Playoff Scenarios! (1 Viewer)

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THE HCP

NorthEastPortland'sFinest
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For Today................04/03/11

Possible clinchings/eliminations for Sunday:

SAN ANTONIO clinches division title with a win AND a Dallas loss.

DENVER clinches a playoff spot with a win OR a Houston loss.

PORTLAND clinches a playoff spot with a win AND a Houston loss.

PHOENIX is eliminated with a loss AND a New Orleans win.

MIAMI clinches division title with a win AND an Orlando loss.

NEW YORK clinches a playoff spot with a win AND a Charlotte loss.
 
Things are looking good for the Blazers. Tonight could be the night. Rockets playing Atlanta is a tough game for the Rockets.
 
Looking like Orlando/Atlanta is set in stone and OKC/Denver is looking very likely. Heat are playing Knicks or Sixers. I don't see them getting the #1 seed though I think Boston can. They have a game coming up against Chicago and I believe they have the tie breaker.
 
For Today................04/03/11

Possible clinchings/eliminations for Sunday:

SAN ANTONIO clinches division title with a win AND a Dallas loss.

DENVER clinches a playoff spot with a win OR a Houston loss.

PORTLAND clinches a playoff spot with a win AND a Houston loss.

PHOENIX is eliminated with a loss AND a New Orleans win.

MIAMI clinches division title with a win AND an Orlando loss.

NEW YORK clinches a playoff spot with a win AND a Charlotte loss.

So all those things happened except for Portland clinching.

barfo
 
Yep, Blazers magic number is 1. It will be a tough break if we lose against the Warriors and Houston wins.
 
We'll get it done tomorrow night!
 
Possible clinchings/eliminations for Tuesday:

PORTLAND clinches a playoff spot if one of the following occurs:
1) HOU loss
2) POR win + MEM win
 
I'll take my chances w/ a Portland win and Memphis and NOH losses...
 
It's hard to do, but right now we have to focus on our own business. This GS game feels like a trap game to me. We control our own destiny. We win out, we're in.
 
YOU ALL READY FOR THIS......... HOLY SHIT!
 
The only way POR can miss the playoffs in a tie with HOU is in a four-way
tie with MEM and NO.

Assuming POR wins tonight and loses remaining games and HOU wins remaining
games, the tiebreaker would look like this:

POR: 1-3 vs. NO; 1-2 vs. Mem; 2-1 vs. Hou. -- TOT 4-6
NO: 3-1 vs. Por; 2-2 or 3-1 vs. Mem; 2-2 vs. Hou. -- TOT 7-5 or 8-4
MEM: 2-1 vs. NO; 2-2 or 1-3 vs. Mem; 1-3 vs. Hou. -- TOT 5-6 or 4-7
HOU: 1-2 vs. Por; 2-2 vs. NO; 3-1 vs. Mem. -- TOT 6-5

Three of the four teams would make the playoffs. Where POR finishes in
tiebreaker depends on who wins the remaining NO-MEM game. If NO wins, then
POR would finish third and make the playoffs (4-6 record to MEM 4-7); if
MEM wins, POR would miss the playoffs (4-6 record to 7-5 for NO; 5-6 for
MEM and 6-5 for HOU).

If POR and MEM win tonight, POR would have 46 wins and MEM 45...MEM would
then have to beat POR for POR to lose remaining games -- which gets them to
46 wins, POR would then have to lose to NO to create a possible 4-way
tie... that would drop their h2h record in the tiebreaker below POR as
listed above. If MEM does not win tonight, they can then beat POR, lose to
NO and win any other game to create the possible 4-way tie and POR could
miss out on the playoffs.
 
Congrats to my Blazers! 3 straight years!
 
7th place as of right now, matched up with the Lakers! Hope this changes.
 
