Getting to 100ppg

[chzbrgr]

So, my brother and I were discussing now that we kind of know who the roster will consist of, where is the scoring gunna come from. The league median was the Chicago bulls last year they averaged 100.2 ppg given the expanded roles of some of our players give us a realistic 10-man rotation that gets us there.

Even tho Im on the side that believes we are gunna surprise people next year, I was having a pretty easy time getting there in fact when I was making the list I had to reel in some of my numbers I just dont see the precipitous drop off the rest of the world seems to.

Dame: 22 ppg
CJ: 15 ppg
Henderson: 13 ppg
Legend: 12 ppg
Vonleh: 10
Plums: 9 ppg
Aminu: 8 ppg
Davis: 7 ppg
Pressy: 3 ppg
Harkless: 3 ppg

Total: 102
Last Years avg :102.3

If Im wrong prove it! GO ZERS

 

[magnifier661]

So, my brother and I were discussing now that we kind of know who the roster will consist of, where is the scoring gunna come from. The league median was the Chicago bulls last year they averaged 100.2 ppg given the expanded roles of some of our players give us a realistic 10-man rotation that gets us there.

Even tho Im on the side that believes we are gunna surprise people next year, I was having a pretty easy time getting there in fact when I was making the list I had to reel in some of my numbers I just dont see the precipitous drop off the rest of the world seems to.

Dame: 22 ppg
CJ: 15 ppg
Henderson: 13 ppg
Legend: 12 ppg
Vonleh: 10
Plums: 9 ppg
Aminu: 8 ppg
Davis: 7 ppg
Pressy: 3 ppg
Harkless: 3 ppg

Total: 102
Last Years avg :102.3

If Im wrong prove it! GO ZERS

First, I'd like to say Welcome! Second, I agree that we should have no problem scoring 102 a game. It maybe much like the 1999 Blazers with the scoring done by committee

 

[BlazerCaravan]

Great post. The big X-Factors are Vonleh and Henderson. Everyone else is pretty much right in their averages. The trick will be keeping our opponents from scoring 108 per night.

 

[SlyPokerDog]

So, my brother and I were discussing now that we kind of know who the roster will consist of, where is the scoring gunna come from. The league median was the Chicago bulls last year they averaged 100.2 ppg given the expanded roles of some of our players give us a realistic 10-man rotation that gets us there.

Even tho Im on the side that believes we are gunna surprise people next year, I was having a pretty easy time getting there in fact when I was making the list I had to reel in some of my numbers I just dont see the precipitous drop off the rest of the world seems to.

Dame: 22 ppg
CJ: 15 ppg
Henderson: 13 ppg
Legend: 12 ppg
Vonleh: 10
Plums: 9 ppg
Aminu: 8 ppg
Davis: 7 ppg
Pressy: 3 ppg
Harkless: 3 ppg

Total: 102
Last Years avg :102.3

If Im wrong prove it! GO ZERS

Great first post! Nice to have you here!

 

[chzbrgr]

The big X-Factors are Vonleh and Henderson. Everyone else is pretty much right in their averages. The trick will be keeping our opponents from scoring 108 per night.

Ganted defensively we are a mystery but we werent fantastic on defense last year outside of a short stretch after the allstar break Im just saying all this talk about us being in the bottom five in the league is BS plain and simple. We might lose our fair share of games and go through some growing pains but the future is bright and the present not as bleak as the world thinks. this team will be fun to watch that much is certain.

 

[BlazerCaravan]

Ganted defensively we are a mystery but we werent fantastic on defense last year outside of a short stretch after the allstar break Im just saying all this talk about us being in the bottom five in the league is BS plain and simple. We might lose our fair share of games and go through some growing pains but the future is bright and the present not as bleak as the world thinks. this team will be fun to watch that much is certain.

I'm with you all the way. I'm super-excited to see this team play, win or lose.

 

[SlyPokerDog]

So, my brother and I were discussing now that we kind of know who the roster will consist of, where is the scoring gunna come from. The league median was the Chicago bulls last year they averaged 100.2 ppg given the expanded roles of some of our players give us a realistic 10-man rotation that gets us there.

Even tho Im on the side that believes we are gunna surprise people next year, I was having a pretty easy time getting there in fact when I was making the list I had to reel in some of my numbers I just dont see the precipitous drop off the rest of the world seems to.

Dame: 22 ppg
CJ: 15 ppg
Henderson: 13 ppg
Legend: 12 ppg
Vonleh: 10
Plums: 9 ppg
Aminu: 8 ppg
Davis: 7 ppg
Pressy: 3 ppg
Harkless: 3 ppg

Total: 102
Last Years avg :102.3

If Im wrong prove it! GO ZERS

My prediction is that Lillard's scoring average will go down to 18pts a game. Without LMA and Wes it will be easier to double team him. But I believe that his assist average will go up to 7.5 a game as he adjusts to the increased pressure and the abilities of his teammates.

CJ will have nights were he scores 16-18pts, and nights where he struggles and scores 6-8pts. Not sure if he will have more good nights or struggling nights.

