Blazers building the draft pick inventory

[Draco]

After today's trades its interesting to look at our future inventory of draft picks. Teams currently can owe draft picks until 2022. If we make the playoffs we will have:

6 years of our own first round pick without any restrictions from 2017-2022
5 years of our own second round pick from 2018-2022. We don't own our 2016 and 2017 second round pick. Our 2020 second round pick is top55 protected effectively making it ours.

2018 first round Cleveland pick top10 protected in 2018-19 else two 2nd round picks
2019 second round pick; better of LA Lakers or Minnesota
2020 second round Cleveland pick
2021 second round Miami pick

Total if we make 2016 playoffs; 7 first and 8 second round picks.
Miss 2016 playoffs, make 2017 playoffs; total of 7 first and 8 second round picks.
Miss playoff in 2016 and 2017; total of 8 first and 6 second round picks.

If we don't make the playoffs this year we retain our 2016 lottery first round pick but owe our 2017 pick. If we miss the playoffs in both years Denver is given our 2018 and 2019 second round picks. In that case we won't have our second round pick until 2020.

It's nice to see us starting to rebuild our pick inventory. We lost multiple second round picks in the Robin Lopez, Thomas Robinson and Allen Crabbe acquisitions. Of course the Afflalo acquisition was even more costly. All the future second round picks we are owed have decent potential to be high selections with teams who have questionable long term outlooks. No we don't have a treasure chest of picks as the Celtics or 6ers do. But we are better off than the average team in the league and much better than 8 months ago.

 

[THE HCP]

We WON'T make the playoffs, so how does that change this?

 

[Draco]

We WON'T make the playoffs, so how does that change this?

With Memphis and Houston trading away vets, many teams in the league fighting injuries, we certainly are in the mix.

If you had 8th grade reading abilities you wouldn't have asked such a question.

Good luck continuing the fight of beating down fans excitement for the team.

 

[THE HCP]

With Memphis and Houston trading away vets, many teams in the league fighting injuries, we certainly are in the mix.

If you had 8th grade reading abilities you wouldn't have asked such a question.

Good luck continuing the fight of beating down fans excitement for the team.

Not beating down anything. I think our SOS will be more of a determining factor than other teams not making trades. Glad we have our draft situation under control. Seems like Olshey knows what he's doing.

 

[illmatic99]

Not beating down anything. I think our SOS will be more of a determining factor than other teams not making trades. Glad we have our draft situation under control. Seems like Olshey knows what he's doing.

Our SOS is heavily influenced by our 3 remaining games vs the Warriors (0.923 winning%).

Take away those three games, and our SOS comes back to earth.

 

[TBpup]

I would say 'Rebuilding' our Draft pick Inventory since it has been so depleted for a while.

 

[Tunchi]

Not beating down anything. I think our SOS will be more of a determining factor than other teams not making trades. Glad we have our draft situation under control. Seems like Olshey knows what he's doing.

You been wrong all season though. I feel you though eventually a broken clock is right twice a day. Just keep predicting away you'll hit

 

[HomerLovesKoolAid]

You been wrong all season though. I feel you though eventually a broken clock is right twice a day. Just keep predicting away you'll hit

Give the poor guy a break. He has to schedule time around the rest of the forumites so he can access his wife's boobs.

 

[handiman]

Our SOS is heavily influenced by our 3 remaining games vs the Warriors (0.923 winning%).

Take away those three games, and our SOS comes back to earth.

That's a hell of a point, and a great illustration of why statistics should not be blindly trusted.

 

[BlazerCaravan]

Our SOS is heavily influenced by our 3 remaining games vs the Warriors (0.923 winning%).

Take away those three games, and our SOS comes back to earth.

Also, our SOS the last 14 games is the same as our remaining SOS (.517). And our record in the last 14 games was pretty good.

 

[HolyBackboard]

We WON'T make the playoffs, so how does that change this?

Not only are we going to make the playoffs, but we're more likely to rise in the standings than fall.

 

[Strenuus]

You been wrong all season though. I feel you though eventually a broken clock is right twice a day. Just keep predicting away you'll hit

This is wildly ironic coming from you.

 

[BrianFromWA]

Barring a wild DEN or SAC run, only one of HOU, MEM, UTH, DAL and us will miss the playoffs. We're a half-game up on UTH and HOU and 4.5 behind MEM for 5th.