Portland movement scenarios:
- New Orleans wins: Portland is bumped to 7th

Dallas movement scenarios: (Dallas won’t actually shift in the standings due to the way tiebreakers stand, but this is how the games could impact them.)
- Dallas wins, L.A wins: no change
- Dallas wins, Oklahoma City wins: Dallas ties L.A. (Lakers win the tiebreaker 2-1)
- Dallas loses, Oklahoma City wins: Dallas ties OKC (Dallas wins the tiebreaker 2-1)
 
New Orleans Hornets (46-33) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (45-34) This is a huge game. New Orleans is in 7th and Memphis is in 8th. A Hornets win moves them into 6th and bumps the Trail Blazers to 7th. A Memphis win will tie them with NOLA. (NOLA wins with the Division record tiebreaker and holds onto 7th.)

Phoenix Suns (38-41) vs. Dallas Mavericks (54-25) The Mavs are in 3rd in the West. They trail the Lakers by one full game and lead the Thunder by the same. (See movement scenarios above.)

Oklahoma City Thunder (53-26) vs. L.A. Lakers (55-24) The Lakers are in 2nd and the Thunder are in 4th. They’re each separated from Dallas by one full game. (See movement scenarios above.)
 
Here we go FAMS!!!!!


PORTLAND WINS BOTH, DENVER LOSES OUT – 5
PORTLAND WINS BOTH – 6
PORTLAND SPLITS (BEATS MEM), NO SPLITS – 6
PORTLAND SPLITS (BEATS MEM), NO WINS OUT – 7
PORTLAND SPLITS (BEATS MEM), NO LOSES OUT – 6
PORTLAND SPLITS (LOSES TO MEM), MEM WINS OUT, NO SPLITS – 7
PORTLAND SPLITS (LOSES TO MEM), MEM WINS OUT, NO WINS OUT – 8
PORTLAND SPLITS (LOSES TO MEM), MEM WINS OUT, NO LOSES OUT – 7
PORTLAND SPLITS (LOSES TO MEM), MEM SPLITS, NO SPLITS – 6
PORTLAND SPLITS (LOSES TO MEM), MEM SPLITS, NO WINS OUT – 7
PORTLAND SPLITS (LOSES TO MEM), MEM SPLITS, NO LOSES OUT – 6
PORTLAND LOSES BOTH, MEM AND NO WIN OUT – 8
PORTLAND LOSES BOTH, MEM WINS OUT, NO SPLITS – 8
PORTLAND LOSES BOTH, MEM WINS OUT, NO LOSES OUT – 7
PORTLAND LOSES BOTH, MEM LOSES TO LAC, NO WINS OUT – 8
PORTLAND LOSES BOTH, MEM LOSES TO LAC, NO SPLITS – 8
PORTLAND LOSES BOTH, MEM LOSES TO LAC, NO LOSES OUT – 7
 
I'm interested to see this Memphis team that has gotten so hot as of late. What's changed? Is it Battier?
 
Not including favorites to win any games we have the following % to finish as each seed:

5-6%
6-29%
7-35%
8-29%

The good thing is we control our own destiny and just need to win out to finish 6 or better, the bad thing is we might not want to win out!!! Need OKC to lose, unless Denver loses :-)
 
Do we want to finish 6th and play LA though?
Absolutely! Why not? If our goal is to reach the finals; I suspect we have to face the Lakers sometime. The sooner we face them, the better for us. I mean if the Lakers have two playoff series over with; they will gain more and more confidence. I also think game one in the first playoff game for the Lakers will be the easiest game to win. The Lakers have the toughest time winning in Portland. We need one game in L.A. and I think game one in the first round would be the best chance to beat them.
 
- Dallas loses, Oklahoma City wins: Dallas ties OKC (Dallas wins the tiebreaker 2-1)

OKC has the tie breaker over Dallas since they are a division winner.
 
I didn't realize the MAVS and NOLA play each other on Wednesday! This is going to get crazy!
 
Maybe Monty is making sure they don't play Lakers!
 
I really wanted Dallas to lose @ Houston tonight!
 

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