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illmatic99

illmatic99

formerly yuyuza1
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More and more likely for us to match up with these guys in the first round. And they're limping into the playoffs losing at home handily, while at full strength to the Wizards this weekend (who were playing without Pierce) while. All year long, I've dreaded the idea of facing MEM, but considering how bad they've looked as of late, and how good the Clips and Spurs have become, it might not be the worst thing in the world to grind a series out against the Grizz.

Question is, will Terry ever tank to force a matchup vs a particular team?
 
I think it's possible, but not likely. Although it's probable that Portland will lose to the Thunder, Mavs and Warriors and win against Utah and Minnesota, ending the season 52-30.

Memphis should finish 55-27 (3-4, 5)
Spurs should finish 55-27 (3-4, 5)
Rockets should finish 55-27 (3-4, 5)
Clippers should finish 56-26 (2)

Not sure who won what series here (among Memphis, Spurs and Rockets).
 
yuyuza1 said:
Question is, will Terry ever tank to force a matchup vs a particular team?
Click to expand...

How will tanking change our playoff position? We can't drop any lower than we already are even if we lost everyone of our remaining games. 5th is low as we go by winning our division. Although they say 4th is......don't get me started.
 
julius said:
I think it's possible, but not likely. Although it's probable that Portland will lose to the Thunder, Mavs and Warriors and win against Utah and Minnesota, ending the season 52-30.

Memphis should finish 55-27 (3-4, 5)
Spurs should finish 55-27 (3-4, 5)
Rockets should finish 55-27 (3-4, 5)
Clippers should finish 56-26 (2)

Not sure who won what series here (among Memphis, Spurs and Rockets).
Click to expand...

I don't think it's "probable" that the Blazers will lose to either the Thunder or Mavs. I think it's highly unlikely that they lose to the Westbrooks and about 50-50 with the Mavs since it's at their place. I see the Blazers ending up with 54 wins.
 
e_blazer said:
I don't think it's "probable" that the Blazers will lose to either the Thunder or Mavs. I think it's highly unlikely that they lose to the Westbrooks and about 50-50 with the Mavs since it's at their place. I see the Blazers ending up with 54 wins.
Click to expand...

This is where I see them as well, having the exact same record as they had last season. If only we didn't have all those injuries... We may have been a 60 win team.
 
If LA finishes ahead of MEM, they'd vault to 3, while MEM drops to 5. Key is Spurs staying behind MEM. We could then start the playoffs in MEM in a 4-5 matchup.

TBH, I'd rather face a reeling MEM than a surging SA
 
yuyuza1 said:
If LA finishes ahead of MEM, they'd vault to 3, while MEM drops to 5. Key is Spurs staying behind MEM. We could then start the playoffs in MEM in a 4-5 matchup.

TBH, I'd rather face a reeling MEM than a surging SA
Click to expand...

We still have a shot at the third seed. We just need to tie the Clippers or Houston for the third best record. We could win out and Clippers lose one, or we go 4-1 and Clippers lose 2, which is very possible. Also, Houston has a pretty tough schedule 2 vs SAS and 1 vs NOLA (I think NOLA will be playing for a playoff spot). Even the Jazz could be a big problem for them. I could see Houston losing 2-3 more games.
 
This might seem like out of left field but could Memphis be purposefully losing because they know they match up well against us now that Wes is gone? I don't think it would have started out as that but maybe their coach/GM were like "fuck it lets play the Blazers and then get GSW after an easy matchup and see if Kerr is as good of a couch in a playoff series as he is in the regular season".
 
I don't think a team would tank for a specific opponent. You want to be playing your best going into the playoffs. Thinking you can turn that switch on and off is foolhardy.
 
Rhal said:
This might seem like out of left field but could Memphis be purposefully losing because they know they match up well against us now that Wes is gone? I don't think it would have started out as that but maybe their coach/GM were like "fuck it lets play the Blazers and then get GSW after an easy matchup and see if Kerr is as good of a couch in a playoff series as he is in the regular season".
Click to expand...
I find that highly unlikely. The goal would try and meet GS in the WCF, not the second round. GS maybe that jump shooting team that fails in the playoffs, but they look pretty unbeatable. I wouldn't take my chances until it is absolutely necessary.

The 2-3 is the goal because Houston may not be a good playoff team (as we saw last season), anyone would much rather face the Clippers than GS in the second round as well. And the reality is we still have a shot at getting the 2nd seed.
 
yuyuza1 said:
If LA finishes ahead of MEM, they'd vault to 3, while MEM drops to 5. Key is Spurs staying behind MEM. We could then start the playoffs in MEM in a 4-5 matchup.

TBH, I'd rather face a reeling MEM than a surging SA
Click to expand...

I agree. It's not an ideal matchup, but what is in the WC? They've also been battling injuries. Tony Allen has missed the last few games, but he'll be back before the playoffs. Green has had back issues. If we do face the Grizz, there's still a shot we could have HCA. If they go 2-3 and we go 4-1 we would tie with 54 wins, & tie-breaker would go to us because we won our division (even though they beat us down 4-0 head-t0-head). The Grizz have some tough games left, & they could very well cough up a few losses. I think it's at least a 50/50 series if we can grab HCA. Without it? To say that would be tough would be an understatement.
 
magnifier661 said:
I find that highly unlikely. The goal would try and meet GS in the WCF, not the second round. GS maybe that jump shooting team that fails in the playoffs, but they look pretty unbeatable. I wouldn't take my chances until it is absolutely necessary.

