GrandpaBlaze's Predictions Game - Rules & Explanations

[GrandpaBlaze]

GrandpaBlaze's Blazer Predictions Game

To (hopefully) increase the amount of fun in our Blazer season for us fans, the Blazer predictions game, started in the 1999/2000 season, returns for the eleventh year. The predictions game works as follows:

Prior to the start of each game, predict the final score for the game. For example, Blazers 104, Lakers 99. Predictions made after the start of the game will not be accepted.

Once the game is complete, the results are calculated as follows:
1. You picked the right team to win
2. Total difference in score
3. Difference from team you predicted to win's actual score

Using the above prediction (Blazers 104, Lakers 99), if the actual score turned out to be Blazers 107, Lakers 106 the results would be as follows:

1. Pick the right team? Yes
2. Total Difference = 10 (Diff between Blazer actual and predicted of 3 + diff between Laker actual and predicted of 7)
3. Difference from Blazer actual = 3

Assume the following predictions for the actual 107-106 game:

A. Blazers 104, Lakers 99
B. Blazers 103, Lakers 100
C. Blazers 94, Lakers 90
D. Lakers 106, Blazers 105
E. Lakers 101, Blazers 90
F. Blazers 114, Lakers 87

The ranking for the game would be as follows:
1. A (right team, tot diff 10, Blazer diff 3)
2. B (right team, tot diff 10, Blazer diff 4)
3. F (right team, tot diff 26, Blazer diff 7)
4. C (right team, tot diff 29, Blazer diff 13)
5. D (wrong team, tot diff 2, Laker diff 0)
6. E (wrong team, tot diff 22, Laker diff 5)

Cumulative Results are calculated as follows:
1. Average individual game rank
2. Average total difference
3. Average Predicted Team difference
4. Number of games predicted.

Cumulative results are posted for the month (October is combined with November), first and second half of the season, and full season. In order to appear in the cumulative results, you must have predicted at least two-thirds (66%) of the games played in the time period for the cumulative ranking AND must have predicted at least 7 of the past 10 games (i.e., you must stay active in order to appear in the cumulative standings).

Additonal Info:
- This game is open to anyone (Blazer fan or not)
- All predictions should be in the prediction thread for a given game.
- If you do not see a prediction thread, create one.
- Multiple game predictions can be made at once.
- For extended predictions lists (i.e., you are going on a vacation, etc.) PM the predictions to me.

One final note:
I will not accept predictions from anyone I ignore (in other words, don't be a troll).

One really final note:
One and only one prediction will be accepted. Edited posts will be allowed and counted - up until the time that I put the prediction into my program. Once you are in the program, I am not going to go back and check everyone's posts to see if they edited or not.

Therefore, it will be somewhat arbitrary as to whether your edited prediction will be used or if the original (or which edited prediction if you edit more than once) as sometimes I gradually gather predictions leading up to a game and other times I gather all the predictions after the game has started or after the game has completed.

To accompany this rule change, there is a potential penalty: If I am recording predictions either during or after a game and notice a prediction that was edited either during or after the game, you will be counted as having predicted but I will edit the prediction so that you come in last and last by a very large margin (i.e., you predict the Blazers to lose but they win - I will edit your prediction such that it is something like opponent 190, Blazers 60 which, in case of tie-breakers blows your total differential, pick differential and margin differential out of the water). The end result, don't edit a prediction after the start of the game.

Enjoy!

Gramps...

 

[BoBoBREWSKI]

I heart GRANDPA BLAZE!

 

[DaRizzle]

 

[Paxil]

I'll do my anual plea for just using team and winning margin... instead of picking scores just pick team and margin... maybe just use actual score as a tie breaker.

Under your method if actual score was Blazers 107 Lakers 106

And person A predicted Blazers 111 Lakers 110 (10)
and person B predicted Blazers 116 Lakers 106 (9)

So person B would win under your scoring even though they predicted a 10 point win and it was actually 1. To me that outs too much emphasis in predicting the points scored in the game instead of the actual margin of victory.

 

[GrandpaBlaze]

I'll do my anual plea for just using team and winning margin... instead of picking scores just pick team and margin... maybe just use actual score as a tie breaker.

Under your method if actual score was Blazers 107 Lakers 106

And person A predicted Blazers 111 Lakers 110 (10)
and person B predicted Blazers 116 Lakers 106 (9)

So person B would win under your scoring even though they predicted a 10 point win and it was actually 1. To me that outs too much emphasis in predicting the points scored in the game instead of the actual margin of victory.

Tried it for a time about the third or fourth year. Nobody seemed to like using the margin of victory as a deciding factor and I've left it out ever since. However, as I think about it, there are frequently cases where people have the same total difference and pick difference, resulting in a tie for the game. In such a case I could use the predicted margin of victory as a tie-breaker.

Not much of a compromise but what about that?

Gramps...

 

[Paxil]

Don't change anything for me... just one voice... if people like it the way it is... keep it. Heck... I won a nice pair of shoes with it the way it is! =) (Now if I can just figure out how to get Telfair's autograph off them)

 

[GrandpaBlaze]

I won a nice pair of shoes with it the way it is! =) (Now if I can just figure out how to get Telfair's autograph off them)

Wait! Don't get that autograph off!!!! You just wait - he's going to be a star in this league - vying with Sergio for the honors of best PG in the league!!

Gramps...

 

[LOTBfan]

Blazers 107 lakers 91

 

[Colonel Ronan]

I'll sticky this for you, GB.

 

[BlazerWookee]

Am I on your ignore list? If I am, would the fact that I'm an extra in an independent film be enough to petition for deignoration?

 

[GrandpaBlaze]

I'll sticky this for you, GB.

Thanks Ronan.

Gramps...

 

[GrandpaBlaze]

Am I on your ignore list? If I am, would the fact that I'm an extra in an independent film be enough to petition for deignoration?

Not yet. It is tough to get on my ignore list but there are a couple who have earned that distinction.

Gramps...

 

[Colonel Ronan]

Bump.

 

[GrandpaBlaze]

For those who participate in the predictions game, you are probably aware that edited posts have been ignored; I am making a slight change to that rule.

Edited posts will be allowed and counted - up until the time that I put the prediction into my program. Once you are in the program, I am not going to go back and check everyone's posts to see if they edited or not.

Therefore, it will be somewhat arbitrary as to whether your edited prediction will be used or if the original (or which edited prediction if you edit more than once) as sometimes I gradually gather predictions leading up to a game (such as today's game) and other times I gather all the predictions after the game has started or after the game has completed.

To accompany this rule change, there is a potential penalty: If I am recording predictions either during or after a game and notice a prediction that was edited either during or after the game, you will be counted as having predicted but I will edit the prediction so that you come in last and last by a very large margin (i.e., you predict the Blazers to win but they lose - I will edit your prediction such that it is something like opponent 190, Blazers 60 which, in case of tie-breakers blows your total differential, pick differential and margin differential out of the water)

That's it folks, thanks for playing and good luck!

Gramps...