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I've been following the election projections at realclearpolitics.com and the senate has been seriously trending toward republicans.
They have it 48 dems, 46 gop as of today, with 6 seats up for grabs.
While RCP uses their average of the polls, I think the trends are more interesting. Like what the most recent polls say vs. an average that includes some polls from 3 weeks ago.
Anyhow, here's the 6 states considered tossup:
W VA Raese (R) +2.5 over Manchin (D)
CO Buck (R) + 2.0 over Bennett (D) - but +4 and +5 in polls this month.
IL Kirk (R) +1.6 over Giannoulias (D) - but +3 and +2 in polls this month.
NV Reid (D) +1 over Angle (R) - but last 4 polls are angle/angle/tie/reid
WA Murray (D) +5.3 over Rossi (R) - 2 week old poll Murray +9, two the last week both Murray +1
CT Blumenthal (D) +4.0 over McMahon (R) - last two polls Blumenthal +3 and +5.
It sure looks like the House will be republican in any case. RCP has 207 Republicans, 191 Democrats with 37 tossups. Republicans need 9 of those 37 tossup races to control the House.
Meanwhile James Clyburn, an honorable member of the house leadership (Majority Whip) and black caucus is trying to spread around the fear.
http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-brief...ority-will-issue-birther-subpoenas-against-ob
Dem Whip: GOP majority will issue birther subpoenas
They have it 48 dems, 46 gop as of today, with 6 seats up for grabs.
While RCP uses their average of the polls, I think the trends are more interesting. Like what the most recent polls say vs. an average that includes some polls from 3 weeks ago.
Anyhow, here's the 6 states considered tossup:
W VA Raese (R) +2.5 over Manchin (D)
CO Buck (R) + 2.0 over Bennett (D) - but +4 and +5 in polls this month.
IL Kirk (R) +1.6 over Giannoulias (D) - but +3 and +2 in polls this month.
NV Reid (D) +1 over Angle (R) - but last 4 polls are angle/angle/tie/reid
WA Murray (D) +5.3 over Rossi (R) - 2 week old poll Murray +9, two the last week both Murray +1
CT Blumenthal (D) +4.0 over McMahon (R) - last two polls Blumenthal +3 and +5.
It sure looks like the House will be republican in any case. RCP has 207 Republicans, 191 Democrats with 37 tossups. Republicans need 9 of those 37 tossup races to control the House.
Meanwhile James Clyburn, an honorable member of the house leadership (Majority Whip) and black caucus is trying to spread around the fear.
http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-brief...ority-will-issue-birther-subpoenas-against-ob
Dem Whip: GOP majority will issue birther subpoenas

