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BBert

BBert

Weasels Ripped My Flesh
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March 27, 2012:

Portland is at #11, 1 game back of Mil and 2 games back of GSW (man I can't believe we blew that game. Stinking Felton.) Come on OKC! :devilwink:

Nyets are a solid #4.

:cheers:
 
If we end up with the 4th and 11th picks, that would be pretty decent. I would be satisfied with it.

But I think the Bucks can overtake us. They are fighting for a playoff spot with the Knicks, being only 2.5 games back. So I think we may end up in the 10th spot.

If we can somehow tank a little harder than the Warriors for the 9th pick, that would be even better. We play GS once more next month. That may play a big factor in determining who gets the 9th pick.

We'll need some luck for the Nets not to move up. This is gonna be an exciting lottery anyway you slice it.
 
Yep. It's a real horse race. Blowing that game against GSW could end up costing us 9th place. This upcoming string of home games has me a bit worried. :)
 
BBert said:
Yep. It's a real horse race. Blowing that game against GSW could end up costing us 9th place. This upcoming string of home games has me a bit worried. :)
Click to expand...

Heh. It made me laugh.
 
Darkwebs said:
If we end up with the 4th and 11th picks, that would be pretty decent. I would be satisfied with it.
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the nets finishing 4th only gets us a 10% chance at the 4th pick. 4th would be spectacularly lucky for us.
 
The Bucks won tonight and it looks like we'll lose tonight. That would mean we will tie them for the 10th spot. We play the Bucks in Milwaukee in April. So that will have huge implications on our lottery positioning. We have to find a way to lose that one.
 
Nikolokolus said:
Hmmmm ... that doesn't seem quite right?
Click to expand...

It does seem odd when you look at it, but it is right.

According to wikipedia the fourth worst team's odds:

4th pick - 10%
5th pick - 35%
6th pick - 16%
7th pick - 1%

so no lower than the 7th pick at least :)
 
Nikolokolus said:
Hmmmm ... that doesn't seem quite right?
Click to expand...

Looks like crow is correct. Yuyuza posted this in another thread

nba-draft-lottery-odds.jpg
 
Oh I wasn't saying Crow was wrong ... it just didn't seem to add up. But that's an interesting chart.
 
Cool chart. Even if the Nyets finish 5th they still have a 30% chance of a top 3 pick. We may get a "Stern" lesson in probability theory. :)
 
Nikolokolus said:
Hmmmm ... that doesn't seem quite right?
Click to expand...

it makes sense when you think about it. the only way the 4th worst team can pick 4th is if 1-3 happen to be the 3 lottery winners. 4th is the most likely spot to be bumped back.
 
Even if they do get a top 3 this summer, I think the Nets are bad enough that we could have a legit shot at the #1 overall next summer.
 
^with our luck..... They re-sign Williams.... Land D12 and get a top 3 pick this year! Next seasons pick for us will be garbage!
 
HCP said:
^with our luck..... They re-sign Williams.... Land D12 and get a top 3 pick this year! Next seasons pick for us will be garbage!
Click to expand...

They can't get D12 this summer, so it would have to be NEXT summer, so the pick would still suck. I think Deron is gone.
 
That's right. Howard picked up his option.
 
Do you see him really going to Dallas though? Don't be surprised if he stays. New arena in NYC.... Jay-Z.....
 
HCP said:
Do you see him really going to Dallas though? Don't be surprised if he stays. New arena in NYC.... Jay-Z.....
Click to expand...

Deron wants to win. Why would he want to sign on with a team for 4-5 more years when they have absolutely nothing? There's no guarantee that they get D12, so if I'm Deron I get the fuck out of dodge while I can. I think he could go to Dallas, or another decent team with max cap space.
 
HCP said:
^with our luck..... They re-sign Williams.... Land D12 and get a top 3 pick this year! Next seasons pick for us will be garbage!
Click to expand...

Don't forget Portland making the playoffs this year as well. Go from two lottery picks in a great draft to none this year or next
 
Natebishop3 said:
They can't get D12 this summer, so it would have to be NEXT summer, so the pick would still suck. I think Deron is gone.
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nets probably would get howard at the trade deadline if he said he was going to sign there in the 2013 offseason.
 
Had a weird dream last night. Our team played .500 ball for the rest of the season and we ended up 9th worse. We won the #1 pick and jersey fell to 5th.
 
magnifier661 said:
Had a weird dream last night. Our team played .500 ball for the rest of the season and we ended up 9th worse. We won the #1 pick and jersey fell to 5th.
Click to expand...

no homer post from U or your dreams surprises me! lol
 
magnifier661 said:
Had a weird dream last night. Our team played .500 ball for the rest of the season and we ended up 9th worse. We won the #1 pick and jersey fell to 5th.
Click to expand...

No shit - I had almost the same dream!

Except in my dream, we traded that #1 pick for the rights to Oden after he signed with LAL. Then we shipped Hicksons and the #5 to MINN for Martell Webster!
 
BBert said:
Yep. It's a real horse race. Blowing that game against GSW could end up costing us 9th place. This upcoming string of home games has me a bit worried. :)
Click to expand...

It's so funny to think of it that way, but it's true! Fucking Felton and his one good game of the week just had to come against a depleted Golden State team. He should be booed for playing well the rest of the season, considering how he sabotaged the previous 40-some games.
 
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