Your second paragraph is where we part company. During their "one-and-done" season in college, several observers raised the same issue: Oden made unbelievable plays, while Durant had unbelievable games. Durant played with more emotion and consistent effort. Oden's rep *wasn't* fueled by his actual performance...it was fueled by excuses. "If he is this good with a bum wrist, just you wait!" Wait till he is healthy, wait till he gets his timing back, wait till he gets his confidence back, etc.
You're talking about fans. Scouts continued to rave about him, based on his college performance. Oden's freshman season wasn't any different from those of Shaquille O'Neal, Tim Duncan, Patrick Ewing, etc. Very few big men come in and dominate college from their freshman seasons. He was still showing all the same things in college that caused scouts to call him such an amazing prospect: incredible athleticism combined with great size, skills developing extremely well for his age, elite defensive instincts, intelligence.
Honestly, only people who weren't aware of how big men perform as freshmen, historically, thought Oden's freshman season was a warning sign. His performance was very much in line with what elite big men do in their first year in college.
Leading up to the draft, the scouting consensus still was that Oden was a special prospect.
I realize you're frustrated. I'm not. I had hoped he'd be closer to his peak shape earlier, but these things lead me to believe that this is just an inconsistent rookie campaign from a player recovering from a year away from basketball:
-His rebounding has been exceptional (best in the league in Rebound Rate)
-His defense has been exceptional (the team's scoring defense zoomed up in rank when he returned)
-Opposing teams double-team him in the post constantly (so opposing coaches can't believe he's an offensive duffer)
These points don't point to bust, or even disappointment, to me. They are entirely consistent with what Oden is supposed to be: a top center prospect who's early in his rookie season, not in basketball shape and still regaining explosiveness.
I understand that people are going to look at his bottom-line raw stats and at the plays on court where he looks clueless or unenergetic and react mostly to those. That's fine...I'm not excoriating anyone for that perspective, even though I think it's lacking in perspective, personally. My response to you was motivated by the proposition you and Shooter seemed to be putting forth that Oden was really never considered anything special except by delusional fans and we should all bring "our" expectations back to Oden being a largely proven mediocre prospect. I don't think that reflects the reality of what scouts with no vested interest believe.