This last line better not be the case. Other than that Butler in his 6th season, Derozan in his 8th are good enough precedent for me. I said if everything goes perfectly and all of our young guys, including Deni reach their ceiling... I don't think he's at his but I could be wrong. There's also Steve Nash who didn't make his first all star game and then all nba team until he was 28 and had been in the league for 6 seasons, went on to be a back to back MVP.
I don't think that's Deni's ceiling and I don't even think it's necessarily a perennial all nba guy but I can't be sure of that either. Deni has definitely tapped into something over the past month or so that has him putting up all star stats albeit on a well below .500 team. If he can further tap into what he's been doing and be this productive on a winning team then he's an all star/all nba player.
I think the main thing he
'tapped' into was Grant and Ayton out of the lineup; plus an unsustainable level of 3 point shooting
I'd agree that Deni is a better #1 option than Simons. Personally, I think Sharpe is too, especially if there was a throttle on the number of three's he shoots. But then I obviously have a low opinion of Simons. But I just can't see Deni being a #1 option on a contender. And his turnover issues really need to get corrected. He has a 1.44 assist/turnover ratio this season; that's not very good. Certainly not good enough for a primary ball-handler and top option. In the last 5 games, he has 29 assists, but 23 turnovers (
4.6 turnovers/game). So, while Sharpe needs a throttle on his chucking mode, Deni needs a throttle on his turbo mode
related to all this: in the last 3 games that Simons has missed, Deni is averaging 31.3 points (
including a triple-double); while Sharpe is averaging 30.7 points
there is also this from Portland's 2-man lineups, sorted by net points
first the top 5:
and the bottom-5:
then there are the same top/bottom of 3-man lineups:
notice what the worst 3 man combo is; and that 4 of the 5 worst have two of those vets most people want traded. By the way, when looking thru all those lineups, it's pretty clear that Simons and Sharpe are bad for each other when they share the floor; oil and water. Grant hasn't been good for anybody. And Deni may be the best at making teammates better
obviously, these lineup stats, like a lot of stats, can be pretty noisy. What's unknown can be more important context than what's known, if that makes any sense
what doesn't make sense is those 3 veterans on the Blazer team. They shouldn't be there. Portland is more entertaining and plays a better brand of basketball without them