Oregon a Battleground State?

[GriLtCheeZ]

http://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/ind...ead_tightening_in_o.html#incart_river_default

Tim Nashif, a Republican political consultant in Portland who also does polling work, has a new survey that shows President Barack Obama with a five-point lead in Oregon over Republican Mitt Romney.

There hasn't been a lot of presidential polling in Oregon this fall, but an Oct. 16-18 poll for SurveyUSA showed Obama with a seven-point lead. And a June survey by Public Policy Polling had Obama up by eight points.

Nashif's poll, conducted by his firm, Hoffman Research Group, shows Obama at 47 percent and Romney at 42 percent. Another 12 percent are undecided or supporting one of the minor-party candidates. While Nashif has strong Republican leanings, he did do an early September, 2008 poll that showed Obama ahead in Oregon by seven points-- just when his fellow GOP fans were still bullish on the McCain-Palin ticket.

The Oct. 24-25 survey of 615 likely voters also found that undecided voters tend to lean toward Romney and that the two candidates are tied among those who say they have already returned their ballot.

Although Romney has not seriously contested Oregon, Nashif's poll may reflect national polls showing that the race has tightened in Romney's direction.

--Jeff Mapes

I would hate to have to watch all of those friggin' commercials.

 

[BLAZER PROPHET]

I think Obama takes Oregon by over 7%.

 

[PapaG]

Oregon is what, 2nd-worst for jobs created over the last 4 years per population?

I fully expect the dumbshits in Portland to elect yet another Democrat, and then they can Occupy Portland again.

 

[BLAZER PROPHET]

Oregon is what, 2nd-worst for jobs created over the last 4 years per population?

I fully expect the dumbshits in Portland to elect yet another Democrat, and then they can Occupy Portland again.

From what I can tell, Portland tries pretty hard to develop economic growth. Whether or not they succeed in a depression is another matter. So I have no complaints, overall.

 

[DaLincolnJones]

From what I can tell, Portland tries pretty hard to develop economic growth. Whether or not they succeed in a depression is another matter. So I have no complaints, overall.

what is sad is that most equate "Oregon" as being portland. Sure, Portland has had job growth, the unemployment numbers are great etc, while the rest of the state is in the shit. The averages show us at what, 8 percent? that takes into account the 15 for linn county, the 14 or 18 for coos county etc etc etc.

I hope that a lot of those that voted for barry the first time, find no reason to do so again.

My wife and I usually do not see eye to eye as far as the presidential election, her brother and his children all were proud to help usher in a new beginning with barry in the WH. There are ten people who are making a point of not repeating the same mistake. Gives me a little faith.

 

[BLAZER PROPHET]

what is sad is that most equate "Oregon" as being portland. Sure, Portland has had job growth, the unemployment numbers are great etc, while the rest of the state is in the shit. The averages show us at what, 8 percent? that takes into account the 15 for linn county, the 14 or 18 for coos county etc etc etc.

Very good points.

The Obamadepression has been very hard on small rural counties. Even devastating. That's so easy to forget.

 

[santeesioux]

I voted for Romney (shh, don't tell anyone).

 

[The Professional Fan]

Just say no to Mormons. I actually think it wold be a much larger social statement to elect a Mormon to office than a half white guy.

 

[BLAZER PROPHET]

Just say no to Mormons. I actually think it wold be a much larger social statement to elect a Mormon to office than a half white guy.

True. It would say we may have moved past religious bigotry.

 

[The Professional Fan]

True. It would say we may have moved past religious bigotry.

Blah. What if he was a Scientologist? Or a Muslim?

 

[BLAZER PROPHET]

Blah. What if he was a Scientologist? Or a Muslim?

Well, if he were a Scientologist he'd have Tom Cruise's vote and if he were a Muslim I am certain the left can drum up an absentee ballot from Osama Bin Laden.

 

[TradeNurkicNow]

It better not be, I am looking forward to not voting for Obama.

 

[huevonkiller]

Does it matter? Don't bother voting.

But if Romney loses I guess the world will be slightly less violent, as bad as Barry is.

 

[Mediocre Man]

Oregon is about as much a battleground state as Texas is

 

[ODENISGOD]

Oregon will never go red.

 

[BlazerCaravan]

Oregon is about as much a battleground state as Texas is

Especially now that OSU lost a game.

 

[MARIS61]

what is sad is that most equate "Oregon" as being portland. Sure, Portland has had job growth, the unemployment numbers are great etc, while the rest of the state is in the shit. The averages show us at what, 8 percent? that takes into account the 15 for linn county, the 14 or 18 for coos county etc etc etc.

I hope that a lot of those that voted for barry the first time, find no reason to do so again.

My wife and I usually do not see eye to eye as far as the presidential election, her brother and his children all were proud to help usher in a new beginning with barry in the WH. There are ten people who are making a point of not repeating the same mistake. Gives me a little faith.

States are responsible for their individual economies and all manage them differently. Portland is largely Democratic and has fared well in comparison to rural Oregon which is staunchly right-wing.

Your state senators and reps are the ones you should blame.

 

[maxiep]

http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/10/obama_leads_in_oregon_thanks_t.html

 

[The_Lillard_King]

http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/10/obama_leads_in_oregon_thanks_t.html

Women and their voting (Obama and no mj) . . . who thought it was a good idea to let them vote. Don't they know that if Obama is elected, we are all going to need a little marijuana to help ease the pain of the deficit.

 

[maxiep]

Women and their voting (Obama and no mj) . . . who thought it was a good idea to let them vote. Don't they know that if Obama is elected, we are all going to need a little marijuana to help ease the pain of the deficit.

Repped.

 

[maxiep]

Oregon and Colorado are so similar when it comes to voting. You have two very liberal cities (Denver and Boulder) that almost exclusively elect Democrats in Colorado. The eastern part of the state is conservative ranch land. The mountainous region has small liberal enclaves, but are mostly people that don't want government in their lives. Here, it's the Denver suburbs that tip the balance one way or another. In 2008, the suburbs went for Obama. This year they're trending Romney.

In Oregon, it seems to me it's Multnomah and Lane counties vs. the rest of the state. The counties that will tip the balance one way or another are Washington and Clackamas.

 

[MarAzul]

You are right of course Maxi but the question is why? What the hell went wrong in these urban areas of either state.

When I first move from Oregon it had the coolest Republican governor in the country, Tom McCall. I don't believe the state has voted Republican since.

 

[SlyPokerDog]

You are right of course Maxi but the question is why? What the hell went wrong in these urban areas of either state.

When I first move from Oregon it had the coolest Republican governor in the country, Tom McCall. I don't believe the state has voted Republican since.

Vic Atiyeh

 

[MarAzul]

I didn't live here then. I guess I should has said, since I have returned to Oregon. Atiyeh was 25 years ago!!!

 

[MickZagger]

Vic Atiyeh

of the famous Atiyeh Bros. carpet business.

 

[MickZagger]

Its not just Lane and Multnomah that are really liberal in Oregon. I'd say Bend and Ashland are more liberal as well.