Portland Trail Blazers' cushion over the Thunder

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KingSpeed

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We are a full 6 games ahead of Durant's team. Seven games in the loss column. That's already a decent enough cushion that we should be able to stay ahead of them the rest of the way. What do you guys think? Are the Thunder still a threat to win the division? I don't consider Minn, Denver, or Utah threats.
 
We are a full 6 games ahead of Durant's team. Seven games in the loss column. That's already a decent enough cushion that we should be able to stay ahead of them the rest of the way. What do you guys think? Are the Thunder still a threat to win the division? I don't consider Minn, Denver, or Utah threats.
*facepalm*
 
Way way WAY too early to even talk about this.
 
Since I'm lazy and don't feel like doing math, what would we have to win percentage wise vs them for them to make up the difference over the course of the rest of the season? For example if we played .600 then they would have to play .700 ball
 
Way way WAY too early to even talk about this.

Really? Are we not even able to hold a 6 game lead? They only beat us by 5 games last year, I believe. It's a fair question. Is a 6 game lead big enough to hold off the Thunder?
 
Really? Are we not even able to hold a 6 game lead? They only beat us by 5 games last year, I believe. It's a fair question. Is a 6 game lead big enough to hold off the Thunder?

We had a 6 game cushion on them last season. How did that work out for us?
 
Since I'm lazy and don't feel like doing math, what would we have to win percentage wise vs them for them to make up the difference over the course of the rest of the season? For example if we played .600 then they would have to play .700 ball

From this point, if we win .600 the rest of the way, we will be 51-31. If they go .700 the rest of the way, they will be 51-31. So there you go. Comes down to season series.
 
Really? Are we not even able to hold a 6 game lead? They only beat us by 5 games last year, I believe. It's a fair question. Is a 6 game lead big enough to hold off the Thunder?

okay, it's official. you're trolling.
 
From this point, if we win .600 the rest of the way, we will be 51-31. If they go .700 the rest of the way, they will be 51-31. So there you go. Comes down to season series.
Well done Speed. Nice touch on the importance of the season series
 
Our best record last season was 22-4. OKC was also 22-4. We never had a 6 game lead over the Thunder last season.
 
Shows the importance of winning more games now before they come back. 10 games becomes much harder than 6 for example. Gotta buckle down now guys
 
It's a decent argument. Provided we have no major injuries, we should be able to hold off the Thunder. They aren't 7 games better than us when healthy.
 
Since I'm lazy and don't feel like doing math, what would we have to win percentage wise vs them for them to make up the difference over the course of the rest of the season? For example if we played .600 then they would have to play .700 ball

The most games the Thunder can win is 72.

The most the Blazers can win is 79.

So if Portland wins at their current pace (which is not likely), they'd win 59 wins.

For the Thunder to pass them, they'd have to go 57-12, or 82% winning %. Over an 82 game season, that would be 67. Not unreasonable, but difficult.

If Portland repeats last years pace, 54 wins, the Thunder would have to go 52-17, 75% winning %. Over a 61 game wins per 82 games.

Ideally, if Westbrook and Durant are back by December 1st, it's really just 2 or 3 more losses (Utah and Golden State). But the Thunder have the opposite problem Portland does. they've played 8 road games, so they're going to get a lot of them coming up.

If OKC is 4-12 by the time W and D come back, to win 50 games they'll need to go 46-18 (just a hair under 72%). Over 82 games that's 59 games. Again, not unreasonable.

If they both miss another 3-4 weeks (returning a week before Christmas), these #'s and figures obviously change.
 
The most games the Thunder can win is 72.

The most the Blazers can win is 79.

So if Portland wins at their current pace (which is not likely), they'd win 59 wins.

For the Thunder to pass them, they'd have to go 57-12, or 82% winning %. Over an 82 game season, that would be 67. Not unreasonable, but difficult.

If Portland repeats last years pace, 54 wins, the Thunder would have to go 52-17, 75% winning %. Over a 61 game wins per 82 games.

Ideally, if Westbrook and Durant are back by December 1st, it's really just 2 or 3 more losses (Utah and Golden State). But the Thunder have the opposite problem Portland does. they've played 8 road games, so they're going to get a lot of them coming up.

If OKC is 4-12 by the time W and D come back, to win 50 games they'll need to go 46-18 (just a hair under 72%). Over 82 games that's 59 games. Again, not unreasonable.

If they both miss another 3-4 weeks (returning a week before Christmas), these #'s and figures obviously change.
Great work. So buckle down and hope they are out just a little longer and it gets really challenging for them. This where we need to improve from last year anyway. We can't afford to lose game to teams like the Sixers.
 
The most games the Thunder can win is 72.

The most the Blazers can win is 79.

So if Portland wins at their current pace (which is not likely), they'd win 59 wins.

For the Thunder to pass them, they'd have to go 57-12, or 82% winning %. Over an 82 game season, that would be 67. Not unreasonable, but difficult.

If Portland repeats last years pace, 54 wins, the Thunder would have to go 52-17, 75% winning %. Over a 61 game wins per 82 games.

Ideally, if Westbrook and Durant are back by December 1st, it's really just 2 or 3 more losses (Utah and Golden State). But the Thunder have the opposite problem Portland does. they've played 8 road games, so they're going to get a lot of them coming up.

If OKC is 4-12 by the time W and D come back, to win 50 games they'll need to go 46-18 (just a hair under 72%). Over 82 games that's 59 games. Again, not unreasonable.

If they both miss another 3-4 weeks (returning a week before Christmas), these #'s and figures obviously change.

Good post, thanks.

We all know you are. That's why mags is busting your balls. come back to earth buddy.

I'm confused. I'm talking about our basketball team. You're talking about me.
 
By the way, are they supposed to be back by Dec 1st? What's the word?
 

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