Merged: Crabbe Traded to Brk

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Saying matching was bad because Crabbe didn't pan out is results-based thinking, and results-based thinking is bad
 
Saying matching was bad because Crabbe didn't pan out is results-based thinking, and results-based thinking is bad
Only a Sith deals in absolutes (he says, absolutely...)
 
The GOAT was on Oprah said it best. 'Young NBA players are paid off potential instead of production.'

No one has to like it, but it's a general fact.
Except that young players are on a rookie scale contract. How many players take their game to another level after their rookie contract expires?
 
Except that young players are on a rookie scale contract. How many players take their game to another level after their rookie contract expires?

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I appreciate that, but I don't necessarily agree with your logic. I don't think people should only be limited to criticizing moves with which they disagreed at the time. I'm not a GM. I don't have the information available to me that he has. I don't have the experience he has. So his decision making is naturally going to be held to a higher standard than mine. For example, Neil and I were comparably in favor of the Afflalo deal, which we all know didn't really turn out all that well for us. IMO, I can acknowledge how wrong I was about it while simultaneously calling it a failure on Olshey's part.

That's called "Results-Oriented Thinking" and it's considered really, really bad. If Allen Iverson takes a 30-footer with 18 seconds on the shot clock, and makes the shot, is it a good shot? No. If one misses a layup, does that make it a bad shot? No. Same thing applies to moves made by GMs, businessmen, layers, ballplayers,...
 
That's called "Results-Oriented Thinking" and it's considered really, really bad. If Allen Iverson takes a 30-footer with 18 seconds on the shot clock, and makes the shot, is it a good shot? No. If one misses a layup, does that make it a bad shot? No. Same thing applies to moves made by GMs, businessmen, layers, ballplayers,...

It's a combination. On any given deal, you can't be results-oriented, because luck (good or bad) has too large an impact on any single deal. But when it comes to evaluating a GM's overall record, the results are what count. That is also true for businessmen, athletes, poker players, etc. When Olshey's run with Portland ends, his process won't matter a bit when it comes to evaluating his overall body of work--the results are what will matter.

On an individual deal (or shot), I'll focus on process. On a career (or a run of significant length), I'll focus on results.
 
It's a combination. On any given deal, you can't be results-oriented, because luck (good or bad) has too large an impact on any single deal. But when it comes to evaluating a GM's overall record, the results are what count. That is also true for businessmen, athletes, poker players, etc. When Olshey's run with Portland ends, his process won't matter a bit when it comes to evaluating his overall body of work--the results are what will matter.

On an individual deal (or shot), I'll focus on process. On a career (or a run of significant length), I'll focus on results.

Absolutely. However, that's not what several on this forum are doing they're applying Results-Oriented thinking to individual deals, presumably because they don't want to acknowledge his obvious fantastic deals.
 
Absolutely. However, that's not what several on this forum are doing they're applying Results-Oriented thinking to individual deals, presumably because they don't want to acknowledge his obvious fantastic deals.

Yeah, that tends to happen a lot, both on deals that worked out surprisingly well and ones that worked on surprisingly poorly. I think, in this thread, though, that a lot of people would argue that the process was poor too. That Olshey overpaid on the faulty assumption that Crabbe was a rising player (the advanced numbers don't really bear out that he was significantly improving overall) and that his contract would look better as the cap rose. I personally didn't like the process and the results aren't too surprising to me.
 
I voted yes. I should have voted no. I made a mistake. Ok guys, chastise me.
 

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