Cumulative Prognostication Capabilities

[GrandpaBlaze]

Based on suggestion by Mags......Just doing first 10 games.

What the aggregate average predicted score for a game is vs. the actual score.

Overall - at least at the beginning of the season, our cumulative predictions aren't very good.

Game 1: Blazers/Suns (30 predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 104.9 - Off by 14
Suns Predicted: 91.1 - Off by 13
Actual Results: Suns 104-91 (near exact prediction only with the wrong teams assigned to the scores)

Game 2: Blazers/Nuggets (30 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 97.7 - Off by 15
Nuggets Predicted: 96.5 - Off by 1.5
Actual Results: Blazers 113-98

Game 3: Blazers/Spurs (26 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 100.8 - Off by 14
Spurs Predicted: 93.6 - Off by 11
Actual Results: Blazers 115-105

Game 4: Blazers/Rockets (29 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 105.3 - Off by 4
Rockets Predicted: 102.4 - Off by 14
Actual Results: Rockets 116-101

Game 5: Blazers/Kings (24 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 106.9 - Off by 3
Kings Predicted: 96.3 - Off by 5
Actual Results: Blazers 104-91

Game 6: Blazers/Kings (25 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 105.2 - Off 9
Kings Predicted: 99.3 - Off 14
Actual Results: Blazers 96-85

Game 7: Blazers/Pistons (26 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 101.1 - Off by 8
Pistons Predicted: 93.5 - Off by 10
Actual Results: Blazers 109-103

Game 8: Blazers/Suns (29 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 109.8 - Off by 20
Suns Predicted: 98.1 - Off by 9
Actual Results: Blazers 90-89

Game 9: Blazers/Celtics (27 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 98.4 - Off by 8
Celtics Predicted: 91.9 - Off by 4
Actual results: Blazers 109-96

Game 10: Blazers/Raptors (29 Predictions)
Blazer Predicted: 103.0 - Off by 15
Raptors Predicted: 94.2 - Off by 16
Actual Results: Blazers 118-110

Gramps...

 

[magnifier661]

I thought we are better than this! Booo!

 

[GrandpaBlaze]

Boy! Some people! Go and suggest some analysis and then villify the results!



Gramps...

 

[magnifier661]

Boy! Some people! Go and suggest some analysis and then villify the results!



Gramps...

Hahaha! It just seemed the average was closer. I was wrong!

 

[Strenuus]

I love the trend of going "oh, we're a good team! we score a lot of points!" in the middle, like the boston game...