Five Games Til Christmas. Time To Turn the Corner.

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At this point, you can't play the "These games are winnable, if we win them all then we'd be here" game. Every time that game is played by a Blazer fan, they have a huge letdown loss to a team they shouldn't lose to. I've played this game so far this season, and it hasn't been fun.

We just lost to OKC at home, but we're going to act like the Suns on the road or the Magic and Timberwolves at home aren't tougher than that?

This team has to start doing the fundamentals and playing better. Until then, we can't look at our schedule as "If we could just win all five of these games"....
 
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* I just checked again and yes, currently Portland is 1-10 against teams with winning records (13 teams with winning records with several hovering within a couple of game of .500)

* if I counted right, in 2017-18, thru 27 games, Portland was 6-9 against teams with winning records (17 teams had winning records that year)

* last year, 2018-19, Portland was 6-6 against teams with winning records (15 teams with winning records & 1 team at .500)

obviously, what Portland has done so far against teams with winning records isn't necessarily predictive of the remaining season (hopefully). Starting on the first of Jan (thru Feb 9), Portland plays 13 teams with winning records over a 20 game stretch. Between now and Feb 9, Portland plays 15 of 28 against teams with winning records; and 15 of 30 between now and the all-star break. Besides being 1-10 against winners, the Blazers are only 9-6 against losing teams; that might be just as big an issue. If Portland matches exactly what they've done so far over the next 30 games, by the all-star break they'd be 21-35....yikes!

I think it's a pretty safe bet they'll do better than that (barring any more injuries). The question is going to be how much better? Portland has played 4 more games on the road than at home to this point, and 5 more after tonight. Over the next 30, they have a 15-15 home road split, which means a 15-11 home-road split to close the season after the all-star break; and only 10 of 26 against teams with winning records. That will be the part of their schedule when they can make up a lot of ground; they just can't keep digging a deeper hole before then
 

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