8/22 ESPN Power Rankings - Blazers 10th in West

[SharpesTriumph]

Seems similar to most betting odds, Blazers 125-1 to win the title.

1 GSW
2 MEM
3 PHX
4 LAC
5 DAL
6 DEN

7 MIN
8 NOP
9 LAL
10 PDX

11 SAC
12 UTH
13 SAS
14 OKC
15 HOU

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id...akers-all-30-teams-stand-ahead-2022-23-season

 

[tlongII]

The over/under for wins by Portland in Vegas is 39.5. I put $100 on the over.

 

[Strenuus]

The over/under for wins by Portland in Vegas is 39.5. I put $100 on the over.

How is it to know you've already won?!

 

[Pinwheel1]

I think 7th is attainable without the competition getting hit with crucial injuries. Higher if a few teams do, and there always seem to be a few. Of course, if we are one of those injured teams, then the lottery it is.

 

[theprunetang]

I see 5th through 12th as the likely edges of our window. I would expect us to finish in the middle of that somewhere like 7th through 9th.

 

[tlongII]

How is it to know you've already won?!

I also put $100 on the under for the Seahawks at 5.5 wins for the season.

 

[STOMP]

These rankings are pretty much exactly as I see it & 10th was what I picked in the recent prediction thread. Of course some teams will suffer injuries and not live up to expectations, hopefully Portland isn't one of them.

STOMP

 

[THE HCP]

10th is spot on.

 

[Cugel]

I wish I could disagree.

 

[SlyPokerCat]

Surprised we haven't had someone comment yet that they are way off.

We are going to make the play in barring injuries. And we will give up our pick to Chicago if we make the playoffs and make some hedge moves next offseason and try to sell fans on internal growth in hopes we make the 5th or 6th seed the next year. So exciting.

 

[PDXFonz]

The over/under for wins by Portland in Vegas is 39.5. I put $100 on the over.

What is it -125?

No way it’s a +/-

 

[tlongII]

What is it -125?

No way it’s a +/-

It's the over/under. If they win 40 or more I win $100. If they win 39 or less I lose $100.

 

[PDXFonz]

It's the over/under. If they win 40 or more I win $100. If they win 39 or less I lose $100.

An O/U line doesn’t always guarantee 2X though.

Still, that’s solid.

Considering your confidence in them going at least 40-42; how do you feel about the odds of them winning the Northwest division? What does your bookie give you on that?

 

[tlongII]

An O/U line doesn’t always guarantee 2X though.

Still, that’s solid.

Considering your confidence in them going at least 40-42; how do you feel about the odds of them winning the Northwest division? What does your bookie give you on that?

You're right, it doesn't. I would actually win $91. I was just rounding up.

 

[tlongII]

An O/U line doesn’t always guarantee 2X though.

Still, that’s solid.

Considering your confidence in them going at least 40-42; how do you feel about the odds of them winning the Northwest division? What does your bookie give you on that?

I don't think they will win the division. I just got back from Vegas yesterday. No bookie.

 

[KSF-ERIC]

Seems similar to most betting odds, Blazers 125-1 to win the title.

1 GSW
2 MEM
3 PHX
4 LAC
5 DAL
6 DEN

7 MIN
8 NOP
9 LAL
10 PDX

11 SAC
12 UTH
13 SAS
14 OKC
15 HOU

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id...akers-all-30-teams-stand-ahead-2022-23-season

I’m enroute to Vegas and I’m going to bet $100 on the Blazers.

 

[KSF-ERIC]

I personally think we’re better than 2020-2021 team and we finished 6th and 42-30. Why won’t we be at least that good this year? Also- won’t be surprised if Denver is #1.

 

[Fairly-Hard]

I personally think we’re better than 2020-2021 team and we finished 6th and 42-30. Why won’t we be at least that good this year? Also- won’t be surprised if Denver is #1.

Your opinion is as good as any. 42 wins could happen. It's not a huge stretch from 39.5 wins.

 

[KSF-ERIC]

Your opinion is as good as any. 42 wins could happen. It's not a huge stretch from 39.5 wins.

That was a 72 game season. So for 82, we should go 48-34 if we’re as good as that team.

 

[PDXFonz]

I don't think they will win the division. I just got back from Vegas yesterday. No bookie.

Wherever you placed the bet is your bookie.

Well, may we both prosper and enjoy a good blazer season then.

 

[tlongII]

Wherever you placed the bet is your bookie.

Well, may we both prosper and enjoy a good blazer season then.

I used the BetMGM app. It's the easiest way to bet in Vegas in my opinion.

 

[Fairly-Hard]

That was a 72 game season. So for 82, we should go 48-34 if we’re as good as that team.

Nah it isn't that big a jump. Add 10 games at 40% win rate and you get 4 games. You could say 50% win rate and say 5 games. Any way you stretch it it ain't getting 48 wins from 39.5.
Wishful thinking is nice but 41 wins would be good for this team IMO.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Nah it isn't that big a jump. Add 10 games at 40% win rate and you get 4 games. You could say 50% win rate and say 5 games. Any way you stretch it it ain't getting 48 wins from 39.5.
Wishful thinking is nice but 41 wins would be good for this team IMO.

If they were 42-30 in 72 games, that's nearly a 60% win rate, so yes, the same rate applied over 82 games would be 48-34.

 

[blazerkor]

Nah it isn't that big a jump. Add 10 games at 40% win rate and you get 4 games. You could say 50% win rate and say 5 games. Any way you stretch it it ain't getting 48 wins from 39.5.
Wishful thinking is nice but 41 wins would be good for this team IMO.

Yeah or instead of you could say, you could just do the math and see that the win rate was 58.3%. So getting 48 wins from 39.5 is a stretch of .17 wins... so not really a stretch at all just a logical rounding up from 47.83 to 48.

 

[julius]

The media (and many fans) have short memories.

Last years team was a dumpster fire, and that would be the case even WITH a healthy Damian.

You put a healthy Damian together with a better starting 5, and 10th is laughably low.

 

[SharpeScooterShooter]

The media (and many fans) have short memories.

Last years team was a dumpster fire, and that was even WITH a healthy Damian.

You put a healthy Damian together with a better starting 5, and 10th is laughably low.

Barring injuries, if healthy i have them in the 5-7 range.

 

[julius]

Barring injuries, if healthy i have them in the 5-7 range.

I think the thing IS, 5-10 probably won't be a big spread win wise.

But also, it's funny that the Lakers are still ahead of the Blazers. LeBron and Davis haven't shown they're capable of playing a whole season + their bench is anemic.

 

[THE HCP]

Where’s the two guy who the other day said we would be better than Minny and Denver.

 

[THE HCP]

But also, it's funny that the Lakers are still ahead of the Blazers. LeBron and Davis haven't shown they're capable of playing a whole season + their bench is anemic.

Back off FAMS!

 

[blazerkor]

Where’s the two guy who the other day said we would be better than Minny and Denver.

I could see Minny struggling with two guys that big and although somewhat athletic for the 5, very slow for the modern 4. So I don't love the way they built this roster. That being said if Anthony Edwards takes his game up to an even higher level this season, yikes!

As far as Denver goes, who the fuck has us better than them if we're both healthy? I mean Murray, KCP, MPJ, Gordon and Joker with guys like Jeff Green, Ish Smith and Bruce Brown off the bench... that's a team that can contend.