CBS Sports: "Pick and roll defense is Blazers' biggest weakness"

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PtldPlatypus

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It's actually about all 30 teams' biggest weakness, but only the Blazers' section matters.

http://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/biggest-weakness-for-all-30-nba-teams-heading-into-next-season/

Zach Harper said:
Portland Trail Blazers
  • DEFENDING THE PICK-AND-ROLL
It wasn't until the last week and a half of January that the Portland Trail Blazers really took off as a team. They got super hot on offense and the defense was just competent enough to keep moving them up the standings and eventually into the 5-seed and second round of the playoffs. But their biggest weakness during the season remains as a problem going into the 2016-17 season. Part of it is personnel and part of it is just inexperience as a group, but defending the pick-and-roll is something the Blazers will need to improve upon in order to keep their standing or climb higher in the West. Last season, only Minnesota, Philadelphia, Denver, New Orleans and Brooklyn were worse at defending the PnR, and none of those teams were close to making the playoffs.

Their biggest issues with defending the PnR were symbiotic problems. First, their guards died on screens far too often. Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum struggled to get around or fight through screens in a manner that would allow for quick recover. Second, Mason Plumlee and their other bigs (but specifically Mason) would give far too much room -- turning those mid-range jumpers that we all hate now into layups that we learn to love.


There were stretches during the season when the guards would be able to navigate the picks better or the big men would show better to at least slow the decision of the ball handler, but it was far too inconsistent to build a real resistance. The acquisition of Evan Turner should help with this some, but it's still on Lillard and McCollum to find ways to eliminate space for the initiator.

The Clippers changed their strategy to keeping their big men back to protect the basket and have the guards fight through the screens more -- basically doing a much better job of chasing the ball handler and never letting him have that space to get an easy shot. The idea was to limit 3-point shots without giving up shots at the rim and it worked fantastically last season. The Blazers seem to try something similar but if the guards can't get around the screen in an appropriate amount of time, Plumlee and others will be left in a dead zone they can't succeed in.
 
One of problems is Stotts defense scheme. There other problem is our guards quit when they get screen. Alot times they have time force dribbler out where the screen is not effective and this can be taught through practice.
 
That's an odd view of the team. From what I saw. the team took off because it did play better team defense. Preseason, I figured the team could win a lot of games by playing defense - it's how you win without a roster full of talent.

The P&R defense got particularly good with Mo and Aminu out there at the same time. They both are quite capable at defending smaller players on the switch at the perimeter.
 
Seems like a pretty good analysis of last year's team. The acquisitions of Turner and Ezeli should both help significantly, but he's right that Dame and CJ both have to improve at fighting through screens. Hopefully, another year of experience and a dedication to improving will push them to make a leap this year.
 
CJ commits his mind to everything he tries. This is encouraging. I think he can be at least average next season.

With Turner, Aminu, and Ezeli, that would make us a top 10 defense
yep, that's the hope. If it works out that we're a top 10 defense and a top 5 or 6 offense, we're a contender.
 
One of problems is Stotts defense scheme. There other problem is our guards quit when they get screen. Alot times they have time force dribbler out where the screen is not effective and this can be taught through practice.
I believe you have said more than once you don't think Stotts is a championship level coach.
 
Can't really disagree with what he wrote about the Blazers. Defense, in particular our pick and roll defense, was our biggest weakness last year. Yes, it got better over the second half of the season, but it was exposed again in the playoffs, against both LAC and GSW.

The good news is that's common knowledge. We know it, the author knows it, Terry, Neil and the players know it, too. The good news is the people that can actually do something about it seem to be taking actions to improve our biggest weakness. Adding Turner and Ezeli will help. So, will individual players working hard to improve on defense. And, if we can improve our biggest weakness to where it's at least above average, we can make another step forward.

BNM
 
I did find the article a little uneven. For some teams, he went into great detail with stats, charts and videos to support his points.

For other teams, he just seemed to mail it in:

"Los Angeles Clippers
  • WEIRD PLAYOFF EXITS
They were emotionally drained and couldn't take down the Oklahoma City Thunder in the second round of the 2014 playoffs after bouncing the Warriors in the middle of the Donald Sterling scandal. They surprised everybody by beating the San Antonio Spurs in 2015 before collapsing in the next round after going up 3-1 on the Rockets. This past postseason, Chris Paul and Blake Griffin both suffered series-ending injuries in Game 4 against the Portland Trail Blazers after being up 2-1 in the series. They were bounced in six games.

Stop losing in weird ways, Clippers. Also, Chuck the Condor probably has to go."

What are you supposed to do with that. Ditch the mascot and tell your players not to get injured at the wrong time?

A better analysis would have been to discuss their lack of depth. This has been a problem for the Clippers for years, but it is somewhat masked by Jamal Crawford, once again, winning the 6th man of the year. You would think with the "best" 6th man in the league, you'd have a good bench. They don't, and Crawford may have won the award, but he is nowhere near the best 6th man in the league and nowhere near the player he was even just two seasons prior (when he also won the award, and at least kinda, sorta maybe might have deserved it).

