Over/Under -- 59 Wins

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What Say You?

  • Over

    Votes: 29 36.7%

  • Under

    Votes: 39 49.4%

  • 59 Wins

    Votes: 11 13.9%
  • Total voters
    79
ABM

ABM

Happily Married In Music City, USA!
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What say you?
 
I said Under. 57
 
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Over, even if Oden is the exact same player he was last year.

I don't expect that to be the case. 64 wins.
 
BlazerWookee said:
Over, even if Oden is the exact same player he was last year.

I don't expect that to be the case. 64 wins.
Click to expand...
If Oden is the exact same player, then where do you get the boost of +10 games? I mean I'm saying IF Oden is dominant by at the latest 01/01/10 then I expect an increase of +6 wins. You're saying no change in Oden and +10? Do you forsee Batum having an All-Star season? Aldridge averaging 25 and 12? I have very high hopes for this team but 64 wins is challenging for 1st seed and a real shot at a ring. I love it don't get me wrong but it seems more then a bit optimistic if Oden doesn't step up I can't see it happening like that.
 
Idog1976 said:
If Oden is the exact same player, then where do you get the boost of +10 games? I mean I'm saying IF Oden is dominant by at the latest 01/01/10 then I expect an increase of +6 wins. You're saying no change in Oden and +10? Do you forsee Batum having an All-Star season? Aldridge averaging 25 and 12? I have very high hopes for this team but 64 wins is challenging for 1st seed and a real shot at a ring. I love it don't get me wrong but it seems more then a bit optimistic if Oden doesn't step up I can't see it happening like that.
Click to expand...

Really the improvement hinges on Nate IMO. He seems to be sticking to his current starters awfully tite.

I said 62. Where do I see the improvement coming from? Natural evolution with each player on the squad including Oden. Everybody will improve atleast some.

But the key here is Andre Miller and Martell Webster. Andre is going to open this thing up for the blazers. And if Martell stays healthy. This team could be an absolute offensive jauggernaut.

If Coach allows it.
 
It's apparent I placed the number correctly. :)
 
RedHotRollin said:
Really the improvement hinges on Nate IMO. He seems to be sticking to his current starters awfully tite.

I said 62. Where do I see the improvement coming from? Natural evolution with each player on the squad including Oden. Everybody will improve atleast some.

But the key here is Andre Miller and Martell Webster. Andre is going to open this thing up for the blazers. And if Martell stays healthy. This team could be an absolute offensive jauggernaut.

If Coach allows it.
Click to expand...
That's better then becoming an offensive "Jaegernaut".

Jaegernaut

(Yay-Grrr-Not)

Noun: A sailor from the Rose Festival fleet who has had one too many shots of Jaegermeister and is now hitting on your wife.
 
I say 55. We are in the west remember.
 
...add a dose of A.Miller to a 54 win roster only destined to improve and you have a 60+ win basketball TEAM, gauranteed!!!

"The Dynasty Begins In 2010"
 
Idog1976 said:
If Oden is the exact same player, then where do you get the boost of +10 games? I mean I'm saying IF Oden is dominant by at the latest 01/01/10 then I expect an increase of +6 wins. You're saying no change in Oden and +10? Do you forsee Batum having an All-Star season? Aldridge averaging 25 and 12? I have very high hopes for this team but 64 wins is challenging for 1st seed and a real shot at a ring. I love it don't get me wrong but it seems more then a bit optimistic if Oden doesn't step up I can't see it happening like that.
Click to expand...

Sorry, I guess I didn't say that as well as I thought. Zero improvement from Oden = 60 wins, IMO. Aldridge, Roy, Fernandez, Batum, Webster, and Bayless are all in varying degrees of a steep improvement curve. Miller is (arguably) better than Blake at PG, and as a backup, Blake is GOLDEN. Przybilla is as strong or stronger than he's ever been, and can be expected to play at the same level for at least another season, maybe two. Anything we get out of the rest of the roster is gravy. All we need to win 60 is Greg to produce at the same level as last season. Any improvement by Oden takes us above and beyond.

I think we will challenge for 1st seed, and I think we'll have a real shot at a ring, God willing and the creek don't rise.
 
Over. I think they actually should have won a few more games last season, based on their point differential.

Considering that Miller essentially replaces the production of Sergio/Bayless (since Blake remains with the team) and some of Blake's, that's a massive upgrade. More minutes from Oden (with no improvement) would be an upgrade. Improvement from Oden would be a further upgrade. Net improvement from Rudy, Batum and Bayless would be a further upgrade.

All of these things I find to be very likely propositions. Barring major injuries, I think 60+ wins is very likely.
 
Sergio being gone is worth 5 wins alone.

Miller is worth a couple for sure.

Assuming even a few of the other players improve

and a few of the older teams slide

60 should be attainable.
 
I'm with the Wookiee. When I looked at the schedule, I marked as many losses as I thought we'd get (Cleveland, Boston, LA once each, etc.) and so on... It came out surprisingly high how many games I think we can win. I came out with 64, and really felt surprised. I think 64 is a ceiling, but that 62 is definitely possible, and 60 probable.

So I'm over. When we get to the "how many wins" thread, I'll post my answer... it's percolating.
 
58 is my midpoint for wins, with a +/- 4. ABM, it would have been interesting if this poll was public.
 
I said under. A lot of things need to go right to win 60 games, and adding 6+ extra wins is tougher when you're already as good as we are. Hope I'm wrong!
 
i'm going for the 50:1 odds and saying spot on 59 wins!
 
I'm predicting 56 wins so I went under. I wouldn't be surprise if we won more though. I don't like the easy start. We play better when up against a tough schedule.

GO BLAZERS!!
 
I think we could hit 60.

Predicted 52 wins last year and was two short. Hopefully I'm short by two games again;)
 
Under and I don't think it matters.

My best guess is they will win something like 56 games or so and will be the third or second seed in the west -- which are the only numbers that matter.
 
Looking at this from a historical perspective: http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/POR/

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These are all our teams that have won 50+ games, and last season's team was both the best offensive team and worst defensive team of the bunch. In order to climb up to that upper echelon, we have to improve our defense. Unfortunately, I don't think any of our addition to the roster bring better defense, and that improvement has to come from within.
 
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I clicked under thinking 56, but then started thinking about ROY. So far, every year I thought he would taper off and every year he improves a good deal. So, if he was the type of player that is just playing for a contract, then I would expect him to taper off. But, I think Roy is the type of player who wants to prove that he is worth his max contract. I think Roy takes another step forward this season to become a top 4-8 NBA player. With that, along with Oden, LMA and Batum all improving naturally, and Miller being able to run the point, I am changing my mind. OVER - 61 wins
 
I think they're going to look like championship-contenders during the regular season (thus 60+ wins) but will not actually be on the level of Boston, LA and Cleveland in the playoffs. I think they have the talent, but winning in the playoffs has a major mental component for dealing with a brutally tough game every night, against an opponent focused on game-planning only for you. I think the team is probably not mentally/emotionally prepared to win four such difficult series, but the talent level is there and will be shown through the regular season.
 
Under. I expect 56 wins or so.

Ed O.
 
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