You're right, before the season started if you were to say the Blazers would start 7-5, most everyone would take it. However, there are some gaping holes in their system right now both on offense and defense. When they can't outscore the other team, they have no chance at all.
One of the great things about last years team is that they have very few lapses in effort, I didn't mind losses when they played as hard as they did. This year it feels like their effort only happens in spurts and it's harder to root for a team that doesn't put out maximum effort for 48 minutes. If they don't get on track, I think they'll have a tough time even making it to the playoffs this year. This road trip should tell us a lot about the team.