Brock
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maybe hes right.... seems to good to be true http://www.blazersedge.com/2012/1/6...ar-successes-weaknesses-and-what-it-all-means
heres a snippet
The issue, obviously, is that as the season progresses the Blazers will face more good and/or prepared teams. The bigger issue is that in the playoffs they'll face one by default....a team that has nothing to do all day but figure out how to prepare for and exploit the team's flaws for seven games. I still don't see the Blazers coming out of that kind of situation intact. Other teams are going to have more enforceable, reliable ways to win that don't depend on the Blazers messing up as much as the Blazers depend on them messing up and that will probably be the end of the story.
Therefore despite the wins and the hot start, the overall forecast for the team hasn't changed: good enough to make the playoffs, probably losing in the first round, the second if they can claim a high seed in the regular season.
The best chance to change that outcome with the current personnel, short of the entire league developing a permanent blind spot to Portland's style, is for the Blazer guards and small forwards--Felton, Matthews, Crawford, Batum, Wallace--to become so practiced and deadly at the open three that the halfcourt floor gets spread wide on every possession. Theoretically that's possible. If a bunch of these guys start shooting .370 and above from distance the middle opens up for Aldridge's moves and the drives of Felton, Crawford, and Batum. At that point the interior scoring issue lessens and the offense starts looking good no matter what the pace. Then you can concentrate on taking good care of the ball yourself and consider those turnovers and fast break points frosting on the cake instead of the main course upon which you depend for your edge.
heres a snippet
The issue, obviously, is that as the season progresses the Blazers will face more good and/or prepared teams. The bigger issue is that in the playoffs they'll face one by default....a team that has nothing to do all day but figure out how to prepare for and exploit the team's flaws for seven games. I still don't see the Blazers coming out of that kind of situation intact. Other teams are going to have more enforceable, reliable ways to win that don't depend on the Blazers messing up as much as the Blazers depend on them messing up and that will probably be the end of the story.
Therefore despite the wins and the hot start, the overall forecast for the team hasn't changed: good enough to make the playoffs, probably losing in the first round, the second if they can claim a high seed in the regular season.
The best chance to change that outcome with the current personnel, short of the entire league developing a permanent blind spot to Portland's style, is for the Blazer guards and small forwards--Felton, Matthews, Crawford, Batum, Wallace--to become so practiced and deadly at the open three that the halfcourt floor gets spread wide on every possession. Theoretically that's possible. If a bunch of these guys start shooting .370 and above from distance the middle opens up for Aldridge's moves and the drives of Felton, Crawford, and Batum. At that point the interior scoring issue lessens and the offense starts looking good no matter what the pace. Then you can concentrate on taking good care of the ball yourself and consider those turnovers and fast break points frosting on the cake instead of the main course upon which you depend for your edge.




