Maybe we’re better off as 7th seed.

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KSF-ERIC

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We can win a play-in game. Then we avoid Lakers, Nuggets or Jazz until WCF. I think we can take Phoenix. These last few losses will bring the team together and we’ll dominate playoffs. #WeTheNorthwest
 
We can win a play-in game. Then we avoid Lakers, Nuggets or Jazz until WCF. I think we can take Phoenix. These last few losses will bring the team together and we’ll dominate playoffs. #WeTheNorthwest
Hey man. What's our record with CJ and what's our record without him? I'm not saying we're worse with him necessarily but with the discrepancy in record can we possibly be thirty million dollars better with him available to play?
 
We can win a play-in game. Then we avoid Lakers, Nuggets or Jazz until WCF. I think we can take Phoenix. These last few losses will bring the team together and we’ll dominate playoffs. #WeTheNorthwest

How about not getting our asses kicked by the Hornets before we talk about seeding
 
Hey man. What's our record with CJ and what's our record without him? I'm not saying we're worse with him necessarily but with the discrepancy in record can we possibly be thirty million dollars better with him available to play?
We are much worse with him
 
We can win a play-in game. Then we avoid Lakers, Nuggets or Jazz until WCF. I think we can take Phoenix. These last few losses will bring the team together and we’ll dominate playoffs. #WeTheNorthwest
Let me get this straight... now the team that you think will win it all is better off without a guaranteed playoff series? We just lost to the team that we would likely play in the first play-in game without their starting five and with their second option in his second game back. So you can chalk the 7 v 8 game up as a loss and then we'd likely have to play the red hot Warriors who are killing teams from the perimeter. How do you think that game goes? Us playing against a team that scores in flurries from outside. I don't think that goes well either. That's assuming that we stay in seventh which is no guarantee right now.

The way we're playing right now we'll lose in the play-in tourney. I want us to win, I want us to win in the playoffs but that's not what our trajectory looks like. So if we do find ourselves on the outside looking in I hope the Vulcan's send Neil and Terry packing, we win the lottery and have a beautiful exciting team that looks incredibly different to start next season.
 
Too lazy to work it out: is it still statistically possible for us to miss even the play in? What would have to happen for that to become reality?
 
Too lazy to work it out: is it still statistically possible for us to miss even the play in? What would have to happen for that to become reality?

Just keep doing what we're doing. If Terry gets us to miss the playoffs, give him coach of the year then fire him.
 
upload_2021-4-24_12-51-17.png
To answer my own question:
There are 72 games, so we have 13 left. If we go 0-13, we end up at 32-40. So yes, either (or both) of New Orleans or Sacramento could pass us. But thankfully neither of them has exactly caught fire recently.

Question: I think I saw somewhere that in the play-in, teams 7 and 8 play each other and teams 9 and 10 do. That seems odd: why doesn't 7 play 10 and 8 play 9? As it is, we've got a shit-ton of games against Memphis coming up, and then we might well be matched up against them in the playoff. (Although at the moment that's probably optimistic.)
 
View attachment 38204
To answer my own question:
There are 72 games, so we have 13 left. If we go 0-13, we end up at 32-40. So yes, either (or both) of New Orleans or Sacramento could pass us. But thankfully neither of them has exactly caught fire recently.

Question: I think I saw somewhere that in the play-in, teams 7 and 8 play each other and teams 9 and 10 do. That seems odd: why doesn't 7 play 10 and 8 play 9? As it is, we've got a shit-ton of games against Memphis coming up, and then we might well be matched up against them in the playoff. (Although at the moment that's probably optimistic.)

the winner of the 7/8 becomes 7th seed; that makes sense. Then the winner of the 9/10 plays the loser of the 7/8. The winner of that game advances to 8th seed. To me, that makes sense too. It's still the same format where the higher seeded team only have to win one game to advance. The lower seeded teams have to win both games to advance

after last night I can see a Portland/Memphis matchup in the 7/8 game and memphis pulling the upset. Then, the Blazers have to face the Warriors in the 2nd game, and what we'll see is Stotts vs Kerr, and so far that matchup is a 1-12 shellacking of Stotts by Kerr
 
Too lazy to work it out: is it still statistically possible for us to miss even the play in? What would have to happen for that to become reality?
Yes we could but I don't see it happening maybe the pelicans but there just inconsistent as we are right now.
 
