If we continue the same home/road winning percentage...

[BoBoBREWSKI]

If we continue the current pace we would finish the season with 44 wins. However, it gets much more interesting when you consider how the remaining schedule is weighted. We have 46 games remaining with 27 home games and only 19 on the road. IF we continue the SAME winning percentages at home and road that we have to this point we project out to 48 wins, which sounds a lot better.

At current pacing we project to win 21.6 of the home games and 6.84 of the remaining road games. With rounding to full numbers that adds up to 28 wins in our final 46 games to finish season at 48-34.

Doesnt make the season seem as bad as some fans think its been. Let's hope the #'s hold up!

GO TRAIL BLAZERS!

 

[julius]

First, let's hope they win their next game.

 

[blazedanugz]

damn good info...that doesnt make us that far from 50....which i think in everyones mind would be outrageous

 

[THE HCP]

Wow, maybe Rice was right when he predicted 47 wins!

 

[BlayZa]

hold on , this isnt mixum saying the season is over....

 

[BoBoBREWSKI]

^ I love your avatar!

 

[jlprk]

If we continue the current pace we would finish the season with 44 wins...IF we continue the SAME winning percentages at home and road that we have to this point we project out to 48 wins

We are currently behind Denver, New Orleans, and New York, but CoolStandings predicts we will finish ahead of them and win 46.2 games, a compromise between your 44 and 48.

http://www.coolstandings.com/cs2/basketball/basketball_standings.asp

 

[mook]

The worst part of our season is likely behind. This team lost about 6 or 7 games it might've won because it was still trying to adhere to the idea that Roy was our #1 option. Portland is 9-3 since Aldridge became the 25 ppg beast he is now.

You have to throw out the record of the Roy-led team in projections. It's just too different of a team.

Assuming Camby stays healthy (always a big assumption) and Aldridge keeps up his torrid pace, I think this team wins 50 games. That requires the team win at a .681 pace from here on out. Given the favorable number of home games, it's definitely possible.

 

[THE HCP]

^ 50 wins is a stretch. I wish, but that ain't happenin'!

 

[jlprk]

Pro: Each season, McMillan teams go on a long win streak.

(Maybe my memory is wrong.)

Con: It has always started by now. If we have one, it will be unusually late.

 

[MickZagger]

^ 50 wins is a stretch. I wish, but that ain't happenin'!

^ This post means its going to happen.

 

[Eastoff]

Look at this beerboy with his fancy weighted averages! Good post duder

 

[handiman]

Gotta look at more than just home and away, though... We have a lot of games remaining with the Lakers, Spurs, Heat, Magic, Thunder, Mavs... That could be a tough 3+ month stretch to close out the season.