I would be more likely to agree with you if there weren't rumors that he wanted out after Dame's rookie season. He very well might have been indecisive, but I always got the feeling that he didn't like it here, and that he was going to go home. My original thought was to Dallas, but going to the Spurs is basically the same thing. He went back to Texas. He went closer to his mom. He just never really bought into Portland. I remember reading that he was unhappy with his extension, and he always seemed jaded about how Roy and Oden were more popular/more marketed. He played nice because he was stuck here.
The reason he "wanted out" after Dame's rookie season was because he didn't want another year of playing next to a 6'9" power forward playing out of position at center (J.J. Hickson). He told Neil he wanted to play next to a legitimate 7-footer who could bang down low for 30 minutes a game. Neil went out and got Robin Lopez, who fit great next to Aldridge and the team went from 33 wins to 54.
That seemed to placate Aldridge up until the Matthews' injury and the wheels complete fell off in the MEM series. But, by then Aldridge was an unrestricted free agent and controlled his own destiny. Other than offering Aldridge a max contract, there was nothing else Neil could do.
I think that is where Neil may have overplayed his hand. He seemed content to let Aldridge field other offers, knowing he could offer more than anyone else. Aldridge seemed to take offense that Neil wasn't on the phone with him at 12:01am on July 1 offering a 5-year max. deal. Instead, Neil basically told Aldridge to see what else was out there and then give Neil the chance to come up with a better offer.
That tells me two things: either Neil was arrogant and assumed his ability to offer Aldridge more than anyone else was his trump card, or Neil didn't really want to keep Aldridge if it meant paying him the max. Either way, I think Neil fucked up.
He should have just offered Aldridge the max deal up front, and then if either party became unhappy down the road, trade Aldridge and get something of value in return. If we would have locked him up and wanted to move him later, someone would have been glad to take him off our hands. All of LAL, PHO and SAS (and probably a few more) were prepared to pay Aldridge the max. So, even with a big contract, he would have been movable.
BNM