The rest I just don't know yet. A lot depends on how they jell together.

 

[chzbrgr]

Great first post! Nice to have you here!

Thanks sly I learn from the best. ive been reading for a while but it seemed time to jump in, the boards were getting a little grey in these dog days

 

[Pinwheel1]

Great post. The big X-Factors are Vonleh and Henderson. Everyone else is pretty much right in their averages. The trick will be keeping our opponents from scoring 108 per night.

I think you meant Vonleh and Leonard?
Because Henderson at 13 per game is pretty much at his average last year.
Leonard is a bit of a unknown as he will get a much bigger role this year.
Not sure Vonleh can average 10 per game his first real season, but I think Davis can make up a little of that to compensate.

 

[magnifier661]

My prediction is that Lillard's scoring average will go down to 18pts a game. Without LMA and Wes it will be easier to double team him. But I believe that his assist average will go up to 7.5 a game as he adjusts to the increased pressure and the abilities of his teammates.

CJ will have nights were he scores 16-18pts, and nights where he struggles and scores 6-8pts. Not sure if he will have more good nights or struggling nights.

The rest I just don't know yet. A lot depends on how they jell together.

Dame will be a top 5 scorer in this league this season. Book it!

 

[dviss1]

My prediction is that Lillard's scoring average will go down to 18pts a game. Without LMA and Wes it will be easier to double team him. But I believe that his assist average will go up to 7.5 a game as he adjusts to the increased pressure and the abilities of his teammates.

CJ will have nights were he scores 16-18pts, and nights where he struggles and scores 6-8pts. Not sure if he will have more good nights or struggling nights.

The rest I just don't know yet. A lot depends on how they jell together.

Conversely, I think he'll average more. Trapping Lillard may backfire as that will allow others to get involved. I think the the gameplan against us will be shut everyone else down and let Lillard get his. I predict career numbers.

 

[BlazerCaravan]

I think you meant Vonleh and Leonard?
Because Henderson at 13 per game is pretty much at his average last year.
Leonard is a bit of a unknown as he will get a much bigger role this year.
Not sure Vonleh can average 10 per game his first real season, but I think Davis can make up a little of that to compensate.

I'm pretty confident in Leonard getting 12 in 24-30 minutes. In games where he got that many minutes, he averaged 12 or so. I put Henderson as an X-Factor simply because I don't know his game or how he'll mesh with Lillard in the backcourt.

Really, I guess Vonleh is the biggest x-factor. I also think Davis will blow up, but that's just me.

 

[SlyPokerDog]

Dame will be a top 5 scorer in this league this season. Book it!

Conversely, I think he'll average more. Trapping Lillard May backfire as that will allow others to get involved. I think the the gamelan against us will be shut everyone else down and let Lillard get his. I predict career numbers.

I hope you're both right.

 

[magnifier661]

Conversely, I think he'll average more. Trapping Lillard May backfire as that will allow others to get involved. I think the the gamelan against us will be shut everyone else down and let Lillard get his. I predict career numbers.

Exactly this... It's much easier for teams force one player to try and beat you, than trying to shut fown the best player on the team.

 

[magnifier661]

I hope you're both right.

Hope that we can actually win more games than lose. There is no hoping for DameTime

 

[BonesJones]

My prediction is that Lillard's scoring average will go down to 18pts a game. Without LMA and Wes it will be easier to double team him. But I believe that his assist average will go up to 7.5 a game as he adjusts to the increased pressure and the abilities of his teammates.

CJ will have nights were he scores 16-18pts, and nights where he struggles and scores 6-8pts. Not sure if he will have more good nights or struggling nights.

The rest I just don't know yet. A lot depends on how they jell together.

I think he'll raise his average. If Westbrook can score 28ppg wit out Durant than I think Dame will be fine. I expect something like 24 and 8


Really you can only judge scoring off of rotation players. Montero might play in one game this year and score 8. Hed have 8ppg but it wouldn't raise the average by 8.
Dame 24 ppg
CJ 14ppg
Henderson 12ppg
Plumlee 12ppg
Leonard 11ppg
Vonleh 8ppg
Aminu 8ppg
Davis 8ppg
Crabbe 4ppg
+2ppg in mop up action
104ppg

 

[Hobbesarable]

Conversely, I think he'll average more. Trapping Lillard may backfire as that will allow others to get involved. I think the the gameplan against us will be shut everyone else down and let Lillard get his. I predict career numbers.

Dame is the linchpin of our offense. He'll easily shatter his career points for a season if he gets the same amount of shots LA had last season.

 

[BonesJones]

This will all be irrelevant once we trade for Cousins at the deadline and he and Dame both get 24ppg.

 

[magnifier661]

I think he'll raise his average. If Westbrook can score 28ppg wit out Durant than I think Dame will be fine. I expect something like 24 and 8


Really you can only judge scoring off of rotation players. Montero might play in one game this year and score 8. Hed have 8ppg but it wouldn't raise the average by 8.
Dame 24 ppg
CJ 14ppg
Henderson 12ppg
Plumlee 12ppg
Leonard 11ppg
Vonleh 8ppg
Aminu 8ppg
Davis 8ppg
Crabbe 4ppg
+2ppg in mop up action
104ppg

If we can have 5 players with 10+ scoring would be pretty awesome

 

[ripcityboy]

This will all be irrelevant once we trade for Cousins at the deadline and he and Dame both get 24ppg.

