Politics Poll: Voters Split Between Clinton and Trump in Hypothetical November Matchup

[Denny Crane]

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/201...n-trump-hypothetical-november-matchup-n554306

When asked about Trump as the GOP nominee in November instead of Cruz, registered voters are split between Clinton and Trump, though the race is tighter: Thirty-eight percent would vote for Clinton and 36 percent would vote for Trump. Another 16 percent would vote for a third party candidate and 8 percent would abstain from voting.



The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll was conducted online April 4 through April 10, 2016 among a national sample of 12,692 adults aged 18 and over, including 11,204 who say they are registered to vote. Respondents for this non-probability survey were selected from the nearly three million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Results have an error estimate of plus or minus 1.3 percentage points. A full description of our methodology and the poll can be found here.

 

[Denny Crane]

SurveyMonkey.

RealClearPolitics average of polls (which is equally worthless):



The individual polls (not worthless):



Most recent poll in that list is a 4/2. Kind of old. Maybe they're burying good results for Trump.

 

[dviss1]

 

[Denny Crane]

I'm wary of online polls. SurveyMonkee polls aren't the kind that robots can skew the results, or that a person can answer more than once.

That said, MSNBC is biased. But they aren't in the tank for Hilar.

If they were, they might not have published this.

If this really is the state of the race today, Trump has a more compelling case to make at a brokered convention.

This poll isn't a sense of who would win. We aren't a democracy, so popular vote nationwide doesn't matter.

The polls for Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania are more interesting.