-2. :)
 
This team is great at manufacturing hope when all seems lost, and then squashing that hope.

Well we just saw them crush the defending champs, so let me just say my expectations are fairly low for this road trip.
 
calvin natt said:
A combination of playing good teams on the road, not overreacting to the win last night, guys getting used to each other, and their current road record.
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2-5? Haha cmon man...
Games We Should Win:
Brooklyn
Cavaliers
Memphis
Charlotte

Games We Shouldn't Win:
Toronto
Philadelphia
Boston

At worst, I see us losing one of those top 4 games and all three bottom games and going 3-4. I expect 4-3 though, and optimistically hoping for 5-2.
 
wizenheimer said:
@ Miami Heat 111 120
@ Minnesota Timberwolves 96 112
@ Dallas Mavericks 102 111
@ Memphis Grizzlies 83 92
@ Sacramento Kings 107 115
@ Dallas Mavericks 101 102

the Blazers have booted a few road game this year when they were seemingly superior. Certainly Cleveland should be an easy win, but

But Brooklyn had an all-star in Russell who has had some monster games this season, and Charlotte has Kemba Walker. Memphis still has Conley and have added Avery Bradley so they have a pretty solid defensive guard tandem. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying Portland shouldn't be favored. But some of these teams are not pushovers, and 5 of the 7 games are against teams fighting for playoff position...and Portland has a 10-15 road record and a 6-12 road record against teams that were playoff teams at the time

Blazers could overcome all of that and go on a tear...they've done it every one of the last 3 seasons, but all those hot-streaks coincided with a home-heavy schedule
Click to expand...
Miami - Had our number this year, for whatever reason.
Minnesota - Played them in our worst stretch of the season.
Dallas - Great home team (terrible road team) with a good coach and Luka... One of them was the worst collapse of the season.
Sacremento - Better than Brooklyn, Memphis, Charlotte, and Cleveland.
Memphis - Was playing much better early in the year and that was before they traded away a collection of starters.

Brooklyn, Charlotte, and especially Memphis and Cleveland don't stack up to those games you listed. The first two aren't pushovers but we're the much better team.

- Russell would be an average starting PG in the West. We have the advantage at multiple positions, and will be rested out of the break. They won't have Dinwiddie either.
- If you're listing Avery Bradley as a chance Memphis could win then I don't know what to say except that the dudes been absolutely terrible this year. And now he's their 2nd best player. They suck now.
- Charlotte has Kemba? They had Kemba when we whipped them by 30 earlier this year.

All I'm saying is, many of the games you listed either took absolutely terrible play by us, or were harder than the upcoming Charlotte, Brooklyn, Cleveland, and Memphis games.

Also wouldn't surprise me if we pulled out a win in Boston or Philadelphia.
 
BonesJones said:
Miami - Had our number this year, for whatever reason.
Minnesota - Played them in our worst stretch of the season.
Dallas - Great home team (terrible road team) with a good coach and Luka... One of them was the worst collapse of the season.
Sacremento - Better than Brooklyn, Memphis, Charlotte, and Cleveland.
Memphis - Was playing much better early in the year and that was before they traded away a collection of starters.

Brooklyn, Charlotte, and especially Memphis and Cleveland don't stack up to those games you listed. The first two aren't pushovers but we're the much better team.

- Russell would be an average starting PG in the West. We have the advantage at multiple positions, and will be rested out of the break. They won't have Dinwiddie either.
- If you're listing Avery Bradley as a chance Memphis could win then I don't know what to say except that the dudes been absolutely terrible this year. And now he's their 2nd best player. They suck now.
- Charlotte has Kemba? They had Kemba when we whipped them by 30 earlier this year.

All I'm saying is, many of the games you listed either took absolutely terrible play by us, or were harder than the upcoming Charlotte, Brooklyn, Cleveland, and Memphis games.

Also wouldn't surprise me if we pulled out a win in Boston or Philadelphia.
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I don't really disagree that much with what you said there or what the platypus said earlier; just that penciling in wins in those 4 games, might be more optimistic than realistic. Cleveland would definitely be a bad loss; they simply suck. And the Nets have lost 5 of 7. But I'd say those 3 games against the Nets, Charlotte, and Memphis are going to be against similar competition as those losses against Dallas, Minny and the Kings.

if I was to predict, I'd probably go with 4-3. I think the Blazers will win one of the games against the eastern powers, but will also drop one of those 3 games against the also-rans
 
You know what really stands out to me is that the Blazer bench has been not nearly as good on the road as at home. I think this road trip is a huge oppurtunity for Jake and the new guys to prove they can really help the team get wins on the road.

Im actually curious statistically what the stats say, but it seems like the bench has been not nearly as good in away games.
 
TorturedBlazerFan said:
You know what really stands out to me is that the Blazer bench has been not nearly as good on the road as at home. I think this road trip is a huge oppurtunity for Jake and the new guys to prove they can really help the team get wins on the road.

Im actually curious statistically what the stats say, but it seems like the bench has been not nearly as good in away games.
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Turner: 47.2 FG% home/45.5% road; 8.2 pts home/6.6 pts road; +8.4 home/-10.5 road

Layman: .645 TS% home/.620 road; 9.3 pts home/6.6 pts road; +6.7 home/-0.3 road

Meyers: .685 TS% home/.662 road; 6.9 pts home/5.0 pts road; +3.3 home/-18.8 road

Zach: .583 TS% home/.546 road; 7.5 pts home/5.8 pts road; +4.7 home/-14.0 road

Curry: .571 TS% home/.589 road; 6.7 pts home/5.5 pts road; +11.5 home/-9.4 road

yeah, generally they shoot worse and score less on the road, but my guess is that's pretty typical for 2nd unit players. The real and gaping differential is in plus/minus. That's where the bench is really failing. Since, the differentials in shooting and scoring aren't that big, the plus/minus differential really seems to suggest the bench is sucking big time defensively on the road. I doubt Kanter is going to help that, but maybe his offense can offset some of the differential
 
So we'll beat Charlotte, Cleveland and Memphis. Then I think there will be a lot of very competitive games that we'll hopefully win half of. 5-2 would be absolutely fantastic. Go Blazers!!!
 
2/3 of the NBA have sub .500 records on the road. Decades of watching NBA games has convinced me there is no such thing as an "easy" road trip. 3-4 would be a relief. 2-5 isn't even pessimistic.
 
I'd be happy with 3-4.
4-3 would be better
5-2 would be better than that.
6-1 would be fun to watch.
7-0 would shake this place!
8-0 as @SlyPokerDog has predicted would make me wonder what they were doing in Brooklyn? I'm sure it would be fun to score enough to get a win off the court also.
 
kjironman1 said:
I'd be happy with 3-4.
4-3 would be better
5-2 would be better than that.
6-1 would be fun to watch.
7-0 would shake this place!
8-0 as @SlyPokerDog has predicted would make me wonder what they were doing in Brooklyn? I'm sure it would be fun to score enough to get a win off the court also.
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Count it an extra victory if Dame or Seth win the 3-point shootout tonight.
 
Seems this thread needs a bump with the final game of the road trip tonight. Seems like the dish below is appropriate for some regardless of the outcome tonight.

6a00d83451574c69e201b7c8adfb84970b-pi
 
kjironman1 said:
I'd be happy with 3-4.
4-3 would be better
5-2 would be better than that.
6-1 would be fun to watch.
7-0 would shake this place!
8-0 as @SlyPokerDog has predicted would make me wonder what they were doing in Brooklyn? I'm sure it would be fun to score enough to get a win off the court also.
Click to expand...

Covering all the bases
 
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