OT Oil Prices down to $1 a barrel!

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Holy shit! That's crazy!

https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/oil-price-crashes-record-low

Oil crashes 94% to record low near $1 per barrel

U.S. oil prices plummeted in historic fashion Monday, hitting their lowest level on record as traders unloaded positions ahead of the May contract's Tuesday expiration.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for May delivery cratered by as much as 94 percent to $1.03 a barrel. The selling had WTI on track to close at its lowest level since recordkeeping began in March 1983, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The June contract was trading lower by 12.15 percent at $21.99 a barrel.

The May contract is a “horror show” and “heading into the worst delivery situation in history,” Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price Group Futures, told FOX Business. “With demand still dead and OPEC+ cuts not hitting fast enough, the market looks like it has no bottom."

Demand for crude oil is projected to fall by 29 million barrels per day this month, according to the International Energy Administration, as COVID-19 has forced countries around the world to issue “stay-at-home” orders to slow the spread of the disease. Lower economic activity means weaker demand for crude oil and its byproducts, including gasoline and jet fuel.

The sharp drop in demand has storage tanks in Cushing, Oklahoma, a key U.S. oil hub, filling up at an astounding rate. Inventories have ballooned by 48 percent to about 55 million barrels, according to a recent report from the Energy Information Administration. Capacity at the hub is about 76 million barrels, according to the EIA.

Oil supplies were swelling even before Saudi Arabia launched a price war against Russia on March 8 after the latter refused to join OPEC in slashing production, causing oil prices to post their largest single-day drop on record.

After more than a month of pumping out oil at elevated production levels, the world’s largest producers agreed on April 12 to historic cuts that will reduce output by 20 million barrels per day beginning May 1.

However, the production deal still won’t be able to offset the big drop in demand.

“To prevent inventories reaching capacity limits, lower prices are needed to trigger further production shut-ins in North and South America,” wrote the chief investment office of the global wealth management arm of Zurich-based investment bank UBS.

WTI has lost 82 percent of its value this year.
 
The end game is clear. Government bailouts will allow oil companies to pump even with no buyers, the elimination of environmental regulations will allow the unwanted oil to be dumped in the nearest river.

barfo
 
The end game is clear. Government bailouts will allow oil companies to pump even with no buyers, the elimination of environmental regulations will allow the unwanted oil to be dumped in the nearest river.

barfo
Definitely makes energy way more cheaper than green energy. The Electric Cars won't be able to compete either.
 
Yeah we've never seen where lowering the price of oil has basically no impact on increasing demand.
Happens when travel is at a basic stand still. Cruise Ships, Air travel, Cars, less Energy consumers. I'm sure there are other sectors as well.
 
June futures are still trading over $20 a barrel. Those expire in a month.

I can't imagine there will be a ton of demand in a month from now. Those prices will then drop again to close to $0.

Seems like a great opportunity to short (sell) those $20 June contracts now then close (buy) for super cheap in a month and profit.
 
Only if you have storage space. Most of the storage is already full or spoken for.

barfo

Seriously contemplating buying and burying a 1000-2500 gallon tank on my property if I can find the actual gas super cheap. i'm not a diesel guy(diesel has bulk sellers to private entities all over).
 
Do you know of any?

barfo

Maybe there is a good technical reason this cant be done, I just haven't heard it.

I understand normally you would never do it as you have to pay to extract oil, pay to pump it back, then pay later to extract it.

But if you are literally getting paid to take oil it seems like the economics could actually support some crazy plan such as this.
 
Seriously contemplating buying and burying a 1000-2500 gallon tank on my property if I can find the actual gas super cheap. i'm not a diesel guy(diesel has bulk sellers to private entities all over).

Tanks may be sold out or over priced. Gas lasts maybe 6 months unless you start adding stabilizers and such. Even with oil selling for $1 a barrel or negative I'm not sure how low gas can actually get as refinery is going to want something, then there are tons of taxes/distribution costs.

Plus is gas going to be the same price for the next year? You only benefit the cost of price jumping from now to later minus all your tank costs.
 
Definitely makes energy way more cheaper than green energy. The Electric Cars won't be able to compete either.
Tesla still misleading prices their cars with a "gas savings" of ~$4300... when gas bottoms out it might be more expensive to fill up with electricity.
 
Tanks may be sold out or over priced. Gas lasts maybe 6 months unless you start adding stabilizers and such. Even with oil selling for $1 a barrel or negative I'm not sure how low gas can actually get as refinery is going to want something, then there are tons of taxes/distribution costs.

Plus is gas going to be the same price for the next year? You only benefit the cost of price jumping from now to later minus all your tank costs.

Yeah, good points i wasnt thinking off. Does diesel have a longer shelf life? I have had this idea for al ong time. A ma and pa construction company I worked ofr in NY did that out of his home. couple acres and he had some heavy equipment. we would put in residential waterlines, septic tanks etc. He had a huge tank and had it filled up ever so often and I would pump from that to fill up the machinery. Figured, I could do the same for gas.

I know he burned through his quick though. So not sure if it has a longer shelf lie or not compared to gas.
 
Maybe there is a good technical reason this cant be done, I just haven't heard it.

I understand normally you would never do it as you have to pay to extract oil, pay to pump it back, then pay later to extract it.

But if you are literally getting paid to take oil it seems like the economics could actually support some crazy plan such as this.

I see what you are saying now. Pump it out, pump it back into the ground in some other spot, someplace where oil had been extracted in the past?

barfo
 

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