The 2-3 is the goal because Houston may not be a good playoff team (as we saw last season), anyone would much rather face the Clippers than GS in the second round as well. And the reality is we still have a shot at getting the 2nd seed.
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I'd want to take GSW as soon as possible. They will sweep the thunder offering no real challenge and there is still lingering doubts as to if they can win in the playoffs. Hit them hard and fast before they, and Kerr, have really gotten their playoff legs under them and have the confidence that overcoming a challenge in the playoffs will give them.
 
When was the last time 6 seeds in the west had 50 wins or more? There is definitely more parity in the league than I can ever remember. Championships mean beating the best and winning on the road so the challenge isn't that different for anyone in the west.
 
Kaydow said:
I agree. It's not an ideal matchup, but what is in the WC? They've also been battling injuries. Tony Allen has missed the last few games, but he'll be back before the playoffs. Green has had back issues. If we do face the Grizz, there's still a shot we could have HCA. If they go 2-3 and we go 4-1 we would tie with 54 wins, & tie-breaker would go to us because we won our division (even though they beat us down 4-0 head-t0-head). The Grizz have some tough games left, & they could very well cough up a few losses. I think it's at least a 50/50 series if we can grab HCA. Without it? To say that would be tough would be an understatement.
Click to expand...

Yup. After seeing the Spurs make quick work of the Warriors this weekend, I want no part of them. Our team might want them to get revenge for last year, but that kind of thinking is misguided. Splitter plays LA better than most other big men, and Kawhi poses too many matchup problems for us. And playoff Parker is a different animal.

And considering how CP has dominated Dame in every game of the season series with Terry yet to find a semblance of a solution, I'd rather take on the likes of Conley and Lee. I see LA doing well against ZBo in a long series, and CJ/Meyers can pose problems for their bench.

We got owned in the season series, but I've seen chinks in the Grizz' armor over the last few weeks. I think we could do well with or without home court.
 
Rhal said:
I'd want to take GSW as soon as possible. They will sweep the thunder offering no real challenge and there is still lingering doubts as to if they can win in the playoffs. Hit them hard and fast before they, and Kerr, have really gotten their playoff legs under them and have the confidence that overcoming a challenge in the playoffs will give them.
Click to expand...

Who knows if they will even play the Thunder in the first round. NOLA is looking really good and still have a legit shot at making the playoffs.
 
riverman said:
When was the last time 6 seeds in the west had 50 wins or more? There is definitely more parity in the league than I can ever remember. Championships mean beating the best and winning on the road so the challenge isn't that different for anyone in the west.
Click to expand...

http://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2010.html

The 8th seed Thunder had 50 wins

http://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2009.html

The 5th seed Mavs (NOLA 8th with 49 wins)

http://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2008.html

8th seed Nuggets with 50 wins.

It happens way more than you think
 
riverman said:
When was the last time 6 seeds in the west had 50 wins or more? There is definitely more parity in the league than I can ever remember. Championships mean beating the best and winning on the road so the challenge isn't that different for anyone in the west.
Click to expand...
In 2010, the 8th seeded Thunder were 50-32.
 
Last year the top 7 had 50, the 8th had 49
 
magnifier661 said:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2010.html

The 8th seed Thunder had 50 wins

http://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2009.html

The 5th seed Mavs (NOLA 8th with 49 wins)

http://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2008.html

8th seed Nuggets with 50 wins.

It happens way more than you think - in the Western Conference
Click to expand...

Has it ever happened in the East? I don't think so. The last time the Eastern Conference had all 8 playoff seeds finish above .500 was 10 years ago. Going back at least a decade, the West is more likely to have eight 50-win teams than the East is to have eight 40-win teams.

BNM
 
I'm just trying to go into the post season thinking we're all starting out 0-0 and we'll have a shot at a long win streak when it counts
 
This can't be right. I thought the Grizzlies and every team in the league will be licking their chops to devour the Blazers in the playoffs? I read it right here on this board.

I would love it if the Spurs dispose of the Clippers. I'd rather face the Spurs in round three than the Clips. For one thing, in the unlikely event we were to lose the series, I wouldn't mind as much if its the Spurs.

:cheers:
 
"Grizzlies would be about the worst matchup for the Trail Blazers, as they swept Portland 0-4 this season and have won nine of the last 11 meetings over the past three seasons"

Casey Holdahl


Couldn't agree more
 
S550 said:
"Grizzlies would be about the worst matchup for the Trail Blazers, as they swept Portland 0-4 this season and have won nine of the last 11 meetings over the past three seasons"

Casey Holdahl


Couldn't agree more
Click to expand...

The year Dallas beat us in the first round, Portland swept them in the regular season and won 8 of their last 10 meetings against them.

What does that tell you? Regular season don't mean shit!

Did I forget to mention that Houston had our number in the regular season, had a better last 10 against us too? How did that work out for Houston last season in the first round, even when they had HCA?
 
magnifier661 said:
The year Dallas beat us in the first round, Portland swept them in the regular season and won 8 of their last 10 meetings against them.

What does that tell you? Regular season don't mean shit!

Did I forget to mention that Houston had our number in the regular season, had a better last 10 against us too? How did that work out for Houston last season in the first round, even when they had HCA?
Click to expand...
And we handled the Spurs in the regular season as well
 
I agree that the playoffs can be a whole new story when it comes to match ups but I think another big factor is did we learn lessons from last year's playoffs and can we apply them to this year's playoffs. Good teams. Build from year to year.
 
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