It's interesting that the only advanced stats basketball-reference includes in their 6th man of the year voting page are Win Shares and Win Shares/48. Yeah, it's hard to capture a player's impact in a single stat, but you'd think the player people voted as the best 6th man in the league would at least have respectable advanced stats. Crawford didn't. Of the top 8 vote getters, Crawford had the worst WS and WS/48. Compared to some other 6th men (Enes Kanter and Dale Davis), Crawford's production was woefully insufficient. But, he's a volume scorer with a reputation as one of the best 6th men in the league, so voters evidently didn't bother to look at how inefficient his scoring was and how little he contributed in other ways.

If you sort the 2016 SMOY vote getters by WS, Crawford comes in 16th. If you sort them by WS/48, he's 17th.

It's not like he totally sucks, but at this point in his career he is an inefficient high volume chucker. He's always been a high volume chucker, but his efficiency has taken a substantial hit the last two years. At this point, he's an average 6th man. He just looks good, because outside of the Clippers best 4 starters, they seriously lack quality players. In fact, while he's technically a 6th man, Crawford was 3rd on the team in minutes played. Part of that was due to injuries, but it also speaks to their lack of depth.

Luc Mbah a Moute, with a PER = 7.3 had the second lowest PER of any player in the league that started at least 50 games. His pitiful production made Noah Vonleh look like a quality starter. The difference being, the Clippers didn't have any better options, and as we saw late in the year and during the playoffs, the Blazers had much better players they could start in place of the 20-year old Vonleh.

The Clippers tried to address their lack of depth last off season by bringing in veterans like Paul Pierce, Josh Smith, Lance Stevenson, Cole Aldrich and later Jeff Green. Aldrich is the only one who played well. Smith and Stevenson didn't even make it through the season. Green and Aldrich are gone, and if Paul Pierce hasn't retired, he should. He only played because of Blake Griffin's injury and was just as bad as Mbah a Moute. They had a shallow bench to begin with and it has gotten worse (and older).

And, this ties into the author's point about losing in the playoffs in "weird" ways. Maybe, if they didn't rely so heavily on their 4 best players, they wouldn't blow 3-1 series leads and get injured so much during the post season. And, it's not just a minutes thing, it's what those players are asked to do during those minutes. Chris Paul always has the ball in his hands on offense when he's in the game, and with the number of great PGs in the West, he's also going all out on defense on every play at the other end. He simply can't take plays off at either end if the Clippers hope to win. All that wear and tear eventually catches up with them.

At this point, they have 4 quality starters and a horribly thin bench - and DeAndre Jordan is the only one of those 4 starters that seems to be reasonably durable. Unless they add some significant depth, they will continue to lose in "weird" ways when it matters most.

BNM
 
We advanced to the second round with our defense, only to lose to a 73 win team that was also the defending champs.
At some point talent wins out, especially two way players.
 
I'll probably get hammered with the Homer bs but I like our chances this season...I think we'll at least have a shot at going deep in the playoffs. I think several guys will get better this season too.
 
We advanced to the second round with our defense, only to lose to a 73 win team that was also the defending champs.
At some point talent wins out, especially two way players.

Talent AND experience. GSW didn't just have more talent, they were playoff tested veterans.

That's why I think making the playoffs and advancing to the second round was MUCH more valuable to this young team than tanking and getting the 13th pick in a shallow draft. In theory, the 13th pick would have helped add talent, but that talent would have completely lacked experience. Our guys got to see just how tough it is to win in the post season and how a veteran, experienced team is able to gut out wins over the course of a series. We led for many more minutes than GSW in that series, but their experience (and talent) insured they led when it mattered.

BNM
 
I'll probably get hammered with the Homer bs but I like our chances this season...I think we'll at least have a shot at going deep in the playoffs. I think several guys will get better this season too.

We were the youngest team in the playoffs and made it to the second round. After our slow start, we played like a 53-win team over the last 2/3 of the season. We didn't land any big name free agents, but we added a couple solid players to help address our biggest weakness, and retained all our young players who should continue to improve.

At some point anyone who posts favorably about the team gets blasted for being a homer. Fuck that shit. This team has greatly exceeded expectations 2 of the last 3 years and they are still young and improving. I feel sorry for anyone who can't feel optimism over that.

BNM
 
I think our bench will give their bench trouble this year...they gave up a lot to sign Durant..we got better on defense at the wing and the post with the new guys
 
I believe you have said more than once you don't think Stotts is a championship level coach.
Only thing I have said about Stotts is I dont like his defense scheme. I have said he is offense type of coach and very good one in most cases.
 
I think our bench will give their bench trouble this year...they gave up a lot to sign Durant..we got better on defense at the wing and the post with the new guys

Durant is going to make a huge difference for the Warriors. There were long stretches in the playoffs where Curry didn't or couldn't score, and Durant would give them another go to guy in those situations.

That said, they do still have to play the games.
 
The other thing I notice too:
Is other teams defense force our offense back up the court - where we are running our play (usually a crappy weave) three feet above the three point line.
The initiation of our offense/p'nroll is at further strike range from the hoop.

Conversely, our defense lets pick and roll happen within our three point line, on the defensive end.

That and the other little things like slow inbounds off of scores and walking the ball up court in transition - are all of the little things that our team doesn't do well, at the moment. The elite tier teams do.
 

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