magnifier661
B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
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I think this season will haves many teams in tank fest mode. I think there will be more wins to go around.
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i think 44 is reasonable. realistically hoping for more like 48.
I think Dame takes a leap. 47 wins.
I remember you from MB's blog, right?
I'm looking at DWade.
His rookie year (age 21-22- approx same age as Dame), he put up 16-5-4 in 35 mpg. He jumped to 24-7-5 in his sophomore year in 39 mpg. His biggest improvement was due to 4 increased FT attempts per game. If Dame can climb up from 19-7-3 in 39 mpg to 22-8-3 in some fewer minutes, he will be an all star and we will win a ton of game.
As a comparison, Roy went from 16-4-4 in 35 mpg his rookie year to 19-5-6 in 38 mpg his sophomore year. With this improvement, we only went from 32 wins his rookie year to 41 his second. I'm hoping for a bit better from Dame and this team.
I'm looking at DWade.
His rookie year (age 21-22- approx same age as Dame), he put up 16-5-4 in 35 mpg. He jumped to 24-7-5 in his sophomore year in 39 mpg. His biggest improvement was due to 4 increased FT attempts per game. If Dame can climb up from 19-7-3 in 39 mpg to 22-8-3 in some fewer minutes, he will be an all star and we will win a ton of game.
As a comparison, Roy went from 16-4-4 in 35 mpg his rookie year to 19-5-6 in 38 mpg his sophomore year. With this improvement, we only went from 32 wins his rookie year to 41 his second. I'm hoping for a bit better from Dame and this team.
As of now, without knowing what other teams have done, +7-10 games on whatever we notched last season.
Even though it appeared to be a "tank", the schedule was such that there was a very good chance we would have lost all of those games even if we hadn't "tanked". Mid-season I was looking at the close to our schedule and knew that all the "Playoffs" talk was way premature and we'd come plummeting down to Earth. So I don't really buy into us being better than our record indicated.Considering the tank towards the end of last year I'd say +7-10 is a safe bet.
I'm stepping back from my previous full mags answer, and going with 46
Even though it appeared to be a "tank", the schedule was such that there was a very good chance we would have lost all of those games even if we hadn't "tanked". Mid-season I was looking at the close to our schedule and knew that all the "Playoffs" talk was way premature and we'd come plummeting down to Earth. So I don't really buy into us being better than our record indicated.
I think we have a dramatically better roster already, but I don't know that it'll translate into a dramatically better record. Lillard and McCollum will hold the keys to whether we just meet, or exceed expectations.
Our starting 5 was better than our record indicated. The bench holds the keys to success IMO. And this second unit has got some real potential:
McCollum/Watson
Barton/Crabbe
Wright
Robinson
Leonard
0-82