I have a feeling that the what-if Demarcus Cousins trade is going to be our phantom Danning Manning trade. It's not a matter of if, it's when! For like the entire year.

 

[PDXFonz]

I simply don't care about getting to 100 ever since they substituted the amazing chalupa coupons for shitty mcdonalds coupons that expire 5 minutes after the game.

You basically have to run full speed from the rose garden to the nearest mcdonalds in order to use it.

Edit: I know this wasn't the focus of your post, just sharing my thoughts.

 

[Denny Crane]

It depends on the pace the team plays.

The team will likely get 80-85 FGA per game. I don't see the guys other than Dame really being able to consistently create for themselves early in the clock.

At worst, if the team shoots 40%, on 80 FGA, that's just 64 points. There will be some of those FGA as 3pt shot, plus FTs.

102/game? I'm not so sure.

What is a solid plan is to have guys on the front line that can rebound missed shots and get you easy second chances.

 

[Draco]

We'll have some bad defense that will inflate the PPG. I think CJ plays the backup PG and we have a default 9 man rotation.

Dame: 26
CJ: 19
Henderson: 9
Legend: 11
Vonleh: 4
Plums: 10
Aminu: 8
Davis: 9
Crabbe: 5

Total: 101

Kaman, another PG, Pat and Harkless will get minutes but this would be my default breakdown on a standard game; no injuries, and a relatively close score.

If Dame or CJ miss a game the offense could get real ugly.

 

[Draco]

It depends on the pace the team plays.

The team will likely get 80-85 FGA per game. I don't see the guys other than Dame really being able to consistently create for themselves early in the clock.

At worst, if the team shoots 40%, on 80 FGA, that's just 64 points. There will be some of those FGA as 3pt shot, plus FTs.

102/game? I'm not so sure.

What is a solid plan is to have guys on the front line that can rebound missed shots and get you easy second chances.

I expect some bad defense and games where we give up 110 so other teams allow us to break 100 easily. There will be quick shots and transitions hoops that will ramp up the FGA per game. It will be very different from a Bulls offense. I expect we give up an average of near 105 PPG.

 

[magnifier661]

It depends on the pace the team plays.

The team will likely get 80-85 FGA per game. I don't see the guys other than Dame really being able to consistently create for themselves early in the clock.

At worst, if the team shoots 40%, on 80 FGA, that's just 64 points. There will be some of those FGA as 3pt shot, plus FTs.

102/game? I'm not so sure.

What is a solid plan is to have guys on the front line that can rebound missed shots and get you easy second chances.

You need to take your Chicago Bulls hat off. 80 FGA?!?!

 

[Denny Crane]

I expect some bad defense where we give up 114 so other teams allow us to break 100 more easily. There will be quick shots and transitions hoops that will ramp up the FGA per game. It will be very different from a Bulls offense.

Maybe.

But I don't expect per 36 minute performance out of more than 5 or 6 guys. That would be a short rotation.

 

[Denny Crane]

I expect some bad defense and games where we give up 120 so other teams allow us to break 100 easily. There will be quick shots and transitions hoops that will ramp up the FGA per game. It will be very different from a Bulls offense. I expect we give up an average of near 110 PPG.

I wrote 80-85. With 4 high quality seasoned starters, the Blazers managed 86 last season.

Orlando managed 82.
The Kings managed just 80.

 

[Draco]

I wrote 80-85. With 4 high quality seasoned starters, the Blazers managed 86 last season.

Orlando managed 82.
The Kings managed just 80.

Blazers scored 102.8 last season.

Theres no point in comparing last years starter to this years; we had 4 guys playing 35mins a night but this next season we'll have one. Our #2 scorer is very likely coming off the bench.

Edit: Ok I think you are talking about FGA. We had a good defense last year and would take our time in half court sets which reduces FGA. I expect more shots for Blazers and their opponents. Blazers also had some of the lowest FT attempts in the league and that will be far higher. We'll miss a lot more FT's but it'll still extend the game and increase scoring.

 

[damianlillard]

dame-25
cj-16
legend-14
plumlee-10
aminu-8
davis-8
vonleh-9
crabbe-8
pressey-5
103 plus 2 so 105ppg. our offense will be above-average. but it our defense that scares me.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

I wrote 80-85. With 4 high quality seasoned starters, the Blazers managed 86 last season.

Orlando managed 82.
The Kings managed just 80.

It wasn't because the Blazers starters were great or because they played at a fast pace. They got more possessions than the average team last year because of their offensive reminding and their lack of turnovers. They also got to the line less often, so possessions were more likely to end in a shot being taken.

I could see their shots per game dropping significantly if the unfamiliarity results in more turnovers, or if a more rim-focused attack leads to more free throws.