Apples:Oranges
In the last 14 years, only one non-guard has won 6MOY (Lamar Odom in 2010-11). The award typically goes to a high scoring, instant offense kind of player, who typically averages between 15 - 20 ppg. Lou Williams averaged 22.6 ppg last year, the 2nd highest scoring average in the history of the award (Ricky Pierce averaged 23.0 ppg in 1988-89), but Lou also averaged nearly 33 MPG (32.8 MPG, 4th highest among 6MOY award winners).
Curry's last year in DAL, he averaged a career high 12.8 ppg, but he also started 42 of the 70 games he played and averaged 29.0 MPG. In order to receive consideration for 6MOY, Curry would need to have a career year and average at least 14 ppg just to get a few 3rd place vote. To be a serious contender, he'd need to average at least 18 ppg (especially if Lou Williams is going to continue to be the No. 1 option for the Clippers in spite of "coming off the bench").
Can Curry get enough minutes and shots to be in the running? Probably not, at least not as a serious contender for the award. Our roster is just too guard heavy. Dame and C,J. will continue to be our No. 1 and No. 2 scoring options, and even if they play fewer minutes this year, I can't see Dame averaging less than 34 MPG (36.4 MPG career average, 36.6 last year) and C.J. averaging less than 33 MPG (36.1 MPG last year).
Turner and Curry will probably be the two leaders in MPG off the bench at the guard/wing positions, but Stauskas looks like he will be a rotation guy, at least initially and then Trent Jr, Simons and Baldwin will see spot minutes here and there. So, not sure if I see Curry averaging the same 29 MPG he did in DAL. Crabbe came close (28.5 MPG his last season in POR). Curry is a better player than Crabbe, but we are deeper at guard now.
Curry's last season in DAL the Mavs were ranked dead last in the NBA in scoring (97.9 ppg) and they had a LOT of churn at the guard positions due to mid-season trades, injuries, etc. All of Wesley Matthews, Deron Williams, Yogi Farrell, J.J. Barea and Curry saw significant minutes at guard. Last year, POR's offense dropped off from 107.9 ppg (8th of 30) to 105.6 ppg (16th of 30). If we can get our team scoring average back up into the 108 ppg range where it used to be (and an improved bench will help), and Curry can average 26 - 28 MPG, I could see him averaging > 14.0 ppg, enough to get a few 3rd place votes for 6MOY, but I just don't see him playing enough minutes and getting enough shots to push him into the 18 - 22 ppg rage where he would challenge Lou Williams and Eric Gordon to actually win the award.
As far as Ed Davis goes, the 6MOY voters seem much more seduced by scoring than rebounding these days. Ed did come in 8th in 6MOY voting his first season in POR (6.5 ppg/7.4 rpg), but didn't get so much as a single 3rd place vote the past two seasons (5.3 ppg/7.4 rpg last season). The lowest scoring average of any 6MOY award winner was Bill Walton at 7.6 pg in 1985-86. The last time anyone won the award while averaging less than 10 ppg was Anthony Mason in 1994-95 at 9.9 ppg.
BNM