After Houston's loss tonight to Toronto, Blazers are only one game behind them in the standings. Houston plays 8 more times and Blazers play 6 more times. Here are their schedules
Houston:
vs. Thunder
vs. Nuggets
@ Lakers
@ Nuggets
@ Timberwolves
vs. Pelicans
vs. Spurs
@ Pelicans
Portland:
vs. Suns
vs. Pelicans
vs. Kings
@ Jazz
vs. Warriors
vs. Clippers
If Houston loses on Friday and we win on Friday, we will be in a virtual tie, but the Rockets have the tiebreaker. The most wins we can end up with is 55, and would require us to go 6-0 the rest of the way. The Rockets would have to go 5-3 which would put them at 54 wins, and give us HCA. Looking at the Rockets schedule, that seems pretty unlikely. The only two teams left that are difficult are against the Thunder and the Spurs, and both are at home. However, if Howard is out for an extended period of time, I suppose it's possible.
I'd say the chances of us getting HCA is pretty slim, but it doesn't really matter. As long as the Blazers take care of business in these last 6 games, they should roll into the playoffs with enough confidence to beat any team, HCA or not. We've seen what this team can do when they've got their mojo.