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It seems that this year there are only 4 (maybe 5, if you count Bayless, which I don't) candidates for the "bust/scapegoat/hatee/trade-this-guy-now" team: Oden, Blake, Outlaw and Webster. I think Blake and Outlaw are on the list additionally b/c of their contract situation, so it may be that you like their game but think they should go for team improvement reasons.
But what would it take for you to not have that thought about them?
Oden - I've always thought the bust label was way premature, and I'm in the Minstrel camp that thinks that he's still got a Duncan-type ceiling as a big-man fixture on multiple championship teams. If he is able to play starter-type (~32-35) minutes, I think his natural ability will come out. It's tougher to put a stat on it, since defensive stats are a bit tricky, but if he's contributing at all on D, while not turning the ball over much and shooting 70% FT, that'd be a great success for me.
Blake - Though it was only one FanFest and highlights of a preseason game, I like what I see of Blake trying to make the harder play. It's as if last year he knew that if he was steady and didn't turn the ball over, he wasn't going to be pushed at all by Sergio or Bayless-no matter how much he did or didn't look for the bigs. Now that's not the case, and you're seeing him attempt to play better. Though (at least in a couple of the FF fast breaks) he still looked really sketchy at running with the ball, I'm glad he's making the attempt--and his work ethic seems to be such that he'll probably get better quickly with more reps. If he's shooting around 40% from 3 and looking for the bigs/looking to run more, I'm ok with him getting 15 min or so, but I think he'll be more valuable to someone else than to us.
Outlaw - In FanFest he looked to be more aggressive on the boards, but it didn't look like it translated to last night. If he can at least remember that he has a defensive assignment (something that didn't happen often enough last year) that'll be a start. I'd like to see his PERagainst go down to something resembling backups playing 15mpg against him, while seeing his FTA go up. He's too quick for a lot of PFs, but his one-dribble-pull-up from 20 feet isn't the best use of a shot. The tough part for me is that I just don't think he understands the game. So while Oden just needs to stay healthy and/or get minutes, and Blake can use his work ethic to improve a skill...I'm not sure Travis is ever going to have the wherewithal to improve his understanding of the game and his role in it.
Webster - If he's shooting around 40% from 3 and drawing FTs at a higher clip, while not having a defensive dropoff from Batum, he's $$ in my eyes. I'm biased for Martell, while acknowledging that stats don't look good for him historically. However, if he starts playing Outlaw-esque defense while only chucking 3's at a 35% or so level, it'll be easy for me to turn on him and ask that Roy take the SF minutes. We're too deep to allow mediocre results from players for too long a time on the court.
Bayless? Enjoy the guaranteed salary and work to make your game better. Watch video of Chauncey Billups on offense and Gary Payton on D. Lock down our PGs in practice and make them take notice.
But what would it take for you to not have that thought about them?
Oden - I've always thought the bust label was way premature, and I'm in the Minstrel camp that thinks that he's still got a Duncan-type ceiling as a big-man fixture on multiple championship teams. If he is able to play starter-type (~32-35) minutes, I think his natural ability will come out. It's tougher to put a stat on it, since defensive stats are a bit tricky, but if he's contributing at all on D, while not turning the ball over much and shooting 70% FT, that'd be a great success for me.
Blake - Though it was only one FanFest and highlights of a preseason game, I like what I see of Blake trying to make the harder play. It's as if last year he knew that if he was steady and didn't turn the ball over, he wasn't going to be pushed at all by Sergio or Bayless-no matter how much he did or didn't look for the bigs. Now that's not the case, and you're seeing him attempt to play better. Though (at least in a couple of the FF fast breaks) he still looked really sketchy at running with the ball, I'm glad he's making the attempt--and his work ethic seems to be such that he'll probably get better quickly with more reps. If he's shooting around 40% from 3 and looking for the bigs/looking to run more, I'm ok with him getting 15 min or so, but I think he'll be more valuable to someone else than to us.
Outlaw - In FanFest he looked to be more aggressive on the boards, but it didn't look like it translated to last night. If he can at least remember that he has a defensive assignment (something that didn't happen often enough last year) that'll be a start. I'd like to see his PERagainst go down to something resembling backups playing 15mpg against him, while seeing his FTA go up. He's too quick for a lot of PFs, but his one-dribble-pull-up from 20 feet isn't the best use of a shot. The tough part for me is that I just don't think he understands the game. So while Oden just needs to stay healthy and/or get minutes, and Blake can use his work ethic to improve a skill...I'm not sure Travis is ever going to have the wherewithal to improve his understanding of the game and his role in it.

Webster - If he's shooting around 40% from 3 and drawing FTs at a higher clip, while not having a defensive dropoff from Batum, he's $$ in my eyes. I'm biased for Martell, while acknowledging that stats don't look good for him historically. However, if he starts playing Outlaw-esque defense while only chucking 3's at a 35% or so level, it'll be easy for me to turn on him and ask that Roy take the SF minutes. We're too deep to allow mediocre results from players for too long a time on the court.
Bayless? Enjoy the guaranteed salary and work to make your game better. Watch video of Chauncey Billups on offense and Gary Payton on D. Lock down our PGs in practice and make them take notice.



