Final December Predictions Standings

[GrandpaBlaze]

To appear in the cumulative standings, you must have predicted at least two-thirds of the games for the time period in which the standings reflect. You must also have predicted in at least seven of the past ten games (unless 10 games have not yet been played for the season).

Standings:
1. DaRizzle - Avg Rank 12.1; 12 games; Current = 8
2. RayDavies - Avg Rank 13.6; 13 games; Current = 9
3. Its GO time - Avg Rank 14.0; 12 games; Current = 8
4. Chuck Taylor - Avg Rank 14.6; 11 games; Current = 7
5. Basel57 - Avg Rank 15.6; 13 games; Current = 10
6. Darkwebs - Avg Rank 15.8; Avg Tot Diff 15.5; 14 games; Current = 10
7. Trader Ed - Avg Rank 15.8; Avg Tot Diff 17.6; 13 games; Current = 9
8. Nikolokolus - Avg Rank 15.9; 14 games; Current = 10
9. PapaG - Avg Rank 16.2; 12 games; Current = 10
10. mgb - Avg Rank 16.3; 13 games; Current = 9
11. Uncle Ty - Avg Rank 16.4; 12 games; Current = 8
12. alext42083 - Avg Rank 17.0; 14 games; Current = 10
13. 1 Eye Jack - Avg Rank 17.4; 12 games; Current = 9
14. Entity - Avg Rank 17.8; 12 games; Current = 9
15. Tortimer - Avg Rank 18.2; 14 games; Current = 10
16. e_blazer - Avg Rank 18.4; Avg Tot Diff 16.9; 14 games; Current = 10
17. BeerBoy - Avg Rank 18.4; Avg Tot Diff 17.0; 14 games; Current = 10
18. Blazer4life - Avg Rank 18.5; 14 games; Current = 10
19. MrJayremmie - Avg Rank 18.7; 11 games; Current = 8
20. MARIS61 - Avg Rank 19.0; 14 games; Current = 10
21. noknobs - Avg Rank 19.2; 14 games; Current = 10
22. Zybot - Avg Rank 19.7; 11 games; Current = 7
23. sportsnut1975 - Avg Rank 19.9; Avg Tot Diff 18.9; 13 games; Current = 9
24. BlazerFanForLife - Avg Rank 19.9; Avg Tot Diff 20.1; 11 games; Current = 8
25. MAS RipCity - Avg Rank 20.2; Avg Tot Diff 16.4; 12 games; Current = 8
26. BlazerBeachBum - Avg Rank 20.2; Avg Tot Diff 17.6; 14 games; Current = 10
27. hoojacks - Avg Rank 22.5; 11 games; Current = 8
28. GrandpaBlaze - Avg Rank 23.0; 14 games; Current = 10
29. RW#30 - Avg Rank 23.3; 11 games; Current = 7
30. cdub503 - Avg Rank 25.3; 10 games; Current = 7
31. gambitnut - Avg Rank 25.5; 11 games; Current = 7

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Gramps...

 

[DaRizzle]

Thanks Gramps!


........Time to go for the three-peat!

 

[Spud147]

Thanks Gramps!


........Time to go for the three-peat!

Your avatar is heinous... please, for the love of God, change it before I scratch my own eyes out.

 

[DaRizzle]

Its a pic of myself...be nice

 

[Spud147]

Its a pic of myself...be nice

Does that tattoo on your tummy say Tubby Life or Tugboat Life?

 

[DaRizzle]

Thug Life fool! Im straight gangsta! Cant you tell from my SN??? Thug life til I die homey!

 

[MARIS61]

Gramps, since the winner of the last 2 months (congrats DaRizzle!) has won when predicting in less than all the games each month I am wondering is there some sort of penalty for that in your calculating the winner.

It is so much easier to predict say 14 games and play it safe by leaving out the 4 that are less obvious in their outcome, than it is to correctly predict all 18 games. I'd say it is a huge difference.

Anyway, I didn't know if this was already offset in your formula or maybe I should just start skipping games to increase my odds of winning?

Thanks again for the hard work.

 

[DaRizzle]

Gramps, since the winner of the last 2 months (congrats DaRizzle!) has won when predicting in less than all the games each month I am wondering is there some sort of penalty for that in your calculating the winner.

It is so much easier to predict say 14 games and play it safe by leaving out the 4 that are less obvious in their outcome, than it is to correctly predict all 18 games. I'd say it is a huge difference.