I think we're better than HOU and UTH. I think we could pass DAL. I'm fine with 6 or 7...keeping us away from GSW until the WCF.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Barring a wild DEN or SAC run, only one of HOU, MEM, UTH, DAL and us will miss the playoffs. We're a half-game up on UTH and HOU and 4.5 behind MEM for 5th.

I think we're better than HOU and UTH. I think we could pass DAL. I'm fine with 6 or 7...keeping us away from GSW until the WCF.

Just saying--when we beat the 60-win Thunder, 67-win Spurs, and 74-win Warriors en route to the finals, it will be the greatest playoff run of all time.

 

[B-Roy]

Our SOS is heavily influenced by our 3 remaining games vs the Warriors (0.923 winning%).

Take away those three games, and our SOS comes back to earth.

True, but 3 losses can easily be the difference between making the playoffs or not.

 

[riverman]

After watching the last 3 Spurs games televised...I'm lickin' my chops at the chance to upset them. They are beatable.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

True, but 3 losses can easily be the difference between making the playoffs or not.

Think of it this way--assume that we've already lost those three games to Golden State and they're not part of our remaining schedule; then we're presently 27-30, 1 game back of Houston/Utah, with a remaining SOS of just .504. I'd still like our chances of making the playoffs.

 

[Binx]

Draft picks are a good thing, but having a few extra 2nd round picks in the next few years doesn't get me excited. The NBA players who can really make a difference are almost always gone by the second round, and often after the lottery.

 

[BrianFromWA]

They're probably saying "Sh*t, we gotta play POR 3x. I guess we can still go 25-2 in the other games and still win 73."

 

[Chris Craig]

Assets, assets, assets

 

[BlazerWookee]

After today's trades its interesting to look at our future inventory of draft picks. Teams currently can owe draft picks until 2022. If we make the playoffs we will have:

6 years of our own first round pick without any restrictions from 2017-2022
5 years of our own second round pick from 2018-2022. We don't own our 2016 and 2017 second round pick. Our 2020 second round pick is top55 protected effectively making it ours.

2018 first round Cleveland pick top10 protected in 2018-19 else two 2nd round picks
2019 second round pick; better of LA Lakers or Minnesota
2020 second round Cleveland pick
2021 second round Miami pick

Total if we make 2016 playoffs; 7 first and 8 second round picks.
Miss 2016 playoffs, make 2017 playoffs; total of 7 first and 8 second round picks.
Miss playoff in 2016 and 2017; total of 8 first and 6 second round picks.

If we don't make the playoffs this year we retain our 2016 lottery first round pick but owe our 2017 pick. If we miss the playoffs in both years Denver is given our 2018 and 2019 second round picks. In that case we won't have our second round pick until 2020.

It's nice to see us starting to rebuild our pick inventory. We lost multiple second round picks in the Robin Lopez, Thomas Robinson and Allen Crabbe acquisitions. Of course the Afflalo acquisition was even more costly. All the future second round picks we are owed have decent potential to be high selections with teams who have questionable long term outlooks. No we don't have a treasure chest of picks as the Celtics or 6ers do. But we are better off than the average team in the league and much better than 8 months ago.

So, assuming we make the playoffs this season, as of now we have:

2016: 0 1st, 0 2nd.
2017: 1 1st, 0 2nd.
2018: 2 1st, 1 2nd. (1 1st CLE T10 protected)
2019: 1 1st, 2 2nd.
2020: 1 1st, 2 2nd. (1 2nd POR T55 protected)
2021: 1 1st, 2 2nd.
2022: 1 1st, 1 2nd.

Right?

 

[BlazerDuckSeahawkFan94]

Draft picks are a good thing, but having a few extra 2nd round picks in the next few years doesn't get me excited. The NBA players who can really make a difference are almost always gone by the second round, and often after the lottery.

2nd rounders can be spent on euro draft and stash guys, great way to build assets for trades or being brought over. I like having second rounders.

 

[TBpup]

Just saying--when we beat the 60-win Thunder, 67-win Spurs, and 74-win Warriors en route to the finals, it will be the greatest playoff run of all time.

KingSpeed....is that you?

 

[Draco]

So, assuming we make the playoffs this season, as of now we have:

2016: 0 1st, 0 2nd.
2017: 1 1st, 0 2nd.
2018: 2 1st, 1 2nd. (1 1st CLE T10 protected)
2019: 1 1st, 2 2nd.
2020: 1 1st, 2 2nd. (1 2nd POR T55 protected)
2021: 1 1st, 2 2nd.
2022: 1 1st, 1 2nd.

Right?

Yup good summary