It's Official! Ducks Are #1

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I don't think it's fair for a team to be able to jump that many spots over the consensus #1 in every other poll. How did USC hold the #1 for all those years?

USC always played a tough non-conference schedule. Oregon hasn't. That's the crux of it at this point. Oregon's computer ranking--based on their strength of schedule--is what's keeping them out of the BCS top spot.

For now.
 
I don't think it's fair for a team to be able to jump that many spots over the consensus #1 in every other poll. How did USC hold the #1 for all those years?

My bad. I was thinking LSU beat Oklahoma when I ran numbers last night. Obviously that was #11 Missouri and they won't move up that much.

Let me recalculate...
Oregon was #1 in both human polls by a ways, so if anything, Oregon will steal some of the 1st place votes that had been for Oklahoma in the polls and maybe even a handful of BSU's since Oregon was convincing on national TV while BSU had a bye.

This means the combination of the human polls will put Oregon around .98x and .98x. Auburn will move up to around Oklahoma's spot behind TCU. So this puts Auburn around .89 to .90 for each human poll.

Computers were already dominated by LSU and Oklahoma. Auburn was up already and displaced many of those LSU & Oklahoma votes so they'll be around a .96. But Oregon was way down with a .71 and has way more room to move up with Oklahoma, LSU and Oklahoma State losing above them putting them around .81.

That said, it is closer than I thought. If Auburn gets enough human poll votes to literally bounce OVER TCU and Oregon doesn't gain any of Oklhoma's 1st place votes, then Auburn could get an average around 0.92x and that would be VERY close to Oregon who will be in the 0.92x by default. I still have Auburn NOT passing TCU in the polls and thus being closer to .917 or so.
 

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