Projecting the remainder of the season, 59 wins

[Draco]

Date Result Record Opponent Days of rest
12/17 W 22-4 @Cleveland
12/18 L 22-5 @Minnesota (b2b)
12/21 W 23-5 New Orleans
12/26 W 24-5 LA Clippers
12/28 L 24-6 Miami
12/30 W 25-6 @New Orleans
12/31 L 25-7 @Oklahoma City (b2b)
1/2 W 26-7 Charlotte
1/4 W 27-7 Philadelphia
1/7 W 28-7 @Sacramento
1/8 W 29-7 Orlando (b2b)
1/11 W 30-7 Boston
1/15 W 31-7 Cleveland
1/17 L 31-8 @San Antonio
1/18 L 31-9 @Dallas (b2b)
1/20 L 31-10 @Houston
1/21 L 31-11 @Oklahoma City (b2b)
1/23 W 32-11 Denver
1/25 W 33-11 Minnesota
1/26 L 33-12 @Golden State (b2b)
1/28 W 34-12 Memphis
2/1 W 35-12 Toronto
2/3 W 36-12 @Washington
2/5 W 37-12 @New York
2/7 L 37-13 @Indiana
2/8 L 37-14 @Minnesota (b2b)
2/11 W 38-14 Oklahoma City
2/12 L 38-15 @LA Clippers (b2b)
2/19 W 39-15 San Antonio
2/21 W 40-15 Utah
2/23 W 41-15 Minnesota
2/25 L 41-16 @Denver
2/26 W 42-16 Brooklyn (b2b)
3/1 W 43-16 Denver
3/3 W 44-16 LA Lakers
3/5 W 45-16 Atlanta
3/7 L 45-17 @Dallas
3/9 L 45-18 @Houston
3/11 L 45-19 @Memphis
3/12 L 45-20 @San Antonio (b2b)
3/14 L 45-21 @New Orleans
3/16 W 46-21 Golden State
3/18 W 47-21 Milwaukee
3/20 W 48-21 Washington
3/22 W 49-21 @Charlotte
3/24 L 49-22 @MiAmI
3/25 W 50-22 @Orlando (b2b)
3/27 L 50-23 @Atlanta
3/28 W 51-23 @Chicago (b2b)
3/30 W 52-23 Memphis
4/1 W 53-23 @LA Lakers
4/4 W 54-23 Phoenix
4/6 W 55-23 New Orleans
4/9 W 56-23 Sacramento
4/11 W 57-23 @Utah
4/13 W 58-23 Golden State
4/16 W 59-23 LA Clippers

Above is my projection for our record the rest of the season, with our Blazers losing the road games against the decent teams but winning everything else. Obviously actual results will be different, as we will lose some home games or games against easy opponents but win a few of those tough road games. But I think this is a good basis to form a rough projection.

At 21-4 the team is currently winning 84% of their games! That win rate is not sustainable and a large part of that is due to an easy road schedule the Blazers have benefited from thus far. But I’m ecstatic the team is taking care of business in those games they should win!

If the team hits my hopeful projections they will go 38-19 the rest of the season which is a reasonable two wins for every loss. That would give us 59 wins. Pick up one extra win and we’d have a 60 win season for only the second time in Blazers history! That may even be good enough for the top seed in the west, but would for sure get us a top 3 seed and a very winnable playoff series.

 

[Eastoff]

Without knowing your metric for "decent teams." I think that's probably a fair guess. 55-59 seems very plausible at this time.

 

[SlyPokerDog]

5 game losing streak in March huh? The sky will fall in this forum if that happens.

 

[magnifier661]

We have a great shot at breaking 60 this season. Hopefully we keep it up!

 

[DaLincolnJones]

5 game losing streak in March huh? The sky will fall in this forum if that happens.

Hm, You think he was doing that old True or False test, random answer thingy?

 

[rasheedfan2005]

Dallas is not going to sweep us. This prediction is flawed. 73-9 at the worst.

 

[magnifier661]

Honestly, I think we win 40-43 more games this season.

61-64 wins