Shaboid
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Employers added 114,000 net July jobs, the lowest level since 12/20 except for the 108,000 three months ago. May and June were revised down by 29,000 and wage growth slowed to 3.6%, barely ahead of inflation, the weakest reading since 5/21. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest rate since 10/21. It’s now risen enough to trigger the Sahm Rule which has correctly forecasted every recession since 1970.
They may have lost control of the soft landing as Joe handed the yoke over to Kamala. The post covid economy has defied normal analysts expectations though. Markets are up this morning, but some uncertainty remains? I feel an emergency rate cut coming. We've all been hoping for a cut for a while now. Two before the election would be nice.