Entity
some guy
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- Oct 14, 2008
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I've been using this fun little program for years to rank football teams. I've tweaked the formula over time, and now that it's mid-season, I can post the first ranking of the year. First the Pac-10 (with a lot of (3-3) teams), since this is an Oregon forum:
Conf Rank. School (Rating) W-L [Conf] (Nat'l Rank)
1. Oregon (80.08) 6-0 [3-0] (2)
2. Stanford (76.24) 5-1 [2-1] (11)
3. Arizona (70.28) 5-1 [2-1] (17)
4. Southern Cal (68.37) 5-2 [2-2] (20)
5. California (62.24) 3-3 [1-2] (35)
6. Oregon State (59.77) 3-3 [2-1] (38)
7. Arizona State (58.93) 3-3 [1-2] (42)
8. UCLA (56.20) 3-3 [1-2] (59)
9. Washington (56.19) 3-3 [2-1] (60)
10. Washington State (35.48) 1-6 [0-4] (107)
Newcomers:
Utah (76.06) 6-0 [3-0] (12)
Colorado (52.40) 3-3 [0-2] (70)
My Top 25, based on numbers and not humans. My rankings take Margin of Victory into account, so I was as surprised to have Oklahoma jump up to the top of my rankings this week as other people were in the BCS. Last week (in my pre-release rankings) it was LSU, another overrated team in my opinion. The only reason Oregon isn't number one is because of their low schedule strength up until now. Boise State came out really low this early (I think they should be rated higher), and I think they'll actually go up as the season improves. With the Oklahoma/Missouri game this week, it's likely that the winner will end up in first, and the Auburn/LSU winner in second. Anyway:
Rank. School (Rating) W-L
1. Oklahoma (81.55) 6-0
2. Oregon (80.08) 6-0
3. LSU (80.06) 7-0
4. Missouri (79.18) 6-0
5. TCU (79.13) 7-0
6. Auburn (78.89) 7-0
7. Oklahoma State (78.71) 6-0
8. Michigan State (77.34) 7-0
9. Boise State (77.30) 6-0
10. Alabama (76.49) 6-1
11. Stanford (76.24) 5-1
12. Utah (76.06) 6-0
13. Nebraska (72.88) 5-1
14. Ohio State (72.82) 6-1
15. Florida State (72.23) 6-1
16. Iowa (72.06) 5-1
17. Arizona (70.28) 5-1
18. Wisconsin (69.67) 6-1
19. Kansas State (69.59) 5-1
20. Southern Cal (68.37) 5-2
21. North Carolina (68.31) 4-2
22. Nevada (68.25) 6-1
23. West Virginia (68.11) 5-1
24. Virginia Tech (67.34) 5-2
25. South Carolina (67.21) 4-2
My Conference Ranking is pretty simple. The ACC and Big East are having a terrible year. What I found surprising was the WAC's rating over the typically better Mountain West. When I took a closer look, I saw that the Mountain West is actually being dragged down heavily by their bottom five (four of them in the bottom 15. The WAC, only two).
Average Ranking of Conference Teams:
1. SEC (37.92)
2. Big XII (38.83)
3. Pac-10 (39.10)
4. Big Ten (40.73)
5. ACC (50.50)
6. Big East (57.00)
7. WAC (69.67)
8. Mountain West (71.11)
9. Conference USA (78.42)
10. MAC (93.23)
11. Sun Belt (95.89)
I'm going to post a new poll every week to see how this thing progresses. Thoughts?
Conf Rank. School (Rating) W-L [Conf] (Nat'l Rank)
1. Oregon (80.08) 6-0 [3-0] (2)
2. Stanford (76.24) 5-1 [2-1] (11)
3. Arizona (70.28) 5-1 [2-1] (17)
4. Southern Cal (68.37) 5-2 [2-2] (20)
5. California (62.24) 3-3 [1-2] (35)
6. Oregon State (59.77) 3-3 [2-1] (38)
7. Arizona State (58.93) 3-3 [1-2] (42)
8. UCLA (56.20) 3-3 [1-2] (59)
9. Washington (56.19) 3-3 [2-1] (60)
10. Washington State (35.48) 1-6 [0-4] (107)
Newcomers:
Utah (76.06) 6-0 [3-0] (12)
Colorado (52.40) 3-3 [0-2] (70)
My Top 25, based on numbers and not humans. My rankings take Margin of Victory into account, so I was as surprised to have Oklahoma jump up to the top of my rankings this week as other people were in the BCS. Last week (in my pre-release rankings) it was LSU, another overrated team in my opinion. The only reason Oregon isn't number one is because of their low schedule strength up until now. Boise State came out really low this early (I think they should be rated higher), and I think they'll actually go up as the season improves. With the Oklahoma/Missouri game this week, it's likely that the winner will end up in first, and the Auburn/LSU winner in second. Anyway:
Rank. School (Rating) W-L
1. Oklahoma (81.55) 6-0
2. Oregon (80.08) 6-0
3. LSU (80.06) 7-0
4. Missouri (79.18) 6-0
5. TCU (79.13) 7-0
6. Auburn (78.89) 7-0
7. Oklahoma State (78.71) 6-0
8. Michigan State (77.34) 7-0
9. Boise State (77.30) 6-0
10. Alabama (76.49) 6-1
11. Stanford (76.24) 5-1
12. Utah (76.06) 6-0
13. Nebraska (72.88) 5-1
14. Ohio State (72.82) 6-1
15. Florida State (72.23) 6-1
16. Iowa (72.06) 5-1
17. Arizona (70.28) 5-1
18. Wisconsin (69.67) 6-1
19. Kansas State (69.59) 5-1
20. Southern Cal (68.37) 5-2
21. North Carolina (68.31) 4-2
22. Nevada (68.25) 6-1
23. West Virginia (68.11) 5-1
24. Virginia Tech (67.34) 5-2
25. South Carolina (67.21) 4-2
My Conference Ranking is pretty simple. The ACC and Big East are having a terrible year. What I found surprising was the WAC's rating over the typically better Mountain West. When I took a closer look, I saw that the Mountain West is actually being dragged down heavily by their bottom five (four of them in the bottom 15. The WAC, only two).
Average Ranking of Conference Teams:
1. SEC (37.92)
2. Big XII (38.83)
3. Pac-10 (39.10)
4. Big Ten (40.73)
5. ACC (50.50)
6. Big East (57.00)
7. WAC (69.67)
8. Mountain West (71.11)
9. Conference USA (78.42)
10. MAC (93.23)
11. Sun Belt (95.89)
I'm going to post a new poll every week to see how this thing progresses. Thoughts?
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