The problem is that he undercut the procedure for how the government has and needs to handle these things.
1.) Predictions arent even made 7 days out, and the graph he wa sholding wa s7 days out from Alabama.
2.) The angle the storm was traveling based on the prediction it wouldve been nearly impossible to have had major impacts on Alabama due to weakening from land.
3.) He tried to reference ensemble models to state that there was a very real possibility to Alabama. Ensemble models are used to test many different combinations of atmospheric steering layers and conditions, and the ones that are far outside of the ensemble envelop are extreme outliers and rarely (if ever) come to fruition.
4.) The steering layers were much more complicated than that, but from early on it was pretty obvious that the ridge of high pressure blocking it from heading north wouldnt remain strong enough to keep it heading west to Alabama. There was also a ULL blocking it from heading westward, that ULL became Tropical Storm Fernand. It wouldve been beyond shocking for the hurricane to make it all the way to Alabama, and that was reflected by the model ensembles he referenced to try to support his bullshit.
He needs to stop trying to play meteorologist. I cringe every time I hear him talk about these things. Hes clueless.