Anyway, I didn't know if this was already offset in your formula or maybe I should just start skipping games to increase my odds of winning?

Thanks again for the hard work.

GrandpaBlaze's Blazer Predictions Game

To (hopefully) increase the amount of fun in our Blazer season for us fans, the Blazer predictions game, started in the 1999/2000 season, returns for the tenth year. The predictions game works as follows:

Prior to the start of each game, predict the final score for the game. For example, Blazers 104, Lakers 99.

Predictions made after the start of the game will not be accepted.

Once the game is complete, the results are calculated as follows:
1. You picked the right team to win
2. Total difference in score
3. Difference from team you predicted to win's actual score

Using the above prediction (Blazers 104, Lakers 99), if the actual score turned out to be Blazers 107, Lakers 106 the results would be as follows:

1. Pick the right team? Yes
2. Total Difference = 10 (Diff between Blazer actual and predicted of 3 + diff between Laker actual and predicted of 7)
3. Difference from Blazer actual = 3

Assume the following predictions for the actual 107-106 game:

A. Blazers 104, Lakers 99
B. Blazers 103, Lakers 100
C. Blazers 94, Lakers 90
D. Lakers 106, Blazers 105
E. Lakers 101, Blazers 90
F. Blazers 114, Lakers 87

The ranking for the game would be as follows:
1. A (right team, tot diff 10, Blazer diff 3)
2. B (right team, tot diff 10, Blazer diff 4)
3. F (right team, tot diff 26, Blazer diff 7)
4. C (right team, tot diff 29, Blazer diff 13)
5. D (wrong team, tot diff 2, Laker diff 0)
6. E (wrong team, tot diff 22, Laker diff 5)

Cumulative Results are calculated as follows:
1. Average individual game rank
2. Average total difference
3. Average Predicted Team difference
4. Number of games predicted.

Cumulative results are posted for the month (October is combined with November), first and second half of the season, and full season. In order to appear in the cumulative results, you must have predicted at least two-thirds (66%) of the games played in the time period for the cumulative ranking AND must have predicted at least 7 of the past 10 games (i.e., you must stay active in order to appear in the cumulative standings).

As they have for the past several years, Adidas is again sponsoring the predictions game meaning that monthly, half-season, and full-season winners will get prize booty from Adidas. The prizes are not set in stone for this year but they will probably be the same as last year:
- Monthly Winners get a $50 gift certificate to Shopadidas.com
- Half-season winners get a $50 autographed item
- Full-season winner gets a $100 gift certificate and an autographed item

One final note. I will not accept predictions from anyone I ignore (in other words, don't be a troll).

One other note: One and only one prediction will be accepted. Subsequent predictions will be ignored. Any prediction posts that have been edited will be ignored.

Enjoy!

Gramps...

This is Gramps post on the rules. The bold part is what you are interested in. To specifically answer your question there is one possible penalty for picking less games. In the event of a tie on average AND average of the winning teams score it will then go to who picked more games. So as long as there is no tie there is no penalty for picking less games as long as you meet the minimum amount.

...correct me if Im wrong Gramps.

 

[DaRizzle]

Also, FYI, while I have missed a game here and there it was either due to me forgetting OR I had 1st place wrapped up and had the minimum number of games so I didnt want to fuck up my average. Ive never skipped a game due to it being a tough pick

 

[GrandpaBlaze]

Gramps, since the winner of the last 2 months (congrats DaRizzle!) has won when predicting in less than all the games each month I am wondering is there some sort of penalty for that in your calculating the winner.

Nope. As DaRizzle pointed out in the rules, there are established minimums for appearing in the cumulative rankings. There must be an allowance for people missing an occasional game (whether due to their choice or because they forgot, couldn't post, etc.).

The minimum standard used to be 50% of the games but when there started being prizes, a number of posters requested that minimum be upped as there were some who did as you mentioned, and just skipped the more controversial games.

Likewise, it was either last year or the year before that the currency (must have predicted 7 of the last 10 rule) factor was established as we had cases where people got the 2/3rds minimum and then skipped the rest of a month or a whole month (in order to win a half season/full season).

The combination of the two rules, overall predictions and currency force people to participate regularly but still gives leeway to miss an occasional game.

DaRizzle was totally in his rights to skip the Boston game as he had met all the minimum requirements. As we might say in regard to Nate's coaching, it was a good strategic coaching move well within the rules of the game.

Gramps...