ESPN New Playoff Sim!

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First time I did it the finals was OKC vs the bobcats with the cats coming up with the championship.
 
4th try, we lost to the Cavs in the finals (only had an 8% chance of winning that according to the sim)
 
On mine, the Raptors upset the Cavs and then the Celtics to make it to the ECF. Riiiiiiight...
 
after clicking it a few dozen times with the "Accuscore" option selected, I ended up with Spurs v Blazers matchup in the WCF... ESPN even has the 8th seed a 62 to 38 % favorite to advance over Portland (which they did) despite being the road team.

what exactly are they basing this on other then their druthers?

STOMP
 
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My first try was Blazers over Mavs (in an upset), over the Thunder (another upset, and OKC pulled the upset), and then lost to the Spurs (PDX is an underdog).

I hate Portland's odds against Phoenix, LAL, Utah, and Denver, but I'd take us over Dallas, OKC, and SAS no question.
 
after clicking it a few dozen times with the "Accuscore" option selected, I ended up with Spurs v Blazers matchup in the WCF... ESPN even has the 8th seed a 62 to 38 % favorite to advance over Portland which they did.

what exactly are they basing this on other then their druthers?

STOMP

http://espn.go.com/blog/TrueHoop/post/_/id/14664/introducing-the-playoff-predictor

The tool is a collaboration between ESPN.com and AccuScore, and I should emphasize that it uses AccuScore’s secret sauce to predict the winners, not anything in the Hollinger Power Rankings. Their simulator has some similarities, but also a few important differences -- in particular, it seems to rate teams with strong late-game performances much higher than my data does, so that Dallas and the Lakers have far better outcomes here than in, say, the Playoff Odds tool.

All of which is to say that it is based on their druthers.
 
http://espn.go.com/blog/TrueHoop/post/_/id/14664/introducing-the-playoff-predictor

The tool is a collaboration between ESPN.com and AccuScore, and I should emphasize that it uses AccuScore’s secret sauce to predict the winners, not anything in the Hollinger Power Rankings. Their simulator has some similarities, but also a few important differences -- in particular, it seems to rate teams with strong late-game performances much higher than my data does, so that Dallas and the Lakers have far better outcomes here than in, say, the Playoff Odds tool.

All of which is to say that it is based on their druthers.
mmmmmmmmmm secret sauce :homer:

STOMP
 
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This was my first and only try.
 
Portland lost in the first round in all 3 seedings. Lakers won it all twice. Suns won the other time.
 

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