Nope. Need to stay in 7th or 8th to be in the 7th seed play-in game.
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Let me get this straight... now the team that you think will win it all is better off without a guaranteed playoff series? We just lost to the team that we would likely play in the first play-in game without their starting five and with their second option in his second game back. So you can chalk the 7 v 8 game up as a loss and then we'd likely have to play the red hot Warriors who are killing teams from the perimeter. How do you think that game goes? Us playing against a team that scores in flurries from outside. I don't think that goes well either. That's assuming that we stay in seventh which is no guarantee right now.

The way we're playing right now we'll lose in the play-in tourney. I want us to win, I want us to win in the playoffs but that's not what our trajectory looks like. So if we do find ourselves on the outside looking in I hope the Vulcan's send Neil and Terry packing, we win the lottery and have a beautiful exciting team that looks incredibly different to start next season.
Since when does losing to a team by 2 points in reg season mean we’re gonna lose to them in play-in. Again we were 0-4 vs OKC in 18-19 and beat them in playoffs.
 
Too lazy to work it out: is it still statistically possible for us to miss even the play in? What would have to happen for that to become reality?
We are 6 games ahead of pelicans and we own the tiebreaker. Very doubtful we’ll miss the play-in.
 
View attachment 38204
To answer my own question:
There are 72 games, so we have 13 left. If we go 0-13, we end up at 32-40. So yes, either (or both) of New Orleans or Sacramento could pass us. But thankfully neither of them has exactly caught fire recently.

Question: I think I saw somewhere that in the play-in, teams 7 and 8 play each other and teams 9 and 10 do. That seems odd: why doesn't 7 play 10 and 8 play 9? As it is, we've got a shit-ton of games against Memphis coming up, and then we might well be matched up against them in the playoff. (Although at the moment that's probably optimistic.)
7/10 vs 8/9 would make sense if the tourney was for one seed. But we’re playing for 2 seeds. That’s why it is what it is.
 
Since when does losing to a team by 2 points in reg season mean we’re gonna lose to them in play-in. Again we were 0-4 vs OKC in 18-19 and beat them in playoffs.

LOL...and, Portland was 4-4 combined vs the Pels in 17-18 and the Warriors in 18-19, and went 0-8 against those two teams in the playoffs
 
after last night I can see a Portland/Memphis matchup in the 7/8 game and memphis pulling the upset. Then, the Blazers have to face the Warriors in the 2nd game, and what we'll see is Stotts vs Kerr, and so far that matchup is a 1-12 shellacking of Stotts by Kerr
So you're saying there's a chance!!
 
View attachment 38204
To answer my own question:
There are 72 games, so we have 13 left. If we go 0-13, we end up at 32-40. So yes, either (or both) of New Orleans or Sacramento could pass us. But thankfully neither of them has exactly caught fire recently.

Question: I think I saw somewhere that in the play-in, teams 7 and 8 play each other and teams 9 and 10 do. That seems odd: why doesn't 7 play 10 and 8 play 9? As it is, we've got a shit-ton of games against Memphis coming up, and then we might well be matched up against them in the playoff. (Although at the moment that's probably optimistic.)

They want to ensure that 7&8 only need one win while 9&10 need two.
7 vs 10 and 7 wins
8 vs 9 and 9 wins
Who does 9 play next? They'd have to play 8 again. That works but I guess they wanted to vary the matchups.
 
King,

you can put all the lipstick on the pig you want. At the end of the day it’s still just a pig
 
LOL...and, Portland was 4-4 combined vs the Pels in 17-18 and the Warriors in 18-19, and went 0-8 against those two teams in the playoffs
Exactly! Reg season means nothing! Thanks for making my point. We blew out the 73-9 Warriors in 2016, but couldn’t beat them in playoffs. Our one playoff win against them was minus Curry.
 

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