Do you honestly ever see this team, as currently constructed (poor rebounding, no defense) ever making it out of the 1st round?
This team reminds me of the team Colangelo originally constructed back in 2006-07 that won 47 games and the Atlantic Division title. Three problems:
1) The Atlantic Division was incredibly weak back then. That meant several extra easy wins to pad your win total. You won't have that advantage this season.
2) If anything, this team is worse defensively than that one was.
3) In spite of winning the division and having home court advantage, you lost in the 1st round to a team that won only 41 regular season games. A big factor in losing that series was rebounding. In six games the Raptors didn't out rebound the Nets once. Other than the decisive Game 6, when the Raptors were out rebounded 40 - 30, the rebounding was fairly close, with a small advantage to the Nets. But, that advantage was enough to tip the series in the Nets favor. If the Raptors could have owned the edge on the boards, they probably would have won that series. And, if anything, the 2009-10 version of the EuroRaptors will be an even weaker rebounding team.
I know Raps fans and the local media are excited about all these moves, and they have improved the team. But many of them are going overboard - predicting that the Raptors will get HCA and will be a lock to make it to at least the 2nd round. They are, unfortunately, ignoring the fact that it takes defense and rebounding to win in the play-offs and the Raptors are VERY weak in both areas.
To me, this whole strategy smacks of desperation by Colangelo. With the Raptors regular seson win totals going from 47 to 41 to 33, he needs to reverse this trend to keep his job. I do think the Raptors will win more regular season games this season (probably in the 40 - 45 win range if Bosh is healthy and motivated), but I just don't see any way they make it past the 1st round with such poor defense and weak rebounding.
BNM